Santiago Thomas Castro
50'
Emanuele Lulli
68'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Genoa 22%). The final result was AS Roma 2–0 Genoa. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Genoa.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
1
1.45
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Matias Soule
43'
⚽Santiago Thomas Castro
50'
51'
Johan Vásquez
Rodrigo Mora
/ Lorenzo Pellegrini
63'
Konstantinos Koulierakis
/ Mario Hermoso
63'
65'
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
/
Stephan El Shaarawy
65'
Leo Østigård
⚽Emanuele Lulli
68'
Niccolò Pisilli
76'
Emanuele Lulli
/ Wesley Vinícius França Lima
78'
81'
Mikael Ellertsson
83'
Robinho Junior
/
Junior Messias
83'
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
/
Morten Frendrup
Devyne Rensch
/ Daniele Ghilardi
88'
Niccolò Pisilli
/ Alessandro Di Nunzio
88'
Pre-match prediction
48.89%
AS ←
28.34%
X
22.78%
Genoa
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
48.89%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
1.45
-0.08
0.46
0.49
+0.03
AS Roma dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
95
P. Gollini
G
P. Gollini
G
3
K. Koulierakis
63'
D
K. Koulierakis
63'
D
5
E. Ndicka
D
E. Ndicka
D
26
L. Balerdi
D
L. Balerdi
D
2
D. Rensch
88'
M
D. Rensch
88'
M
61
N. Pisilli
88'
M
N. Pisilli
88'
M
15
M. de Roon
M
M. de Roon
M
77
E. Lulli
1 ⚽
78'
M
E. Lulli
1 ⚽
78'
M
86
Rodrigo Mora
63'
M
Rodrigo Mora
63'
M
18
M. Soulé
M
M. Soulé
M
9
S. Castro
1 ⚽
F
S. Castro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
68
A. Arena
F
A. Arena
F
87
D. Ghilardi
2'
D
D. Ghilardi
2'
D
32
D. Vásquez
G
D. Vásquez
G
70
G. De Marzi
G
G. De Marzi
G
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
22
Hermoso
27'
D
Hermoso
27'
D
72
L. Paratici
F
L. Paratici
F
7
L. Pellegrini
27'
M
L. Pellegrini
27'
M
20
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
43
Wesley
12'
D
Wesley
12'
D
1
J. Bijlow
G
J. Bijlow
G
22
J. Vásquez
D
J. Vásquez
D
5
L. Østigård
D
L. Østigård
D
27
A. Marcandalli
D
A. Marcandalli
D
31
D. Puczka
M
D. Puczka
M
32
M. Frendrup
83'
M
M. Frendrup
83'
M
71
S. Wiafe
M
S. Wiafe
M
77
M. Ellertsson
M
M. Ellertsson
M
92
S. El Shaarawy
65'
M
S. El Shaarawy
65'
M
10
Junior Messias
83'
M
Junior Messias
83'
M
18
M. Osmajić
F
M. Osmajić
F
Bench
4
Alexsandro Amorim
7'
M
Alexsandro Amorim
7'
M
16
C. Drameh
D
C. Drameh
D
39
D. Sommariva
G
D. Sommariva
G
99
F. Stolz
G
F. Stolz
G
25
H. Traorè
M
H. Traorè
M
2
M. Mitaj
D
M. Mitaj
D
85
M. Vaz
D
M. Vaz
D
21
Nikita Solodchenko
7'
F
Nikita Solodchenko
7'
F
34
S. Otoa
D
S. Otoa
D
20
S. Sabelli
D
S. Sabelli
D
8
T. Baldanzi
M
T. Baldanzi
M
9
Vítinha
25'
F
Vítinha
25'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Castro
F · AS
7.97
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 19 pass
L. Balerdi
D · AS
7.64
1 shots
· 65 pass
E. Ndicka
D · AS
7.61
1 shots
· 62 pass
E. Lulli
M · AS
7.49
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Hermoso
D · AS
7.34
1 shots
· 25 pass
D. Ghilardi
D · AS
7.11
· 4 pass
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Gollini | G | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 63 | 7.08 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ndicka | D | 90 | 7.61 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Balerdi | D | 90 | 7.64 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Rensch | M | 88 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Pisilli | M | 88 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. de Roon | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 83 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Lulli | M | 78 | 7.49 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | M | 63 | 6.53 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Soulé | M | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 48% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Castro | F | 90 | 7.97 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Ghilardi | D | 2 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Hermoso | D | 27 | 7.34 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Pellegrini | M | 27 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Wesley | D | 12 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Genoa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bijlow | G | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Vásquez | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Østigård | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Marcandalli | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Puczka | M | 90 | 5.69 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Frendrup | M | 83 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Wiafe | M | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ellertsson | M | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. El Shaarawy | M | 65 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Junior Messias | M | 83 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Osmajić | F | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 7 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Nikita Solodchenko | F | 7 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Vítinha | F | 25 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Genoa?
The final score was AS Roma 2–0 Genoa.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Genoa?
The model assigned 48% probability to a AS Roma win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an Genoa win.