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Serie A · Regular Season - 1 August 24, 2026 20:45
AS Roma
#2 · 9 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Fiorentina
#15 · 3 pts
D. Malen (ast. P. Dybala) 27'
D. Malen (ast. P. Dybala) 52'
D. Malen (ast. P. Dybala) 60'
N. Pisilli 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Fiorentina 30%). The final result was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
2.72
Actual xG
0.25
4
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
2
Corners
3
22
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Malen · ast. P. Dybala
27'
30'
N. Fagioli
M. Hermoso
39'
M. Kone
49'
⚽D. Malen · ast. P. Dybala
52'
↕ R. Mora / M. Soule
54'
⚽D. Malen · ast. P. Dybala
60'
62'
A. Jimenez / M. Brescianini ↕
62'
C. Inao Oulai / N. Fagioli ↕
63'
M. Kean / F. Mastantuono ↕
63'
M. Pellegrino
↕ D. Malen / S. Castro
68'
↕ M. Hermoso / K. Koulierakis
68'
74'
R. Mandragora / A. Atta ↕
↕ P. Dybala / N. El Aynaoui
79'
↕ M. Kone / N. Pisilli
79'
80'
V. Valdepenas / Joao Mario ↕
⚽N. Pisilli
86'
Pre-match prediction
37.89%
AS ←
31.57%
X
30.53%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 37.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
2.91
2.72
-0.19
Fiorentina
1.00
0.25
-0.75
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar M. Svilar 88' G 6.90
22 Hermoso Hermoso 68' D 6.90
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka 88' D 7.50
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 88' D 7.20
43 Wesley Wesley 88' M 7.20
17 M. Koné M. Koné 79' M 7.20
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante 88' M 8.20
77 E. Lulli E. Lulli 88' M 6.90
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora 54' F 6.70
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala 3 👟 79' F 9.30
14 D. Malen D. Malen 3 ⚽ 68' F 10.00
Bench
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi D
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski D
3 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis 20' D 6.60
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 34' F 6.70
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui 9' M 6.70
20 N. Molina N. Molina D
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 ⚽ 9' M 7.60
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G
78 R. Vaz R. Vaz F
9 S. Castro S. Castro 20' F 6.30
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
43 David De Gea David De Gea 88' G 5.60
17 João Mário João Mário 80' D 6.30
6 Luca Ranieri Luca Ranieri 88' D 5.60
3 Radu Drăguşin Radu Drăguşin 88' D 6.20
2 Dodô Dodô 88' D 5.60
4 Marco Brescianini Marco Brescianini 62' M 6.20
44 Nicolò Fagioli Nicolò Fagioli 62' M 6.20
27 Cher Ndour Cher Ndour 88' M 6.20
14 Arthur Atta Arthur Atta 74' M 6.30
30 Franco Mastantuono Franco Mastantuono 63' M 6.30
32 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino 88' F 5.90
Bench
11 Albert Guðmundsson Albert Guðmundsson F
20 Álex Jiménez Álex Jiménez 26' D 6.20
72 B. Mazzeo B. Mazzeo M
42 Christ Inao Oulaï Christ Inao Oulaï 26' M 6.90
71 E. Košpo E. Košpo D
70 Federico Croci Federico Croci F
80 G. Fabbian G. Fabbian M
19 Luca Lezzerini Luca Lezzerini G
5 Marin Pongračić Marin Pongračić D
9 M. Kean M. Kean 25' F 6.50
53 Oliver Christensen Oliver Christensen G
8 R. Mandragora R. Mandragora 14' M 5.90
21 Víctor Valdepeñas Víctor Valdepeñas 8' D 6.20
33 Viery Viery D
Best on the pitch
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
9.30
3 👟
3 shots · 41 pass
B. Cristante
B. Cristante
M · AS
8.20
· 78 pass
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
M · AS
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
E. Ndicka
E. Ndicka
D · AS
7.50
1 shots · 62 pass
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.20
· 42 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Svilar G 88 6.90 — — — 32 24% — — —
Hermoso D 68 6.90 — — — 51 45% 2 1 —
E. Ndicka D 88 7.50 — — 1 62 60% 3 — —
G. Mancini D 88 7.20 — — — 42 40% 2 — —
Wesley M 88 7.20 — — — 33 26% 2 — —
M. Koné M 79 7.20 — — — 55 52% 3 1 —
B. Cristante M 88 8.20 — — — 78 68% 4 — —
E. Lulli M 88 6.90 — — 1 33 29% 4 — —
Rodrigo Mora F 54 6.70 — — 2 17 15% 1 — —
P. Dybala F 79 9.30 — 3 3 41 33% — — —
D. Malen F 68 10.00 3 — 4 19 16% — — —
K. Koulierakis D 20 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
M. Soulé F 34 6.70 — — 1 12 11% — — —
N. El Aynaoui M 9 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
N. Pisilli M 9 7.60 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
S. Castro F 20 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David De Gea G 88 5.60 — — — 32 14% — — —
João Mário D 80 6.30 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
Luca Ranieri D 88 5.60 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
Radu Drăguşin D 88 6.20 — — — 25 24% 2 — —
Dodô D 88 5.60 — — 1 25 20% 1 — —
Marco Brescianini M 62 6.20 — — 1 15 14% — — —
Nicolò Fagioli M 62 6.20 — — — 24 22% 2 1 —
Cher Ndour M 88 6.20 — — 2 29 26% 1 — —
Arthur Atta M 74 6.30 — — — 41 37% — — —
Franco Mastantuono M 63 6.30 — — 1 14 9% 1 — —
Mateo Pellegrino F 88 5.90 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
Álex Jiménez D 26 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Christ Inao Oulaï M 26 6.90 — — 1 18 18% 1 — —
M. Kean F 25 6.50 — — 2 9 8% — — —
R. Mandragora M 14 5.90 — — — 10 10% — — —
Víctor Valdepeñas D 8 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The final score was AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 37% probability to a AS Roma win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Fiorentina win.