Super League
· Relegation Group - 1
April 04, 2026 17:00
J. Bartolo
(ast. K. Ketu)
12'
F. Macheda
59'
O. M. Chidera
90'
90'
L. Garate
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Asteras Tripolis a 32% win probability (draw 37%, Larisa 29%). The final result was Asteras Tripolis 3–1 Larisa. In 3 previous meetings, Asteras Tripolis have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Larisa.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.25
Actual xG
1.06
3
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
8
15
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Bartolo
· ast. K. Ketu
12'
46'
G. Pasas
/
E. Ferigra
⚽F. Macheda
59'
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
62'
64'
S. Mourgos
/
G. Kakuta
64'
F. Perez
/
V. Sourlis
F. Macheda
/ N. Kaltsas
75'
J. Bartolo
/ O. M. Chidera
76'
78'
L. Garate
/
G. Naor
78'
Z. Chatzistravos
/
L. Tupta
79'
Ángelo Sagal
K. Ketu
/ T. Tzandaris
87'
88'
Theocharis Iliadis
I. Sylla
/ D. Emmanouilidis
90'+1
E. Gonzalez
/ K. Pomonis
90'+1
⚽O. M. Chidera
90'
90'
L. Garate⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.87%
Asteras ←
37.57%
X
29.56%
Larisa
we assigned to the actual result (Asteras Tripolis)
32.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
1.25
+0.53
0.91
1.06
+0.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.25 – 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
69
O. Alagbe
O. Alagbe
13
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
3
Nikola Šipčić
D
4
I. Sylla
89'
M
68
Christos Almyras
M
Christos Almyras
M
10
Eder González
89'
M
Eder González
89'
M
64
P. Deligiannidis
M
P. Deligiannidis
M
40
K. Ketu
1 👟
7
J. Bartolo
1 ⚽
76'
F
J. Bartolo
1 ⚽
76'
F
41
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
75'
F
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
26
C. Okoh
1 ⚽
14'
F
22
Miki Muñoz
M
Miki Muñoz
M
17
N. Alho
D
N. Alho
D
20
N. Kaltsas
15'
F
N. Kaltsas
15'
F
75
S. Mitrović
F
S. Mitrović
F
21
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
4
Theocharis Iliadis
D
Theocharis Iliadis
D
33
L. Rosić
D
14
Erick Ferigra
45'
D
Erick Ferigra
45'
D
20
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
M
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
M
90
V. Sourlis
64'
M
V. Sourlis
64'
M
15
G. Naor
78'
M
G. Naor
78'
M
27
Y. Maçon
M
Y. Maçon
M
25
Á. Sagal
F
Á. Sagal
F
29
Lubomir Tupta
78'
F
5
Gaël Kakuta
64'
F
Gaël Kakuta
64'
F
Bench
8
F. Pérez
26'
M
19
G. Pasas
45'
M
G. Pasas
45'
M
2
K. Apostolakis
M
K. Apostolakis
M
23
Leandro Garate
1 ⚽
12'
F
Leandro Garate
1 ⚽
12'
F
18
Zisis Chatzistravos
12'
M
Zisis Chatzistravos
12'
M
Best on the pitch
C. Okoh
F · Asteras
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
J. Bartolo
F · Asteras
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
F. Macheda
F · Asteras
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Nikola Šipčić
D · Asteras
7.20
· 41 pass
I. Sylla
M · Asteras
7.20
· 29 pass
Leandro Garate
F · Larisa
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| O. Alagbe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Šipčić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Sylla | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Christos Almyras | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Eder González | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Deligiannidis | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Ketu | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Bartolo | F | 76 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Macheda | F | 75 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Okoh | F | 14 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Kaltsas | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Larisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodoros Venetikidis | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Theocharis Iliadis | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 74 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Rosić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Ferigra | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Davíð Kristján Ólafsson | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | — | — | — |
| V. Sourlis | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Naor | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Maçon | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Sagal | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Lubomir Tupta | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Gaël Kakuta | F | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Pérez | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Pasas | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Garate | F | 12 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Zisis Chatzistravos | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Larisa?
The final score was Asteras Tripolis 3–1 Larisa.
What did the model predict before Asteras Tripolis vs Larisa?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Asteras Tripolis win, 37% to a draw, and 29% to an Larisa win.