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Serie A · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 12:00
AS Roma
#16 · 0 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Lazio
#10 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
G. Mancini (ast. N. Pisilli) 40'
G. Mancini (ast. P. Dybala) 66'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Lazio 20%). The final result was AS Roma 2–0 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
2
1.09
Actual xG
0.71
2
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
3
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
21'
K. Taylor
↕ E. Ndicka / D. Rensch
37'
⚽G. Mancini · ast. N. Pisilli
40'
M. Hermoso
42'
42'
M. Cancellieri
↕ N. Pisilli / S. El Shaarawy
46'
62'
D. Maldini / B. Dia ↕
62'
F. Dele-Bashiru / K. Taylor ↕
64'
N. Tavares
⚽G. Mancini · ast. P. Dybala
66'
Wesley Franca
70'
70'
N. Rovella
71'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri ↕
79'
Pedro / T. Noslin ↕
79'
M. Lazzari / A. Marusic ↕
↕ D. Malen / M. Soule
83'
↕ G. Mancini / J. Ziolkowski
83'
S. El Shaarawy
85'
↕ P. Dybala / A. Dovbyk
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.04%
AS ←
25.34%
X
20.62%
Lazio
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 54.04% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.63
1.09
-0.54
Lazio
0.99
0.71
-0.28
AS Roma dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
2 Bologna Bologna 0 0
3 Cagliari Cagliari 0 0
4 Como Como 0 0
5 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 0
6 Frosinone Frosinone 0 0
7 Genoa Genoa 0 0
8 Inter Inter 0 0
9 Juventus Juventus 0 0
10 Lazio Lazio 0 0
11 Lecce Lecce 0 0
12 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
13 Monza Monza 0 0
14 Napoli Napoli 0 0
15 Parma Parma 0 0
16 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0 0
18 Torino Torino 0 0
19 Udinese Udinese 0 0
20 Venezia Venezia 0 0
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 Mile Svilar Mile Svilar G 6.60
22 Hermoso Hermoso D 6.50
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka 37' D 6.70
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 2 ⚽ 83' D 9.30
43 Wesley Wesley 70' M 5.90
8 Neil El Aynaoui Neil El Aynaoui M 7.00
4 Bryan Cristante Bryan Cristante M 7.20
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 6.50
61 Niccolò Pisilli Niccolò Pisilli 1 👟 45' F 6.90
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala 1 👟 88' F 8.00
14 D. Malen D. Malen 83' F 6.50
Bench
3 Angeliño Angeliño D
9 Artem Dovbyk Artem Dovbyk 3' F
87 Daniele Ghilardi Daniele Ghilardi D
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 54' D 6.30
70 Giorgio De Marzi Giorgio De Marzi G
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 8' D 6.30
12 Kostas Tsimikas Kostas Tsimikas D
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 8' F 7.20
95 Pierluigi Gollini Pierluigi Gollini G
78 Robinio Vaz Robinio Vaz F
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 46' F 6.30
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
55 Alessio Furlanetto Alessio Furlanetto G 7.00
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.30
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard D 6.50
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila D 6.60
77
Adam Marušić 79' D 5.90
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor 62' M 6.20
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella 70' M 6.30
26 Toma Bašić Toma Bašić M 7.30
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin 79' F 6.20
19 Boulaye Dia Boulaye Dia 62' F 6.60
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri 71' F 6.30
Bench
28 Adrian Przyborek Adrian Przyborek M
27 Daniel Maldini Daniel Maldini 29' F 6.90
32 Danilo Cataldi Danilo Cataldi M
23
Elseid Hysaj D
7 F. Dele-Bashiru F. Dele-Bashiru 29' M 6.50
99 Giacomo Giacomone Giacomo Giacomone G
18 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 20' F 6.20
3 Luca Pellegrini Luca Pellegrini D
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari 12' M 6.30
72 Nicolo Pannozzo Nicolo Pannozzo G
9 Pedro Pedro 12' F 6.70
20 P. Ratkov P. Ratkov F
21 Reda Belahyane Reda Belahyane M
2 Samuel Gigot Samuel Gigot D
Best on the pitch
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
9.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Toma Bašić
Toma Bašić
M · Lazio
7.30
· 41 pass
M. Soulé
M. Soulé
F · AS
7.20
· 3 pass
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante
M · AS
7.20
1 shots · 53 pass
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui
M · AS
7.00
· 50 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mile Svilar G 91 6.60 — — — 25 13% — — —
Hermoso D 91 6.50 — — 2 46 42% 1 1 —
E. Ndicka D 37 6.70 — — — 29 26% — — —
G. Mancini D 83 9.30 2 — 2 46 45% 1 — —
Wesley M 70 5.90 — — 1 14 12% — — 1
Neil El Aynaoui M 91 7.00 — — — 50 46% 3 — —
Bryan Cristante M 91 7.20 — — 1 53 43% 3 — —
Z. Çelik M 91 6.50 — — 1 45 37% 3 — —
Niccolò Pisilli F 45 6.90 — 1 — 15 13% 2 — —
P. Dybala F 88 8.00 — 1 1 30 25% 2 — —
D. Malen F 83 6.50 — — 1 10 9% 1 — —
Artem Dovbyk F 3 — — — 2 1 1% — — —
Devyne Rensch D 54 6.30 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 8 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
M. Soulé F 8 7.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 46 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — 1 —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alessio Furlanetto G 91 7.00 — — — 21 18% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 91 6.30 — — 1 48 39% 2 1 —
Oliver Provstgaard D 91 6.50 — — — 52 48% 3 — —
Mario Gila D 91 6.60 — — 1 46 42% 2 — —
Adam Marušić D 79 5.90 — — — 19 12% — — —
Kenneth Taylor M 62 6.20 — — — 25 22% — 1 —
Nicolò Rovella M 70 6.30 — — — 49 47% — — 1
Toma Bašić M 91 7.30 — — — 41 36% 1 — —
Tijjani Noslin F 79 6.20 — — 1 27 21% — — —
Boulaye Dia F 62 6.60 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
M. Cancellieri F 71 6.30 — — 2 15 12% 3 1 —
Daniel Maldini F 29 6.90 — — — 10 9% — — —
F. Dele-Bashiru M 29 6.50 — — — 11 10% — — —
Gustav Isaksen F 20 6.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
Manuel Lazzari M 12 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
Pedro F 12 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Lazio?
The final score was AS Roma 2–0 Lazio.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Lazio?
The model assigned 54% probability to a AS Roma win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Lazio win.