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Serie B · Regular Season - 9 October 27, 2026 20:00 Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Ascoli
#3 · 18 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Sampdoria
#19 · 5 pts
Andrea·Silipo (ast. Matteo Brunori) 55'
Oliver Abildgaard 82' (og)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ascoli a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Sampdoria 27%). The final result was Ascoli 2–0 Sampdoria.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
0.66
Actual xG
0.66
6
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
4
9
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
53'
Filippo Delli Carri
⚽Andrea·Silipo · ast. Matteo Brunori
55'
66'
Stefan Gartenmann / Alex Ferrari ↕
66'
Gennaro Tutino / Antoine Makoumbou ↕
↕ Matteo Brunori / Gabriele Gori
66'
↕ Lorenzo Venuti / Andrea Oliveri
66'
↕ Gennao Acampora / Tommaso Milanese
66'
72'
Yann Karamoh / Tobias Lauritsen ↕
↕ Manuel Nicoletti / Nicholas Rizzo
76'
⚽Oliver Abildgaard (og)
82'
↕ Giovanni Corradini / Sergiu Perciun
85'
Abdoul Guiebre
89'
89'
Tjas Begic
90'+4
Karim Diop / Alessandro Di Pardo ↕
Pre-match prediction
45.42%
Ascoli ←
27.31%
X
27.27%
Sampdoria
we assigned to the actual result (Ascoli) 45.42% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ascoli
1.87
0.66
-1.21
Sampdoria
1.10
0.66
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.66 – 0.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Ascoli Ascoli 3-5-2
1 S. Vitale S. Vitale G 8.37
3 M. Nicoletti M. Nicoletti 76' D 7.27
30 M. Curado M. Curado D 7.79
5 L. Venuti L. Venuti 66' D 7.21
19 A. Guiébré A. Guiébré M 7.08
13 G. Acampora G. Acampora 66' M 6.83
4 S. Damiani S. Damiani M 7.20
8 G. Corradini G. Corradini 85' M 7.03
7 A. Silipo A. Silipo 1 ⚽ M 8.20
15 S. D'Uffizi S. D'Uffizi F 6.46
99
F 0.00
Bench
9 A. Chakir A. Chakir F 0.00
14 A. Oliveri A. Oliveri 24' M 6.70
77 D. Bolsius D. Bolsius F 0.00
32 F. Gattoni F. Gattoni D 0.00
45 G. Crespi G. Crespi G 0.00
21 G. De Pieri G. De Pieri M 0.00
35 G. Gori G. Gori 24' F 6.41
18 L. Lo Scalzo L. Lo Scalzo M 0.00
27 M. Ricci M. Ricci M 0.00
33 N. Rizzo N. Rizzo 14' D 7.04
11 S. Perciun S. Perciun 5' M 6.76
62 T. Milanese T. Milanese 24' M 6.74
Sampdoria Sampdoria 4-3-2-1
12 Andrey Krastev Andrey Krastev G 6.60
7 M. Cicconi M. Cicconi D 6.68
15 F. Delli Carri F. Delli Carri D 5.98
25 A. Ferrari A. Ferrari 66' D 6.54
29 A. Di Pardo A. Di Pardo 89' D 5.95
6 L. Henderson L. Henderson M 6.30
28 O. Abildgaard O. Abildgaard 1 ⚽ M 5.10
45 A. Makoumbou A. Makoumbou 66' M 6.19
16 Y. Verschaeren Y. Verschaeren M 6.97
11 T. Begić T. Begić M 6.45
9 T. Lauritsen T. Lauritsen 72' F 6.23
Bench
99 G. Tutino G. Tutino 24' F 6.64
38 K. Diop K. Diop 1' D 0.00
43 K. Mbabu K. Mbabu D 0.00
39 L. Mezzotero L. Mezzotero F 0.00
1 P. Vindahl P. Vindahl G 0.00
3 S. Gartenmann S. Gartenmann 24' D 6.39
96 S. Massolo S. Massolo G 0.00
Best on the pitch
S. Vitale
S. Vitale
G · Ascoli
8.37
· 37 pass
A. Silipo
A. Silipo
M · Ascoli
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 39 pass
M. Curado
M. Curado
D · Ascoli
7.79
1 shots · 115 pass
M. Nicoletti
M. Nicoletti
D · Ascoli
7.27
· 78 pass
L. Venuti
L. Venuti
D · Ascoli
7.21
· 50 pass
S. Damiani
S. Damiani
M · Ascoli
7.20
· 70 pass
Ascoli Ascoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Vitale G 90 8.37 — — 0 37 30% 0 — —
M. Nicoletti D 76 7.27 — — 0 78 74% 0 — —
M. Curado D 90 7.79 — — 1 115 99% 1 — —
L. Venuti D 66 7.21 — — 0 50 46% 1 — —
A. Guiébré M 90 7.08 — — 3 34 27% 0 1 —
G. Acampora M 66 6.83 — — 1 30 27% 0 — —
S. Damiani M 90 7.20 — — 0 70 65% 3 — —
G. Corradini M 85 7.03 — — 1 46 44% 3 — —
A. Silipo M 90 8.20 1 — 4 39 32% 0 — —
S. D'Uffizi F 90 6.46 — — 1 37 28% 1 — —
F 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
A. Oliveri M 24 6.70 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
G. Gori F 24 6.41 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
N. Rizzo D 14 7.04 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
S. Perciun M 5 6.76 — — 0 10 6% 0 — —
T. Milanese M 24 6.74 — — 0 12 10% 0 — —
Sampdoria Sampdoria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Andrey Krastev G 90 6.60 — — 0 23 15% 0 — —
M. Cicconi D 90 6.68 — — 1 26 20% 1 — —
F. Delli Carri D 90 5.98 — — 1 30 22% 1 1 —
A. Ferrari D 66 6.54 — — 0 11 6% 2 — —
A. Di Pardo D 89 5.95 — — 0 22 13% 4 — —
L. Henderson M 90 6.30 — — 4 38 27% 1 — —
O. Abildgaard M 90 5.10 1 — 1 26 18% 1 — —
A. Makoumbou M 66 6.19 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
Y. Verschaeren M 90 6.97 — — 2 34 31% 0 — —
T. Begić M 90 6.45 — — 2 29 22% 1 1 —
T. Lauritsen F 72 6.23 — — 0 18 13% 2 — —
G. Tutino F 24 6.64 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
K. Diop D 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
S. Gartenmann D 24 6.39 — — 0 9 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
The final score was Ascoli 2–0 Sampdoria.
What did the model predict before Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Ascoli win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Sampdoria win.