AS Roma - Real Madrid
Champions League
October 14, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.1%
Win
AS Roma
31.58%
Draw
36.33%
Win
Real Madrid
0.87
1.09
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.61%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
32%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
68%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Madrid a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for AS Roma. Expected goals are 0.9 for AS Roma and 1.1 for Real Madrid (total 2.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.61% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
10W
0D
5L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.3
1.0
Conceded
1.4
3.0
Shots OT
7.0
3.0
Corners
5.6
58%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
0%
O 2.5
80%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ AS Roma
Real Madrid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.0% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
AS Roma
Attack
64
Defence
54
Form
53
Real Madrid
Attack
57
Defence
79
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
The model gives AS Roma a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Real Madrid win.
How many goals are expected in AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
Expected goals: AS Roma 0.9, Real Madrid 1.1 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.61%.