Serie A
· Regular Season - 3
September 05, 2026 20:45
Mario Hermoso
(ast. Matias Soule)
89'
Matias Soule
(ast. Paulo Dybala)
90'+3
47'
Éderson José dos Santos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Atalanta 29%). The final result was AS Roma 2–1 Atalanta. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.
Match statistics
39
Total shots
6
10
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
9
66%
Possession
34%
14
Corners
1
15
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Gian Piero Gasperini
40'
45'
Nikola Krstović
/
Gianluca Scamacca
47'
Éderson José dos Santos⚽
Emanuele Lulli
/ Nahuel Molina
54'
Rodrigo Mora
/ Matias Soule
54'
55'
Maurizio Sarri
Gianluca Mancini
/ Daniele Ghilardi
62'
Donyell Malen
/ Santiago Thomas Castro
63'
66'
Nicola Zalewski
/
Elif Elmas
66'
Mario Pašalić
/
Lazar Samardzic
Evan Ndicka
/ Leonardo Balerdi
67'
73'
Davide Zappacosta
/
Sead Kolašinac
79'
Franck Kessié
/
Éderson José dos Santos
84'
Raoul Bellanova
⚽Mario Hermoso
· ast. Matias Soule
89'
⚽Matias Soule
· ast. Paulo Dybala
90'+3
90'+7
Gianluca Gaetano
Pre-match prediction
40.92%
AS ←
29.87%
X
29.2%
Atalanta
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
40.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.91
—
—
1.61
—
—
Lineups
99
Mile Svilar
G
Mile Svilar
G
22
Hermoso
1 ⚽
D
Hermoso
1 ⚽
D
5
E. Ndicka
67'
D
23
G. Mancini
62'
D
G. Mancini
62'
D
43
Wesley
M
Wesley
M
17
M. Koné
M
M. Koné
M
4
Bryan Cristante
M
Bryan Cristante
M
77
Emanuele Lulli
54'
M
Emanuele Lulli
54'
M
86
Rodrigo Mora
54'
M
Rodrigo Mora
54'
M
14
D. Malen
63'
F
D. Malen
63'
F
21
P. Dybala
1 👟
F
P. Dybala
1 👟
F
Bench
68
A. Arena
F
A. Arena
F
87
Daniele Ghilardi
28'
D
Daniele Ghilardi
28'
D
2
Devyne Rensch
D
Devyne Rensch
D
70
Giorgio De Marzi
G
Giorgio De Marzi
G
3
K. Koulierakis
D
K. Koulierakis
D
26
Leonardo Balerdi
23'
D
Leonardo Balerdi
23'
D
15
Marten de Roon
M
Marten de Roon
M
18
M. Soulé
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
M. Soulé
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
20
Nahuel Molina
36'
D
Nahuel Molina
36'
D
61
N. Pisilli
M
N. Pisilli
M
95
Pierluigi Gollini
G
Pierluigi Gollini
G
9
Santiago Castro
27'
F
Santiago Castro
27'
F
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
23
S. Kolašinac
73'
D
S. Kolašinac
73'
D
42
G. Scalvini
D
G. Scalvini
D
3
Odilon Kossounou
D
Odilon Kossounou
D
16
Raoul Bellanova
D
Raoul Bellanova
D
13
Éderson
1 ⚽
79'
M
Éderson
1 ⚽
79'
M
70
G. Gaetano
M
G. Gaetano
M
10
L. Samardžić
66'
M
L. Samardžić
66'
M
99
Eljif Elmas
66'
F
Eljif Elmas
66'
F
9
G. Scamacca
45'
F
G. Scamacca
45'
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
F
C. De Ketelaere
F
Bench
77
Davide Zappacosta
17'
D
Davide Zappacosta
17'
D
19
F. Kessié
11'
M
18
G. Raspadori
F
G. Raspadori
F
11
Jonathan Rowe
F
Jonathan Rowe
F
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
D
Lorenzo Bernasconi
D
57
Marco Sportiello
G
Marco Sportiello
G
8
Mario Pašalić
24'
M
Mario Pašalić
24'
M
90
N. Krstović
45'
F
N. Krstović
45'
F
59
N. Zalewski
24'
M
N. Zalewski
24'
M
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
D
Thomas Kristensen
D
Best on the pitch
M. Soulé
F · AS
8.40
1 ⚽ 1 👟
7 shots
· 27 pass
Hermoso
D · AS
8.18
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 77 pass
M. Carnesecchi
G · Atalanta
8.14
· 55 pass
P. Dybala
F · AS
7.70
1 👟
6 shots
· 49 pass
Nahuel Molina
D · AS
7.40
· 31 pass
Wesley
M · AS
7.20
· 51 pass
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mile Svilar | G | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Hermoso | D | 90 | 8.18 | 1 | — | 2 | 77 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ndicka | D | 67 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 62 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Wesley | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Koné | M | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 4 | 65 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Cristante | M | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 4 | 93 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| Emanuele Lulli | M | 54 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | M | 54 | 6.51 | — | — | 6 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 63 | 6.72 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Dybala | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 6 | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 28 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonardo Balerdi | D | 23 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Soulé | F | 36 | 8.40 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Nahuel Molina | D | 36 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Castro | F | 27 | 6.17 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi | G | 90 | 8.14 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Kolašinac | D | 73 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Éderson | M | 79 | 7.15 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | 1 |
| L. Samardžić | M | 66 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Eljif Elmas | F | 66 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 45 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | D | 17 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Kessié | M | 11 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 24 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 45 | 5.85 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Zalewski | M | 24 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Atalanta?
The final score was AS Roma 2–1 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 40% probability to a AS Roma win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Atalanta win.