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Serie A · Regular Season - 9 October 27, 2026 20:45 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
AS Roma
#3 · 21 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Cagliari
#9 · 13 pts
Emanuele Lulli (ast. Nahuel Molina) 15'
Niccolò Pisilli (ast. Emanuele Lulli) 21'
Rodrigo Mora (ast. Daniele Ghilardi) 85'
Donyell Malen 87'
(pen.) 10' M'Bala Nzola
81' (ast. Adam Obert) Daniel Maldini
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Cagliari 19%). The final result was AS Roma 4–2 Cagliari. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cagliari.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
19
8
Shots on target
8
3.10
Actual xG
2.46
6
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
8
15
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
10'
(pen.) M'Bala Nzola⚽
⚽Emanuele Lulli · ast. Nahuel Molina
15'
⚽Niccolò Pisilli · ast. Emanuele Lulli
21'
↕ Nahuel Molina / Wesley Vinícius França Lima
45'
↕ Marten de Roon / Rodrigo Mora
56'
↕ Santiago Thomas Castro / Donyell Malen
56'
63'
Paul Mendy / M'Bala Nzola ↕
76'
Daniel Maldini / Alieu Fadera ↕
76'
Joseph Liteta / Alessandro Deiola ↕
↕ Emanuele Lulli / Devyne Rensch
76'
81'
ast. Adam Obert · Daniel Maldini⚽
↕ Gianluca Mancini / Daniele Ghilardi
82'
⚽Rodrigo Mora · ast. Daniele Ghilardi
85'
⚽Donyell Malen
87'
90'+1
Yanis Massolin / Michel Adopo ↕
90'+1
Yael Trepy / Yukinari Sugawara ↕
90'+4
Juan Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
54.74%
AS ←
25.81%
X
19.44%
Cagliari
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 54.74% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.66
3.10
+1.44
Cagliari
0.53
2.46
+1.93
AS Roma dominated by xG (3.10 vs 2.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-5-2
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G 7.89
3 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis D 6.59
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka D 6.54
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 82' D 6.27
20 N. Molina N. Molina 1 👟 45' M 7.08
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 ⚽ M 7.35
15 M. de Roon M. de Roon 56' M 6.83
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante M 6.63
77 E. Lulli E. Lulli 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' M 7.83
9 S. Castro S. Castro 56' F 6.52
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé F 6.90
Bench
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi 1 👟 8' D 6.17
14 D. Malen D. Malen 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.18
2 D. Rensch D. Rensch 14' D 6.08
32 D. Vásquez D. Vásquez G 0.00
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G 0.00
22 Hermoso Hermoso D 0.00
26 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi D 0.00
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora 1 ⚽ 34' M 8.20
43 Wesley Wesley 45' D 6.41
Cagliari Cagliari 3-5-1-1
1 E. Caprile E. Caprile G 5.96
15 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez D 6.28
26 Y. Mina Y. Mina D 6.07
2 Zé Pedro Zé Pedro D 5.89
33 A. Obert A. Obert 1 👟 M 7.07
14 A. Deiola A. Deiola 76' M 6.22
4 A. Romano A. Romano M 6.50
8 M. Adopo M. Adopo 89' M 6.38
28 Y. Sugawara Y. Sugawara 89' M 6.01
39 A. Fadera A. Fadera 76' M 6.33
18 M'Bala Nzola M'Bala Nzola 1 ⚽ 63' F 6.81
Bench
12 A. Sherri A. Sherri G 0.00
23 B. Radunović B. Radunović G 0.00
70 D. Maldini D. Maldini 1 ⚽ 14' F 8.01
24 G. Aurelio G. Aurelio D 0.00
32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M 0.00
10 J. Fazzini J. Fazzini M 0.00
27 J. Liteta J. Liteta 14' M 5.72
9 Kevin Carlos Kevin Carlos F 0.00
31 P. Mendy P. Mendy 27' F 6.47
20 R. Ciervo R. Ciervo F 0.00
21 R. Gagliardini R. Gagliardini M 0.00
22 R. Kofler R. Kofler D 0.00
79 Y. Massolin Y. Massolin 1' M 0.00
19 Y. Trepy Y. Trepy 1' F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Rodrigo Mora
Rodrigo Mora
M · AS
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
D. Maldini
D. Maldini
F · Cagliari
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
P. Gollini
P. Gollini
G · AS
7.89
· 32 pass
E. Lulli
E. Lulli
M · AS
7.83
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
M · AS
7.35
1 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
7.18
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Gollini G 90 7.89 — — 0 32 32% 0 — —
K. Koulierakis D 90 6.59 — — 2 81 71% 1 — —
E. Ndicka D 90 6.54 — — 0 54 50% 0 — —
G. Mancini D 82 6.27 — — 1 41 34% 4 — —
N. Molina M 45 7.08 — 1 1 24 19% 0 — —
N. Pisilli M 90 7.35 1 — 2 56 47% 1 — —
M. de Roon M 56 6.83 — — 0 50 42% 1 — —
B. Cristante M 90 6.63 — — 2 85 74% 3 — —
E. Lulli M 76 7.83 1 1 2 24 15% 1 — —
S. Castro F 56 6.52 — — 2 16 13% 0 — —
M. Soulé F 90 6.90 — — 3 53 48% 1 — —
D. Ghilardi D 8 6.17 — 1 0 4 4% 1 — —
D. Malen F 34 7.18 1 — 4 10 8% 0 — —
D. Rensch D 14 6.08 — — 0 7 7% 1 — —
Rodrigo Mora M 34 8.20 1 — 1 20 19% 0 — —
Wesley D 45 6.41 — — 0 28 24% 1 — —
Cagliari Cagliari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Caprile G 90 5.96 — — 0 43 27% 0 — —
J. Rodríguez D 90 6.28 — — 1 45 40% 4 1 —
Y. Mina D 90 6.07 — — 0 34 29% 1 — —
Zé Pedro D 90 5.89 — — 1 34 28% 1 — —
A. Obert M 90 7.07 — 1 0 35 23% 1 — —
A. Deiola M 76 6.22 — — 1 29 25% 3 — —
A. Romano M 90 6.50 — — 1 40 37% 1 — —
M. Adopo M 89 6.38 — — 4 32 25% 1 — —
Y. Sugawara M 89 6.01 — — 1 21 17% 1 — —
A. Fadera M 76 6.33 — — 2 17 14% 1 — —
M'Bala Nzola F 63 6.81 1 — 5 19 13% 0 — —
D. Maldini F 14 8.01 1 — 1 6 3% 0 — —
J. Liteta M 14 5.72 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
P. Mendy F 27 6.47 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
Y. Massolin M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Y. Trepy F 1 0.00 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Cagliari?
The final score was AS Roma 4–2 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 54% probability to a AS Roma win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Cagliari win.