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Serie A · Regular Season - 33 April 18, 2026 20:45
AS Roma
#16 · 0 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Atalanta
#1 · 0 pts
Mario Hermoso (ast. Devyne Rensch) 45'
12' (ast. Marten de Roon) Nikola Krstović
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 39% win probability (draw 24%, AS Roma 36%). The final result was AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
2
0.90
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
8
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
6
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
ast. Marten de Roon · Nikola Krstović⚽
⚽Mario Hermoso · ast. Devyne Rensch
45'
46'
Honest Ahanor / Sead Kolasinac ↕
46'
Odilon Kossounou / Giorgio Scalvini ↕
46'
Nicola Zalewski / Charles De Ketelaere ↕
54'
Lorenzo Bernasconi / Raoul Bellanova ↕
↕ Gianluca Mancini / Daniele Ghilardi
60'
↕ Neil El Aynaoui / Niccolò Pisilli
60'
↕ Stephan El Shaarawy / Lorenzo Venturino
60'
65'
Éderson
↕ Matías Soulé / Robinio Vaz
71'
Niccolò Pisilli
75'
↕ Devyne Rensch / Konstantinos Tsimikas
78'
80'
Mario Pašalić / Éderson ↕
90'+1
Berat Djimsiti
Pre-match prediction
36.08%
AS
24.05%
X ←
39.87%
Atalanta
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.19
0.90
-0.29
Atalanta
1.69
0.68
-1.01
xG dominance was balanced (0.90 – 0.68). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
2 Bologna Bologna 0 0
3 Cagliari Cagliari 0 0
4 Como Como 0 0
5 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 0
6 Frosinone Frosinone 0 0
7 Genoa Genoa 0 0
8 Inter Inter 0 0
9 Juventus Juventus 0 0
10 Lazio Lazio 0 0
11 Lecce Lecce 0 0
12 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
13 Monza Monza 0 0
14 Napoli Napoli 0 0
15 Parma Parma 0 0
16 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0 0
18 Torino Torino 0 0
19 Udinese Udinese 0 0
20 Venezia Venezia 0 0
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99
G 6.60
22 Hermoso Hermoso 1 ⚽ D 7.90
5
D 6.90
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 60' D 7.00
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 1 👟 78' M 6.90
4
M 7.00
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui 60' M 6.50
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 7.20
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 60' F 7.30
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 71' F 7.20
14 D. Malen D. Malen F 6.20
Bench
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski D
12 Kostas Tsimikas Kostas Tsimikas 12' D 6.90
61 Niccolò Pisilli Niccolò Pisilli 30' M 6.90
Atalanta Atalanta 3-4-2-1
29 Marco Carnesecchi Marco Carnesecchi G 8.30
23 Sead Kolašinac Sead Kolašinac 45' D 6.20
19
Berat Djimsiti D 7.00
42 Giorgio Scalvini Giorgio Scalvini 45' D 6.50
77 Davide Zappacosta Davide Zappacosta M 6.90
13 Éderson Éderson 80' M 7.30
15 Marten de Roon Marten de Roon 1 👟 M 7.70
16 Raoul Bellanova Raoul Bellanova 54' M 6.50
18 Giacomo Raspadori Giacomo Raspadori F 7.00
17 C. De Ketelaere C. De Ketelaere 45' F 6.50
90 N. Krstović N. Krstović 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
9 G. Scamacca G. Scamacca F
10 Lazar Samardžić Lazar Samardžić M
47
L. Bernasconi 36' D 6.90
8 M. Pašalić M. Pašalić 10' M 6.70
59
Nicola Zalewski 45' M 7.00
40 Relja Obrić Relja Obrić D
Best on the pitch
Marco Carnesecchi
Marco Carnesecchi
G · Atalanta
8.30
· 46 pass
Hermoso
Hermoso
D · AS
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 68 pass
Marten de Roon
Marten de Roon
M · Atalanta
7.70
1 👟
· 70 pass
Éderson
Éderson
M · Atalanta
7.30
1 shots · 52 pass
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy
F · AS
7.30
1 shots · 36 pass
Z. Çelik
Z. Çelik
M · AS
7.20
1 shots · 49 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 32 19% — — —
Hermoso D 90 7.90 1 — 4 68 62% 2 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 2 60 57% — — —
G. Mancini D 60 7.00 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
Devyne Rensch M 78 6.90 — 1 — 44 36% — — —
M 90 7.00 — — — 59 47% — — —
N. El Aynaoui M 60 6.50 — — — 43 41% — — —
Z. Çelik M 90 7.20 — — 1 49 41% 3 — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 60 7.30 — — 1 36 34% — — —
M. Soulé F 71 7.20 — — 1 42 33% 1 — —
D. Malen F 90 6.20 — — 3 15 12% — — —
Kostas Tsimikas D 12 6.90 — — — 7 7% — — —
Niccolò Pisilli M 30 6.90 — — — 19 18% 1 1 —
Atalanta Atalanta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marco Carnesecchi G 90 8.30 — — — 46 24% — — —
Sead Kolašinac D 45 6.20 — — — 16 16% — — —
Berat Djimsiti D 90 7.00 — — — 40 38% 4 1 —
Giorgio Scalvini D 45 6.50 — — — 24 15% 2 — —
Davide Zappacosta M 90 6.90 — — — 49 40% 1 — —
Éderson M 80 7.30 — — 1 52 43% 2 1 —
Marten de Roon M 90 7.70 — 1 — 70 63% 3 — —
Raoul Bellanova M 54 6.50 — — — 25 21% — — —
Giacomo Raspadori F 90 7.00 — — — 30 22% 3 — —
C. De Ketelaere F 45 6.50 — — — 15 10% — — —
N. Krstović F 90 7.00 1 — 2 24 14% — — —
L. Bernasconi D 36 6.90 — — — 14 14% — — —
M. Pašalić M 10 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Nicola Zalewski M 45 7.00 — — 2 21 19% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Atalanta?
The final score was AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 36% probability to a AS Roma win, 24% to a draw, and 39% to an Atalanta win.