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Serie A · Regular Season - 1 August 24, 2026 20:45
AS Roma
#3 · 21 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Fiorentina
#18 · 4 pts
D. Malen (ast. P. Dybala) 27'
D. Malen (ast. P. Dybala) 52'
D. Malen (ast. P. Dybala) 60'
N. Pisilli 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Fiorentina 30%). The final result was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
2.72
Actual xG
0.25
4
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
2
Corners
3
22
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Malen · ast. P. Dybala
27'
30'
N. Fagioli
M. Hermoso
39'
M. Kone
49'
⚽D. Malen · ast. P. Dybala
52'
↕ R. Mora / M. Soule
54'
⚽D. Malen · ast. P. Dybala
60'
62'
A. Jimenez / M. Brescianini ↕
62'
C. Inao Oulai / N. Fagioli ↕
63'
M. Kean / F. Mastantuono ↕
63'
M. Pellegrino
↕ D. Malen / S. Castro
68'
↕ M. Hermoso / K. Koulierakis
68'
74'
R. Mandragora / A. Atta ↕
↕ P. Dybala / N. El Aynaoui
79'
↕ M. Kone / N. Pisilli
79'
80'
V. Valdepenas / Joao Mario ↕
⚽N. Pisilli
86'
Pre-match prediction
37.89%
AS ←
31.57%
X
30.53%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 37.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
2.91
2.72
-0.19
Fiorentina
1.00
0.25
-0.75
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 Mile Svilar Mile Svilar 88' G 6.90
22 Hermoso Hermoso 68' D 6.90
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka 88' D 7.50
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 88' D 7.20
43 Wesley Wesley 88' M 7.20
17 M. Koné M. Koné 79' M 7.20
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante 88' M 8.20
77 E. Lulli E. Lulli 88' M 6.90
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora 54' F 6.70
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala 3 👟 79' F 9.30
14 D. Malen D. Malen 3 ⚽ 68' F 10.00
Bench
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi D
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski D
3 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis 20' D 6.60
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 34' F 6.70
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui 9' M 6.70
20 N. Molina N. Molina D
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 ⚽ 9' M 7.60
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G
78 R. Vaz R. Vaz F
9 S. Castro S. Castro 20' F 6.30
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
43 David de Gea David de Gea 88' G 5.60
17 João Mário João Mário 80' D 6.30
6 L. Ranieri L. Ranieri 88' D 5.60
3 R. Drăgușin R. Drăgușin 88' D 6.20
2 Dodô Dodô 88' D 5.60
4 M. Brescianini M. Brescianini 62' M 6.20
44 N. Fagioli N. Fagioli 62' M 6.20
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour 88' M 6.20
14 Arthur Atta Arthur Atta 74' M 6.30
30 Franco Mastantuono Franco Mastantuono 63' M 6.30
32 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino 88' F 5.90
Bench
11 A. Guðmundsson A. Guðmundsson F
20 Álex Jiménez Álex Jiménez 26' D 6.20
72 B. Mazzeo B. Mazzeo M
42 C. Inao Oulaï C. Inao Oulaï 26' M 6.90
71 E. Košpo E. Košpo D
70 Federico Croci Federico Croci F
80 G. Fabbian G. Fabbian M
19 L. Lezzerini L. Lezzerini G
9 M. Kean M. Kean 25' F 6.50
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić D
53 O. Christensen O. Christensen G
8 R. Mandragora R. Mandragora 14' M 5.90
21 Valde Valde 8' D 6.20
33 Viery Viery D
Best on the pitch
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
9.30
3 👟
3 shots · 41 pass
B. Cristante
B. Cristante
M · AS
8.20
· 78 pass
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
M · AS
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
E. Ndicka
E. Ndicka
D · AS
7.50
1 shots · 62 pass
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.20
· 42 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mile Svilar G 88 6.90 — — — 32 24% — — —
Hermoso D 68 6.90 — — — 51 45% 2 1 —
E. Ndicka D 88 7.50 — — 1 62 60% 3 — —
G. Mancini D 88 7.20 — — — 42 40% 2 — —
Wesley M 88 7.20 — — — 33 26% 2 — —
M. Koné M 79 7.20 — — — 55 52% 3 1 —
B. Cristante M 88 8.20 — — — 78 68% 4 — —
E. Lulli M 88 6.90 — — 1 33 29% 4 — —
Rodrigo Mora F 54 6.70 — — 2 17 15% 1 — —
P. Dybala F 79 9.30 — 3 3 41 33% — — —
D. Malen F 68 10.00 3 — 4 19 16% — — —
K. Koulierakis D 20 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
M. Soulé F 34 6.70 — — 1 12 11% — — —
N. El Aynaoui M 9 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
N. Pisilli M 9 7.60 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
S. Castro F 20 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David de Gea G 88 5.60 — — — 32 14% — — —
João Mário D 80 6.30 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
L. Ranieri D 88 5.60 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
R. Drăgușin D 88 6.20 — — — 25 24% 2 — —
Dodô D 88 5.60 — — 1 25 20% 1 — —
M. Brescianini M 62 6.20 — — 1 15 14% — — —
N. Fagioli M 62 6.20 — — — 24 22% 2 1 —
C. Ndour M 88 6.20 — — 2 29 26% 1 — —
Arthur Atta M 74 6.30 — — — 41 37% — — —
Franco Mastantuono M 63 6.30 — — 1 14 9% 1 — —
Mateo Pellegrino F 88 5.90 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
Álex Jiménez D 26 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
C. Inao Oulaï M 26 6.90 — — 1 18 18% 1 — —
M. Kean F 25 6.50 — — 2 9 8% — — —
R. Mandragora M 14 5.90 — — — 10 10% — — —
Valde D 8 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The final score was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 37% probability to a AS Roma win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Fiorentina win.