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Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens FC

Super League September 13, 2026 18:00
Asteras Tripolis
#13 · 0 pts
vs
AEK Athens FC
#3 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.73%
Win
Asteras Tripolis
31.24%
Draw
37.03%
Win
AEK Athens FC
1.64
Expected xG
1.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.36%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 90.5% hit rate (21 picks)
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AEK Athens FC a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Asteras Tripolis. Expected goals are 1.6 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.7 for AEK Athens FC (total 3.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.36% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Asteras Tripolis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for AEK Athens FC.

Season Stats

Asteras Tripolis
5W 5D 5L
AEK Athens FC
8W 7D 0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.0
1.1
Conceded
0.5
3.6
Shots OT
5.4
5.1
Corners
4.9
47%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
47%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Super League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Asteras Tripolis
4W 1D 5L · at home
AEK Athens FC
3W 7D 0L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.3
1.2
Conceded
0.7
40%
Win %
30%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
60%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
40%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Asteras Tripolis AEK Athens FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 6.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 5.7% 9.8% 8.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
L Iraklis 1908 0–2
L Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1
L Panetolikos 3–1
W Panetolikos 1–2
D Kifisia 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
W Aris Thessalonikis 5–0
D Kifisia 1–1
W Iraklis 1908 4–0
D Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1
D PAOK 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
Attack
23
Defence
48
Form
29
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Attack
37
Defence
53
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Asteras Tripolis
0
Draw
2
AEK Athens FC
24 Jan 2026 Super League 0–1
31 Aug 2025 Super League 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3 9
2 Panetolikos Panetolikos 3 9
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 7
4 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 7
5 PAOK PAOK 3 6
6 OFI OFI 3 6
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 3 6
8 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 3 4
9 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3 2
10 Atromitos Atromitos 3 1
11 Kalamata Kalamata 3 1
12 Kifisia Kifisia 3 1
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3 0
14 Levadiakos Levadiakos 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
The model gives Asteras Tripolis a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an AEK Athens FC win.
How many goals are expected in Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Expected goals: Asteras Tripolis 1.6, AEK Athens FC 1.7 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.36%.