Skip to main content
← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 12:00
AS Roma
#1 · 13 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Lazio
#3 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
G. Mancini (ast. N. Pisilli) 40'
G. Mancini (ast. P. Dybala) 66'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Lazio 20%). The final result was AS Roma 2–0 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
2
1.09
Actual xG
0.71
2
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
3
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
21'
K. Taylor
↕ E. Ndicka / D. Rensch
37'
⚽G. Mancini · ast. N. Pisilli
40'
M. Hermoso
42'
42'
M. Cancellieri
↕ N. Pisilli / S. El Shaarawy
46'
62'
D. Maldini / B. Dia ↕
62'
F. Dele-Bashiru / K. Taylor ↕
64'
N. Tavares
⚽G. Mancini · ast. P. Dybala
66'
Wesley Franca
70'
70'
N. Rovella
71'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri ↕
79'
Pedro / T. Noslin ↕
79'
M. Lazzari / A. Marusic ↕
↕ D. Malen / M. Soule
83'
↕ G. Mancini / J. Ziolkowski
83'
S. El Shaarawy
85'
↕ P. Dybala / A. Dovbyk
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.04%
AS ←
25.34%
X
20.62%
Lazio
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 54.04% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.63
1.09
-0.54
Lazio
0.99
0.71
-0.28
AS Roma dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 Mile Svilar Mile Svilar G 6.60
22 Hermoso Hermoso D 6.50
5
E. Ndicka 37' D 6.70
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 2 ⚽ 83' D 9.30
43 Wesley Wesley 70' M 5.90
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M 7.00
4 Bryan Cristante Bryan Cristante M 7.20
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 6.50
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 👟 45' F 6.90
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala 1 👟 88' F 8.00
14 D. Malen D. Malen 83' F 6.50
Bench
9 A. Dovbyk A. Dovbyk 3' F
3 Angeliño Angeliño D
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 54' D 6.30
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi D
70 Giorgio De Marzi Giorgio De Marzi G
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 8' D 6.30
12 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas D
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 8' F 7.20
95 Pierluigi Gollini Pierluigi Gollini G
78 R. Vaz R. Vaz F
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 46' F 6.30
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
55 Alessio Furlanetto Alessio Furlanetto G 7.00
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.30
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard D 6.50
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila D 6.60
77 Adam Marušić Adam Marušić 79' D 5.90
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor 62' M 6.20
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella 70' M 6.30
26 Toma Bašić Toma Bašić M 7.30
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin 79' F 6.20
19 B. Dia B. Dia 62' F 6.60
22 Matteo Cancellieri Matteo Cancellieri 71' F 6.30
Bench
28 Adrian Przyborek Adrian Przyborek M
32 Danilo Cataldi Danilo Cataldi M
27 D. Maldini D. Maldini 29' F 6.90
23 E. Hysaj E. Hysaj D
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 29' M 6.50
99 Giacomo Giacomone Giacomo Giacomone G
18 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 20' F 6.20
3 Luca Pellegrini Luca Pellegrini D
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari 12' M 6.30
72 Nicolo Pannozzo Nicolo Pannozzo G
9 Pedro Pedro 12' F 6.70
20 P. Ratkov P. Ratkov F
21 Reda Belahyane Reda Belahyane M
2 Samuel Gigot Samuel Gigot D
Best on the pitch
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
9.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Toma Bašić
Toma Bašić
M · Lazio
7.30
· 41 pass
M. Soulé
M. Soulé
F · AS
7.20
· 3 pass
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante
M · AS
7.20
1 shots · 53 pass
N. El Aynaoui
N. El Aynaoui
M · AS
7.00
· 50 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mile Svilar G 91 6.60 — — — 25 13% — — —
Hermoso D 91 6.50 — — 2 46 42% 1 1 —
E. Ndicka D 37 6.70 — — — 29 26% — — —
G. Mancini D 83 9.30 2 — 2 46 45% 1 — —
Wesley M 70 5.90 — — 1 14 12% — — 1
N. El Aynaoui M 91 7.00 — — — 50 46% 3 — —
Bryan Cristante M 91 7.20 — — 1 53 43% 3 — —
Z. Çelik M 91 6.50 — — 1 45 37% 3 — —
N. Pisilli F 45 6.90 — 1 — 15 13% 2 — —
P. Dybala F 88 8.00 — 1 1 30 25% 2 — —
D. Malen F 83 6.50 — — 1 10 9% 1 — —
A. Dovbyk F 3 — — — 2 1 1% — — —
Devyne Rensch D 54 6.30 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 8 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
M. Soulé F 8 7.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 46 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — 1 —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alessio Furlanetto G 91 7.00 — — — 21 18% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 91 6.30 — — 1 48 39% 2 1 —
O. Provstgaard D 91 6.50 — — — 52 48% 3 — —
Mario Gila D 91 6.60 — — 1 46 42% 2 — —
Adam Marušić D 79 5.90 — — — 19 12% — — —
K. Taylor M 62 6.20 — — — 25 22% — 1 —
Nicolò Rovella M 70 6.30 — — — 49 47% — — 1
Toma Bašić M 91 7.30 — — — 41 36% 1 — —
T. Noslin F 79 6.20 — — 1 27 21% — — —
B. Dia F 62 6.60 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
Matteo Cancellieri F 71 6.30 — — 2 15 12% 3 1 —
D. Maldini F 29 6.90 — — — 10 9% — — —
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M 29 6.50 — — — 11 10% — — —
G. Isaksen F 20 6.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
Manuel Lazzari M 12 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
Pedro F 12 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Lazio?
The final score was AS Roma 2–0 Lazio.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Lazio?
The model assigned 54% probability to a AS Roma win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Lazio win.