Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese — pre-match prediction — Serie B — August 29, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Regular Season - 2 August 29, 2026 21:00 Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno

Ascoli

#5 · 7 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Carrarese

#20 · 1 pts

G. Gori (ast. G. De Pieri) 82'

51' (ast. J. Rouhi) F. Abiuso

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ascoli a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Carrarese 31%). The final result was Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.58

Actual xG

1.83

Saves

72%

Possession

28%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

S. D'Uffizi

26'

33'

F. Abiuso

47'

F. Ruggeri

51'

ast. J. Rouhi · F. Abiuso⚽

G. Corradini

53'

↕ T. Milanese / A. Oliveri

58'

↕ S. Perciun / D. Bolsius

58'

63'

G. Marconi / M. Cisse ↕

63'

T. Guercio / N. Belloni ↕

68'

N. Schiavi

↕ M. A. Chakir / G. Gori

69'

↕ A. Silipo / G. De Pieri

70'

71'

J. Martini / F. Reale ↕

79'

M. Finotto / F. Abiuso ↕

80'

L. Topalovic / G. Parlanti ↕

⚽G. Gori · ast. G. De Pieri

82'

G. Gori

82'

↕ S. D'Uffizi / M. Brunori

82'

A. Guiebre

85'

Pre-match prediction

35.84%

Ascoli

32.39%

X ←

31.78%

Carrarese

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.39% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Ascoli

1.62

1.58

-0.04

Carrarese

0.94

1.83

+0.89

xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1

Lineups

Ascoli 3-5-2

S. Vitale G 7.20

N. Rizzo D 7.20

M. A. Chakir 69' D 6.60

A. Guiébré D 6.20

A. Silipo 70' M 6.90

S. Perciun 58' M 6.30

S. Damiani M 7.30

T. Milanese 58' M 6.50

G. Corradini M 7.50

S. D'Uffizi 82' F 7.30

Bench

A. Oliveri 36' M 7.20

D. Bolsius 36' F 6.60

F. Gattoni D

G. Acampora M

G. Crespi G

G. De Pieri 1 👟 24' M 7.00

G. Gori 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.70

L. Lo Scalzo M

M. Nicoletti D

M. Ricci M

Carrarese 3-5-2

G. Garofani G 7.20

L. Romani D 6.90

F. Oliana D 6.30

F. Ruggeri D 6.30

J. Rouhi 1 👟 M 7.70

F. Reale 71' M 6.90

Nicolás Schiavi M 6.90

G. Parlanti 80' M 6.90

N. Belloni 63' M 6.60

F. Abiuso 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.50

M. Cissé 63' F 6.20

Bench

F. Melegoni M

G. Baroncelli M

Gonçalo Esteves D

J. Martini 23' M 6.20

L. Topalović 14' M 6.30

M. Finotto 15' F 6.30

P. Pinelli M

S. Pizzignacco G

Tommaso Guercio 31' D 5.90

V. Fiorillo G

Y. Khafi M

Best on the pitch

G. Gori

F · Ascoli

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

J. Rouhi

M · Carrarese

7.70

1 👟

· 20 pass

F. Abiuso

F · Carrarese

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 9 pass

G. Corradini

M · Ascoli

7.50

1 shots · 54 pass

S. D'Uffizi

F · Ascoli

7.30

2 shots · 31 pass

S. Damiani

M · Ascoli

7.30

· 77 pass

Ascoli — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Vitale	G	94	7.20	—	—	—	22	20%	—	—	—
N. Rizzo	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	83	78%	2	—	—
M. A. Chakir	D	69	6.60	—	—	7	8	8%	—	—	—
A. Guiébré	D	94	6.20	—	—	—	52	45%	2	1	—
A. Silipo	M	70	6.90	—	—	3	33	30%	—	—	—
S. Perciun	M	58	6.30	—	—	—	18	17%	1	—	—
S. Damiani	M	94	7.30	—	—	—	77	70%	3	—	—
T. Milanese	M	58	6.50	—	—	—	49	45%	—	—	—
G. Corradini	M	94	7.50	—	—	1	54	44%	1	1	—
S. D'Uffizi	F	82	7.30	—	—	2	31	27%	1	1	—
A. Oliveri	M	36	7.20	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
D. Bolsius	F	36	6.60	—	—	—	15	9%	1	—	—
G. De Pieri	M	24	7.00	—	1	1	10	9%	—	—	—
G. Gori	F	25	7.70	1	—	1	6	6%	—	1	—

Carrarese — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Garofani	G	94	7.20	—	—	—	20	9%	—	—	—
L. Romani	D	94	6.90	—	—	3	20	16%	—	—	—
F. Oliana	D	94	6.30	—	—	1	21	13%	1	—	—
F. Ruggeri	D	94	6.30	—	—	1	20	19%	1	1	—
J. Rouhi	M	94	7.70	—	1	—	20	15%	—	—	—
F. Reale	M	71	6.90	—	—	—	12	10%	1	—	—
Nicolás Schiavi	M	94	6.90	—	—	1	26	20%	—	1	—
G. Parlanti	M	80	6.90	—	—	1	20	16%	2	—	—
N. Belloni	M	63	6.60	—	—	—	9	7%	1	—	—
F. Abiuso	F	79	7.50	1	—	3	9	6%	1	1	—
M. Cissé	F	63	6.20	—	—	2	9	6%	—	—	—
J. Martini	M	23	6.20	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
L. Topalović	M	14	6.30	—	—	2	6	5%	—	—	—
M. Finotto	F	15	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	1	—	—
Tommaso Guercio	D	31	5.90	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Carrarese?

The final score was Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese.

What did the model predict before Ascoli vs Carrarese?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Ascoli win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Carrarese win.