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AS Roma - Sporting CP

Champions League December 08, 2026 21:00
#17 · 1 pts
vs
#7 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.08%
Win
AS Roma
31.08%
Draw
37.84%
Win
Sporting CP
0.83
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.57%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 31%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 69%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for AS Roma. Expected goals are 0.8 for AS Roma and 1.2 for Sporting CP (total 2.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.57% probability.

Season Stats

AS Roma
0W 1D 0L
Sporting CP
7W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.9
1.0
Conceded
1.2
3.0
Shots OT
5.1
3.0
Corners
4.3
58%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
85%
0%
O 2.5
77%
100%
BTTS
62%
0%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ AS Roma Sporting CP →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1% 15.8% 9.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.1% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

D Fenerbahçe 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
W Galatasaray 3–1
D Arsenal 0–0
L Arsenal 0–1
W Bodo/Glimt 5–0
L Bodo/Glimt 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

AS Roma AS Roma
Attack
54
Defence
63
Form
58
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
52
Defence
75
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AS Roma vs Sporting CP?
The model gives AS Roma a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Sporting CP win.
How many goals are expected in AS Roma vs Sporting CP?
Expected goals: AS Roma 0.8, Sporting CP 1.2 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in AS Roma vs Sporting CP?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.57%.