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Champions League · League Stage - 3 October 20, 2026 21:00 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
AS Roma
#15 · 4 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Slovan Bratislava
#36 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
Mario Hermoso (ast. Daniele Ghilardi) 21'
Nahuel Molina 39'
Niccolò Pisilli (ast. Donyell Malen) 52'
Donyell Malen 58' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Slovan Bratislava 17%). The final result was AS Roma 4–0 Slovan Bratislava.

Match statistics
26
Total shots
1
10
Shots on target
0
3.62
Actual xG
0.04
0
Saves
6
73%
Possession
27%
8
Corners
1
12
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
20'
Tigran·Barseghyan
⚽Mario Hermoso · ast. Daniele Ghilardi
21'
⚽Nahuel Molina
39'
↕ Lorenzo Pellegrini / Matias Soule
51'
⚽Niccolò Pisilli · ast. Donyell Malen
52'
55'
Alasana Yirajang / Tigran·Barseghyan ↕
⚽Donyell Malen (pen.)
58'
↕ Donyell Malen / Santiago Thomas Castro
59'
↕ Wesley Vinícius França Lima / Devyne Rensch
59'
65'
Suleiman Camara
69'
Alen Mustafić / Rash Rahim Ibrahim ↕
69'
Cristian Martínez / artur gajdos ↕
69'
Alexej Maroš / Suleiman Camara ↕
75'
Cristian Martínez
↕ Mario Hermoso / Konstantinos Koulierakis
77'
↕ Marten de Roon / Gianluca Mancini
77'
82'
Kevin Wimmer / Sandro Cruz ↕
Pre-match prediction
58.24%
AS ←
24.51%
X
17.25%
Slovan
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 58.24% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.32
3.62
+2.3
Slovan
0.65
0.04
-0.61
AS Roma dominated by xG (3.62 vs 0.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Lineups
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G 6.90
22 Hermoso Hermoso 1 ⚽ 77' D 8.36
26 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi D 8.00
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi 1 👟 D 8.36
43 Wesley Wesley 59' M 6.97
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 ⚽ M 8.20
15 M. de Roon M. de Roon 77' M 7.17
20 N. Molina N. Molina 1 ⚽ M 8.20
7 L. Pellegrini L. Pellegrini 51' M 7.20
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora M 6.81
14 D. Malen D. Malen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 59' F 7.70
Bench
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante M 0.00
2 D. Rensch D. Rensch 31' D 7.51
32 D. Vásquez D. Vásquez G 0.00
77 E. Lulli E. Lulli D 0.00
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka D 0.00
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G 0.00
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 13' D 6.93
3 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis 13' D 7.13
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 39' F 7.02
9 S. Castro S. Castro 31' F 6.60
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 4-1-4-1
71 D. Takáč D. Takáč G 6.60
57 Sandro Cruz Sandro Cruz 82' D 5.48
15 S. Marković S. Marković D 5.86
12 K. Bajrič K. Bajrič D 5.47
28 C. Blackman C. Blackman D 6.09
3 P. Pokorný P. Pokorný M 5.96
21 Suleiman Camara Suleiman Camara 69' M 5.73
8 A. Gajdoš A. Gajdoš 69' M 5.37
5 R. Ibrahim R. Ibrahim 69' M 5.60
11 T. Barseghyan T. Barseghyan 55' M 5.40
10 N. Marcelli N. Marcelli F 6.25
Bench
29 A. Maroš A. Maroš 21' F 6.25
20 A. Mustafić A. Mustafić 21' M 5.84
1 A. Popović A. Popović G 0.00
14 A. Yirajang A. Yirajang 35' F 6.50
70 Cristian Jesús Martínez Cristian Jesús Martínez 21' M 5.59
77 D. Ignatenko D. Ignatenko M 0.00
88 D. Matsuoka D. Matsuoka M 0.00
6 K. Wimmer K. Wimmer 8' D 5.85
7 L. Hofstadter L. Hofstadter M 0.00
26 R. Tománek R. Tománek D 0.00
49 S. Camara S. Camara D 0.00
2 S. Kozlovský S. Kozlovský D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Hermoso
Hermoso
D · AS
8.36
1 ⚽
1 shots · 89 pass
D. Ghilardi
D. Ghilardi
D · AS
8.36
1 👟
3 shots · 52 pass
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
M · AS
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 79 pass
N. Molina
N. Molina
M · AS
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 64 pass
L. Balerdi
L. Balerdi
D · AS
8.00
1 shots · 74 pass
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 14 pass
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Gollini G 90 6.90 — — 0 18 18% 0 — —
Hermoso D 77 8.36 1 — 1 89 80% 1 — —
L. Balerdi D 90 8.00 — — 1 74 69% 4 — —
D. Ghilardi D 90 8.36 — 1 3 52 49% 1 — —
Wesley M 59 6.97 — — 1 47 39% 0 — —
N. Pisilli M 90 8.20 1 — 3 79 77% 2 — —
M. de Roon M 77 7.17 — — 0 66 60% 1 — —
N. Molina M 90 8.20 1 — 3 64 50% 2 — —
L. Pellegrini M 51 7.20 — — 3 33 30% 0 — —
Rodrigo Mora M 90 6.81 — — 1 31 29% 0 — —
D. Malen F 59 7.70 1 1 5 14 12% 0 — —
D. Rensch D 31 7.51 — — 1 25 23% 1 — —
G. Mancini D 13 6.93 — — 0 14 8% 0 — —
K. Koulierakis D 13 7.13 — — 0 11 11% 0 — —
M. Soulé F 39 7.02 — — 1 40 35% 0 — —
S. Castro F 31 6.60 — — 3 9 8% 0 — —
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Takáč G 90 6.60 — — 0 48 21% 0 — —
Sandro Cruz D 82 5.48 — — 0 21 16% 0 — —
S. Marković D 90 5.86 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
K. Bajrič D 90 5.47 — — 0 22 14% 4 — —
C. Blackman D 90 6.09 — — 0 23 21% 2 — —
P. Pokorný M 90 5.96 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
Suleiman Camara M 69 5.73 — — 0 10 6% 0 1 —
A. Gajdoš M 69 5.37 — — 0 17 12% 0 — —
R. Ibrahim M 69 5.60 — — 0 14 11% 1 — —
T. Barseghyan M 55 5.40 — — 0 10 3% 2 1 —
N. Marcelli F 90 6.25 — — 0 13 12% 0 — —
A. Maroš F 21 6.25 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
A. Mustafić M 21 5.84 — — 0 10 6% 0 — —
A. Yirajang F 35 6.50 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Cristian Jesús Martínez M 21 5.59 — — 0 5 5% 0 1 —
K. Wimmer D 8 5.85 — — 0 5 5% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
The final score was AS Roma 4–0 Slovan Bratislava.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
The model assigned 58% probability to a AS Roma win, 24% to a draw, and 17% to an Slovan Bratislava win.