Ascoli - Potenza
Weather at kick-off
🌧️
Showers
25.8°C
💨 1 km/h
🌧️ 57%
· Ascoli Piceno
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.54%
Win
Ascoli
35.65%
Draw
30.81%
Win
Potenza
0.88
0.82
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(17.3%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
36%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
67%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ascoli a 33% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 30% for Potenza. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ascoli and 0.8 for Potenza (total 1.7), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 17.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ascoli have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Potenza.
Season Stats
11W
2D
2L
6W
4D
5L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.6
0.5
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
60%
33%
BTTS
53%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
9W
1D
0L
· at home
3W
2D
5L
· away
2.3
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
1.2
90%
Win %
30%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
40%
60%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Ascoli
Potenza →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.4% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ascoli
Attack
31
Defence
84
Form
64
Potenza
Attack
40
Defence
79
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ascoli vs Potenza?
The model gives Ascoli a 33% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 30% for an Potenza win.
How many goals are expected in Ascoli vs Potenza?
Expected goals: Ascoli 0.9, Potenza 0.8 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Ascoli vs Potenza?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.3%.