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Serie A · Regular Season - 35 May 04, 2026 20:45
AS Roma
#3 · 21 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Fiorentina
#19 · 4 pts
G. Mancini (ast. N. Pisilli) 13'
Wesley Franca (ast. M. Hermoso) 17'
M. Hermoso (ast. M. Kone) 34'
N. Pisilli (ast. D. Malen) 58'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 42% win probability (draw 34%, Fiorentina 22%). The final result was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
7
Shots on target
1
2.14
Actual xG
0.12
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
5
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Mancini · ast. N. Pisilli
13'
⚽Wesley Franca · ast. M. Hermoso
17'
25'
M. Pongracic
⚽M. Hermoso · ast. M. Kone
34'
46'
P. Comuzzo / M. Pongracic ↕
46'
R. Braschi / J. Harrison ↕
46'
F. Parisi / A. Gudmundsson ↕
M. Hermoso
48'
⚽N. Pisilli · ast. D. Malen
58'
↕ M. Kone / S. El Shaarawy
64'
66'
F. Parisi
↕ G. Mancini / D. Ghilardi
72'
↕ M. Soule / P. Dybala
72'
75'
J. Fazzini / N. Fagioli ↕
75'
G. Fabbian / M. Brescianini ↕
↕ M. Hermoso / J. Ziolkowski
83'
↕ D. Malen / R. Vaz
83'
S. El Shaarawy
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
42.79%
AS ←
34.68%
X
22.53%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 42.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.17
2.14
+0.97
Fiorentina
0.84
0.12
-0.72
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 9 25
2 Lazio Lazio 9 25
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 9 18
6 Napoli Napoli 9 14
7 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
8 Juventus Juventus 9 14
9 Torino Torino 9 13
10 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
11 Bologna Bologna 9 11
12 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
13 Genoa Genoa 9 10
14 Lecce Lecce 8 9
15 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
16 Monza Monza 9 7
17 Udinese Udinese 9 5
18 Parma Parma 9 5
19 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 9 3
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99
G 7.20
22 Hermoso Hermoso 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' D 7.60
5
D 7.50
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 1 ⚽ 72' D 7.70
43 Wesley Wesley 1 ⚽ M 8.50
17 M. Koné M. Koné 1 👟 64' M 8.00
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 6.90
4
F 6.70
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 72' F 7.20
14 D. Malen D. Malen 1 👟 83' F 7.90
Bench
2 D. Rensch D. Rensch D
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 8' D 6.60
12 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas D
92 S. El Shaarawy S. El Shaarawy 27' F 6.90
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-3
43 David de Gea David de Gea G 6.00
21 R. Gosens R. Gosens D 6.50
6 L. Ranieri L. Ranieri D 5.90
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić 45' D 5.90
2 Dodô Dodô D 5.60
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 6.90
44 N. Fagioli N. Fagioli 75' M 6.30
4 M. Brescianini M. Brescianini 75' M 6.00
19 M. Solomon M. Solomon F 6.50
10 A. Guðmundsson A. Guðmundsson 45' F 6.70
17 J. Harrison J. Harrison 45' F 6.50
Bench
3 D. Rugani D. Rugani D
65 Fabiano Parisi Fabiano Parisi 46' D 6.30
80 G. Fabbian G. Fabbian 16' M 6.30
22 J. Fazzini J. Fazzini 16' M 6.60
15 P. Comuzzo P. Comuzzo 46' D 6.30
8 R. Mandragora R. Mandragora M
Best on the pitch
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
M · AS
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 81 pass
Wesley
Wesley
M · AS
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 46 pass
M. Koné
M. Koné
M · AS
8.00
1 👟
· 45 pass
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 15 pass
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
Hermoso
Hermoso
D · AS
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 55 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.20 — — — 44 38% — — —
Hermoso D 83 7.60 1 1 2 55 51% 3 1 —
D 91 7.50 — — 1 57 55% 2 — —
G. Mancini D 72 7.70 1 — 1 41 36% — — —
Wesley M 91 8.50 1 — 1 46 42% 2 — —
M. Koné M 64 8.00 — 1 — 45 41% 1 — —
N. Pisilli M 91 8.60 1 1 1 81 76% 2 — —
Z. Çelik M 91 6.90 — — 1 50 47% 5 — —
F 91 6.70 — — — 59 47% 2 — —
M. Soulé F 72 7.20 — — — 42 38% — — —
D. Malen F 83 7.90 — 1 2 15 13% — — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 8 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
S. El Shaarawy F 27 6.90 — — — 21 20% 1 — —
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David de Gea G 91 6.00 — — — 35 22% — — —
R. Gosens D 91 6.50 — — — 30 22% 5 — —
L. Ranieri D 91 5.90 — — — 44 39% — — —
M. Pongračić D 45 5.90 — — — 15 13% — 1 —
Dodô D 91 5.60 — — — 40 36% — — —
C. Ndour M 91 6.90 — — — 33 31% 3 — —
N. Fagioli M 75 6.30 — — 1 45 40% — — —
M. Brescianini M 75 6.00 — — — 30 25% — — —
M. Solomon F 91 6.50 — — 1 19 16% — — —
A. Guðmundsson F 45 6.70 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
J. Harrison F 45 6.50 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
Fabiano Parisi D 46 6.30 — — — 15 14% — 1 —
G. Fabbian M 16 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
J. Fazzini M 16 6.60 — — — 4 3% 2 — —
P. Comuzzo D 46 6.30 — — — 15 15% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The final score was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 42% probability to a AS Roma win, 34% to a draw, and 22% to an Fiorentina win.