Serie A
· Regular Season - 35
May 04, 2026 20:45
G. Mancini
(ast. N. Pisilli)
13'
Wesley Franca
(ast. M. Hermoso)
17'
M. Hermoso
(ast. M. Kone)
34'
N. Pisilli
(ast. D. Malen)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 42% win probability (draw 34%, Fiorentina 22%). The final result was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina. In 1 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
7
Shots on target
1
2.14
Actual xG
0.12
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
5
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Mancini
· ast. N. Pisilli
13'
⚽Wesley Franca
· ast. M. Hermoso
17'
25'
M. Pongracic
⚽M. Hermoso
· ast. M. Kone
34'
46'
P. Comuzzo
/
M. Pongracic
46'
R. Braschi
/
J. Harrison
46'
F. Parisi
/
A. Gudmundsson
M. Hermoso
48'
⚽N. Pisilli
· ast. D. Malen
58'
M. Kone
/ S. El Shaarawy
64'
66'
F. Parisi
G. Mancini
/ D. Ghilardi
72'
M. Soule
/ P. Dybala
72'
75'
J. Fazzini
/
N. Fagioli
75'
G. Fabbian
/
M. Brescianini
M. Hermoso
/ J. Ziolkowski
83'
D. Malen
/ R. Vaz
83'
S. El Shaarawy
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
42.79%
AS ←
34.68%
X
22.53%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
42.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
2.14
+0.97
0.84
0.12
-0.72
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
G
22
Mario Hermoso
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
D
Mario Hermoso
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
D
5
D
23
G. Mancini
1 ⚽
72'
D
G. Mancini
1 ⚽
72'
D
43
Wesley
1 ⚽
M
Wesley
1 ⚽
M
17
Manu Koné
1 👟
64'
M
Manu Koné
1 👟
64'
M
61
Niccolò Pisilli
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Niccolò Pisilli
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
19
Zeki Çelik
M
Zeki Çelik
M
4
F
18
M. Soulé
72'
F
M. Soulé
72'
F
14
D. Malen
1 👟
83'
F
D. Malen
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
2
Devyne Rensch
D
Devyne Rensch
D
24
Jan Ziółkowski
8'
D
Jan Ziółkowski
8'
D
12
Kostas Tsimikas
D
Kostas Tsimikas
D
92
S. El Shaarawy
27'
F
43
David De Gea
G
David De Gea
G
21
Robin Gosens
D
Robin Gosens
D
6
L. Ranieri
D
L. Ranieri
D
5
M. Pongračić
45'
D
M. Pongračić
45'
D
2
Dodô
D
Dodô
D
27
C. Ndour
M
C. Ndour
M
44
Nicolò Fagioli
75'
M
Nicolò Fagioli
75'
M
4
Marco Brescianini
75'
M
Marco Brescianini
75'
M
19
M. Solomon
F
M. Solomon
F
10
A. Guðmundsson
45'
F
A. Guðmundsson
45'
F
17
Jack Harrison
45'
F
Jack Harrison
45'
F
Bench
3
Daniele Rugani
D
Daniele Rugani
D
65
Fabiano Parisi
46'
D
Fabiano Parisi
46'
D
80
Giovanni Fabbian
16'
M
Giovanni Fabbian
16'
M
22
Jacopo Fazzini
16'
M
Jacopo Fazzini
16'
M
15
Pietro Comuzzo
46'
D
Pietro Comuzzo
46'
D
8
Rolando Mandragora
M
Rolando Mandragora
M
Best on the pitch
Niccolò Pisilli
M · AS
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 81 pass
Wesley
M · AS
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
Manu Koné
M · AS
8.00
1 👟
· 45 pass
D. Malen
F · AS
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
Mario Hermoso
D · AS
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 55 pass
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 83 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 55 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 55% | 2 | — | — | |
| G. Mancini | D | 72 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Wesley | M | 91 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Manu Koné | M | 64 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 91 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 81 | 76% | 2 | — | — |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| F | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 47% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Soulé | F | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 83 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. El Shaarawy | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Fiorentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David De Gea | G | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Robin Gosens | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Ranieri | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Dodô | D | 91 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| C. Ndour | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Solomon | F | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabiano Parisi | D | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Fazzini | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The final score was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 42% probability to a AS Roma win, 34% to a draw, and 22% to an Fiorentina win.