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Serie A · Regular Season - 35 May 04, 2026 20:45
AS Roma
#2 · 9 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Fiorentina
#15 · 3 pts
G. Mancini (ast. N. Pisilli) 13'
Wesley Franca (ast. M. Hermoso) 17'
M. Hermoso (ast. M. Kone) 34'
N. Pisilli (ast. D. Malen) 58'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 42% win probability (draw 34%, Fiorentina 22%). The final result was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
7
Shots on target
1
2.14
Actual xG
0.12
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
5
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Mancini · ast. N. Pisilli
13'
⚽Wesley Franca · ast. M. Hermoso
17'
25'
M. Pongracic
⚽M. Hermoso · ast. M. Kone
34'
46'
P. Comuzzo / M. Pongracic ↕
46'
R. Braschi / J. Harrison ↕
46'
F. Parisi / A. Gudmundsson ↕
M. Hermoso
48'
⚽N. Pisilli · ast. D. Malen
58'
↕ M. Kone / S. El Shaarawy
64'
66'
F. Parisi
↕ G. Mancini / D. Ghilardi
72'
↕ M. Soule / P. Dybala
72'
75'
J. Fazzini / N. Fagioli ↕
75'
G. Fabbian / M. Brescianini ↕
↕ M. Hermoso / J. Ziolkowski
83'
↕ D. Malen / R. Vaz
83'
S. El Shaarawy
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
42.79%
AS ←
34.68%
X
22.53%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 42.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.17
2.14
+0.97
Fiorentina
0.84
0.12
-0.72
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 Cagliari Cagliari 4 9
5 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
6 Como Como 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
9 Atalanta Atalanta 4 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99
G 7.20
22 Hermoso Hermoso 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' D 7.60
5
D 7.50
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 1 ⚽ 72' D 7.70
43 Wesley Wesley 1 ⚽ M 8.50
17 M. Koné M. Koné 1 👟 64' M 8.00
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 6.90
4
F 6.70
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 72' F 7.20
14 D. Malen D. Malen 1 👟 83' F 7.90
Bench
2 D. Rensch D. Rensch D
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 8' D 6.60
12 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas D
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 27' F 6.90
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-3
43 David De Gea David De Gea G 6.00
21 R. Gosens R. Gosens D 6.50
6 Luca Ranieri Luca Ranieri D 5.90
5 Marin Pongračić Marin Pongračić 45' D 5.90
2 Dodô Dodô D 5.60
27 Cher Ndour Cher Ndour M 6.90
44 Nicolò Fagioli Nicolò Fagioli 75' M 6.30
4 Marco Brescianini Marco Brescianini 75' M 6.00
19 M. Solomon M. Solomon F 6.50
10 Albert Guðmundsson Albert Guðmundsson 45' F 6.70
17 J. Harrison J. Harrison 45' F 6.50
Bench
3 D. Rugani D. Rugani D
65 Fabiano Parisi Fabiano Parisi 46' D 6.30
80 G. Fabbian G. Fabbian 16' M 6.30
22 Jacopo Fazzini Jacopo Fazzini 16' M 6.60
15 P. Comuzzo P. Comuzzo 46' D 6.30
8 R. Mandragora R. Mandragora M
Best on the pitch
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
M · AS
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 81 pass
Wesley
Wesley
M · AS
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 46 pass
M. Koné
M. Koné
M · AS
8.00
1 👟
· 45 pass
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 15 pass
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
Hermoso
Hermoso
D · AS
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 55 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.20 — — — 44 38% — — —
Hermoso D 83 7.60 1 1 2 55 51% 3 1 —
D 91 7.50 — — 1 57 55% 2 — —
G. Mancini D 72 7.70 1 — 1 41 36% — — —
Wesley M 91 8.50 1 — 1 46 42% 2 — —
M. Koné M 64 8.00 — 1 — 45 41% 1 — —
N. Pisilli M 91 8.60 1 1 1 81 76% 2 — —
Z. Çelik M 91 6.90 — — 1 50 47% 5 — —
F 91 6.70 — — — 59 47% 2 — —
M. Soulé F 72 7.20 — — — 42 38% — — —
D. Malen F 83 7.90 — 1 2 15 13% — — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 8 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 27 6.90 — — — 21 20% 1 — —
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David De Gea G 91 6.00 — — — 35 22% — — —
R. Gosens D 91 6.50 — — — 30 22% 5 — —
Luca Ranieri D 91 5.90 — — — 44 39% — — —
Marin Pongračić D 45 5.90 — — — 15 13% — 1 —
Dodô D 91 5.60 — — — 40 36% — — —
Cher Ndour M 91 6.90 — — — 33 31% 3 — —
Nicolò Fagioli M 75 6.30 — — 1 45 40% — — —
Marco Brescianini M 75 6.00 — — — 30 25% — — —
M. Solomon F 91 6.50 — — 1 19 16% — — —
Albert Guðmundsson F 45 6.70 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
J. Harrison F 45 6.50 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
Fabiano Parisi D 46 6.30 — — — 15 14% — 1 —
G. Fabbian M 16 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Jacopo Fazzini M 16 6.60 — — — 4 3% 2 — —
P. Comuzzo D 46 6.30 — — — 15 15% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The final score was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 42% probability to a AS Roma win, 34% to a draw, and 22% to an Fiorentina win.