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Serie A · Regular Season - 5 September 19, 2026 18:00
AS Roma
#3 · 27 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Inter
#2 · 28 pts
M. Kone (ast. N. Molina) 6'
M. Kone (ast. G. Mancini) 37'
46' (ast. M. Thuram) L. Martinez
79' (ast. Y. Bisseck) L. Martinez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Inter 33%). The final result was AS Roma 2–2 Inter. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Inter.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
5
1.69
Actual xG
2.37
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
2
12
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Kone · ast. N. Molina
6'
11'
N. Barella
⚽M. Kone · ast. G. Mancini
37'
45'+4
M. Akanji
46'
ast. M. Thuram · L. Martinez⚽
54'
P. Sucic / C. Jones ↕
54'
Carlos Augusto / F. Dimarco ↕
57'
A. Bastoni
↕ G. Mancini / E. Ndicka
60'
↕ M. Kone / N. Pisilli
60'
↕ N. Molina / D. Rensch
60'
63'
Luis Henrique / A. Bastoni ↕
↕ L. Balerdi / D. Ghilardi
66'
E. Ndicka
73'
79'
ast. Y. Bisseck · L. Martinez⚽
↕ M. Hermoso / K. Koulierakis
81'
K. Koulierakis
82'
D. Ghilardi
89'
90'
A. Bonny / M. Thuram ↕
90'
F. Esposito / L. Martinez ↕
Pre-match prediction
38.18%
AS
28.69%
X ←
33.13%
Inter
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
3.40
1.69
-1.71
Inter
2.69
2.37
-0.32
Inter dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 11 29
2 Inter Inter 11 28
3 AS Roma AS Roma 11 27
4 AC Milan AC Milan 11 24
5 Como Como 11 23
6 Frosinone Frosinone 11 20
7 Juventus Juventus 11 18
8 Bologna Bologna 11 17
9 Cagliari Cagliari 11 16
10 Napoli Napoli 11 15
11 Torino Torino 11 14
12 Atalanta Atalanta 11 14
13 Genoa Genoa 11 13
14 Lecce Lecce 11 10
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 11 9
16 Parma Parma 11 8
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 11 8
18 Monza Monza 11 7
19 Venezia Venezia 11 6
20 Udinese Udinese 11 5
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 Mile Svilar Mile Svilar G 7.90
22 Hermoso Hermoso 81' D 6.90
26 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi 66' D 6.60
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 1 👟 60' D 6.20
20 N. Molina N. Molina 1 👟 60' M 6.90
17 M. Koné M. Koné 2 ⚽ 60' M 9.20
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante M 7.00
43 Wesley Wesley M 6.90
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé F 7.30
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala F 7.60
14 D. Malen D. Malen F 6.90
Bench
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi 26' D 6.00
2 D. Rensch D. Rensch 32' D 6.50
77 E. Lulli E. Lulli D
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka 32' D 6.30
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G
3 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis 11' D 6.50
7 L. Pellegrini L. Pellegrini M
15 M. de Roon M. de Roon M
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 32' M 6.30
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora M
9 S. Castro S. Castro F
Inter Inter 3-1-4-2
1 Josep Martínez Josep Martínez G 6.30
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 63' D 6.50
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 6.90
31 Y. Bisseck Y. Bisseck 1 👟 D 7.90
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński M 6.70
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco 54' M 6.60
21 C. Jones C. Jones 54' M 6.50
23 N. Barella N. Barella M 6.90
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M 6.90
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 1 👟 F 7.30
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 2' F
5 A. Stanković A. Stanković M
28 B. Pavard B. Pavard D
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto 38' D 6.60
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 2' F
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan M
49 I. Provedel I. Provedel G
46 L. Bovio L. Bovio D
11 Luis Henrique Luis Henrique 29' F 6.60
48 M. Mosconi M. Mosconi F
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 38' M 7.20
12 R. Di Gennaro R. Di Gennaro G
Best on the pitch
M. Koné
M. Koné
M · AS
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 25 pass
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar
G · AS
7.90
· 31 pass
Y. Bisseck
Y. Bisseck
D · Inter
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 47 pass
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
7.60
3 shots · 45 pass
M. Thuram
M. Thuram
F · Inter
7.30
1 👟
3 shots · 23 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mile Svilar G 92 7.90 — — — 31 18% — — —
Hermoso D 81 6.90 — — — 35 31% 3 — —
L. Balerdi D 66 6.60 — — — 25 20% 3 — —
G. Mancini D 60 6.20 — 1 1 20 17% 1 — —
N. Molina M 60 6.90 — 1 1 36 31% — — —
M. Koné M 60 9.20 2 — 2 40 34% — — —
B. Cristante M 92 7.00 — — 1 56 49% 2 — —
Wesley M 92 6.90 — — — 42 33% 1 — —
M. Soulé F 92 7.30 — — 1 51 43% — — —
P. Dybala F 92 7.60 — — 3 45 41% — — —
D. Malen F 92 6.90 — — 2 21 19% — — —
D. Ghilardi D 26 6.00 — — — 7 5% 1 1 —
D. Rensch D 32 6.50 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
E. Ndicka D 32 6.30 — — — 13 13% — 1 —
K. Koulierakis D 11 6.50 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
N. Pisilli M 32 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Josep Martínez G 92 6.30 — — — 39 31% — — —
A. Bastoni D 63 6.50 — — 1 41 38% 2 1 —
M. Akanji D 92 6.90 — — 1 54 49% 3 1 —
Y. Bisseck D 92 7.90 — 1 1 47 37% 4 — —
P. Zieliński M 92 6.70 — — 1 42 40% — — —
F. Dimarco M 54 6.60 — — — 24 20% — — —
C. Jones M 54 6.50 — — — 20 18% — — —
N. Barella M 92 6.90 — — — 47 38% — 1 —
A. Diouf M 92 6.90 — — 1 31 29% 1 — —
M. Thuram F 90 7.30 — 1 3 23 20% 2 — —
Lautaro Martínez F 90 8.30 2 — 5 25 20% 2 — —
A. Bonny F 2 — — — — 1 — 1 — —
Carlos Augusto D 38 6.60 — — — 23 19% — — —
F. Esposito F 2 — — — — — — — — —
Luis Henrique F 29 6.60 — — — 19 16% — — —
P. Sučić M 38 7.20 — — — 29 27% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Inter?
The final score was AS Roma 2–2 Inter.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Inter?
The model assigned 38% probability to a AS Roma win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Inter win.