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Serie B · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 15:00 Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Ascoli
#3 · 18 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Empoli
#17 · 7 pts
Nicholas Rizzo (ast. Matteo Brunori) 26'
14' Joseph Ceesay
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ascoli a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Empoli 25%). The final result was Ascoli 1–1 Empoli.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
2
1.59
Actual xG
0.81
1
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
8
14
Tackles
27
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
Joseph Ceesay⚽
⚽Nicholas Rizzo · ast. Matteo Brunori
26'
45'
Filippo Bandinelli / Edoardo Biondini ↕
54'
Lapo Deli / Gerard Yepes ↕
↕ Gennao Acampora / Don Bolsius
62'
↕ Matteo Brunori / amine chakir
62'
↕ Andrea Oliveri / Tommaso Milanese
63'
↕ Andrea·Silipo / Giacomo De Pieri
63'
63'
Steven Shpendi / Bogdan Popov ↕
↕ Marcos Curado / Federico Gattoni
71'
84'
Matteo Egan / Joseph Ceesay ↕
84'
Luca Belardinelli / Edoardo Saporiti ↕
Abdoul Guiebre
90'+2
90'
Luca Magnino
Pre-match prediction
46.24%
Ascoli
27.89%
X ←
25.87%
Empoli
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ascoli
1.98
1.59
-0.39
Empoli
0.82
0.81
-0.01
Ascoli dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Ascoli Ascoli 4-2-3-1
1 S. Vitale S. Vitale G 6.91
19 A. Guiébré A. Guiébré D 6.61
33 N. Rizzo N. Rizzo 1 ⚽ D 7.65
30 M. Curado M. Curado 71' D 6.40
14 A. Oliveri A. Oliveri 63' D 6.68
4 S. Damiani S. Damiani M 7.20
8 G. Corradini G. Corradini M 6.33
15 S. D'Uffizi S. D'Uffizi M 6.42
13 G. Acampora G. Acampora 62' M 5.87
7 A. Silipo A. Silipo 63' M 6.33
99
62' F 6.95
Bench
9 A. Chakir A. Chakir 28' F 6.51
77 D. Bolsius D. Bolsius 28' F 6.47
32 F. Gattoni F. Gattoni 19' D 6.23
45 G. Crespi G. Crespi G 0.00
21 G. De Pieri G. De Pieri 27' M 6.00
35 G. Gori G. Gori F 0.00
18 L. Lo Scalzo L. Lo Scalzo M 0.00
5 L. Venuti L. Venuti D 0.00
3 M. Nicoletti M. Nicoletti D 0.00
27 M. Ricci M. Ricci M 0.00
11 S. Perciun S. Perciun M 0.00
62 T. Milanese T. Milanese 27' M 6.79
Empoli Empoli 3-5-2
12 J. Seghetti J. Seghetti G 5.85
33 C. Cauz C. Cauz D 6.53
25 M. Curto M. Curto D 6.31
8 L. Magnino L. Magnino D 6.33
91 N. Corrado N. Corrado M 6.06
10 E. Saporiti E. Saporiti 84' M 5.89
21 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 54' M 6.63
39 E. Biondini E. Biondini 45' M 6.01
98 K. Zedadka K. Zedadka M 6.44
15 J. Ceesay J. Ceesay 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.70
77 B. Popov B. Popov 63' F 6.19
Bench
36 D. Bembnista D. Bembnista D 0.00
5 D. Degli Innocenti D. Degli Innocenti M 0.00
13 E. Filippis E. Filippis G 0.00
23 F. Bandinelli F. Bandinelli 45' M 6.55
16 F. Meznar F. Meznar F 0.00
28 G. Indragoli G. Indragoli D 0.00
57 L. Belardinelli L. Belardinelli 6' M 6.75
44 L. Deli L. Deli 36' M 6.56
35 M. Egan M. Egan 6' D 6.70
1 S. Perisan S. Perisan G 0.00
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi 27' F 6.93
Best on the pitch
J. Ceesay
J. Ceesay
F · Empoli
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
N. Rizzo
N. Rizzo
D · Ascoli
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
S. Damiani
S. Damiani
M · Ascoli
7.20
1 shots · 69 pass
F · Ascoli
6.95
1 shots · 6 pass
S. Shpendi
S. Shpendi
F · Empoli
6.93
2 shots · 7 pass
S. Vitale
S. Vitale
G · Ascoli
6.91
· 32 pass
Ascoli Ascoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Vitale G 90 6.91 — — 0 32 28% 0 — —
A. Guiébré D 90 6.61 — — 1 44 39% 2 1 —
N. Rizzo D 90 7.65 1 — 1 58 50% 2 — —
M. Curado D 71 6.40 — — 1 55 46% 3 — —
A. Oliveri D 63 6.68 — — 0 39 38% 1 — —
S. Damiani M 90 7.20 — — 1 69 63% 0 — —
G. Corradini M 90 6.33 — — 1 39 35% 5 — —
S. D'Uffizi M 90 6.42 — — 1 30 25% 0 — —
G. Acampora M 62 5.87 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
A. Silipo M 63 6.33 — — 0 16 13% 0 — —
F 62 6.95 — — 1 6 3% 1 — —
A. Chakir F 28 6.51 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
D. Bolsius F 28 6.47 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
F. Gattoni D 19 6.23 — — 1 12 11% 0 — —
G. De Pieri M 27 6.00 — — 1 11 8% 0 — —
T. Milanese M 27 6.79 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Seghetti G 90 5.85 — — 0 35 15% 0 — —
C. Cauz D 90 6.53 — — 1 31 26% 4 — —
M. Curto D 90 6.31 — — 0 29 22% 1 — —
L. Magnino D 90 6.33 — — 0 37 34% 0 1 —
N. Corrado M 90 6.06 — — 2 31 19% 3 — —
E. Saporiti M 84 5.89 — — 1 26 20% 3 — —
Gerard Yepes M 54 6.63 — — 1 16 15% 3 — —
E. Biondini M 45 6.01 — — 0 7 4% 2 — —
K. Zedadka M 90 6.44 — — 1 25 15% 6 — —
J. Ceesay F 84 7.70 1 — 3 10 8% 0 — —
B. Popov F 63 6.19 — — 1 13 6% 0 — —
F. Bandinelli M 45 6.55 — — 2 11 4% 4 — —
L. Belardinelli M 6 6.75 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
L. Deli M 36 6.56 — — 0 8 6% 1 — —
M. Egan D 6 6.70 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
S. Shpendi F 27 6.93 — — 2 7 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ascoli vs Empoli?
The final score was Ascoli 1–1 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Ascoli vs Empoli?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Ascoli win, 27% to a draw, and 25% to an Empoli win.