Super League
· Regular Season - 2
August 30, 2026 20:00
31'
(ast. M. Saliakas)
Jota Silva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Asteras Tripolis 31%). The final result was Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus. In 3 previous meetings, Asteras Tripolis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Olympiakos Piraeus.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
7
0.88
Actual xG
1.00
6
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
5
11
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
P. Retsos
31'
ast. M. Saliakas ·
Jota Silva⚽
K. Ketu
39'
D. Kourbelis
41'
F. Orozco
45'
J. Bartolo
/ B. Perez
46'
58'
S. Hezze
F. Orozco
/ B. Kimpioka
60'
64'
Z. Smajlovic
/
M. Saliakas
69'
A. Gonzalez
/
J. Roca
69'
G. Martins
/
Jota Silva
75'
R. Freuler
/
A. El Kaabi
75'
G. Sa
/
L. Scipioni
Ricardinho
/ F. Macheda
75'
K. Ketu
/ N. Kaltsas
75'
G. Kotsiras
/ A. Papakanellos
82'
87'
R. Freuler
90'+3
N. Tiknizyan
Pre-match prediction
31.46%
Asteras
31.9%
X
36.65%
Olympiakos ←
we assigned to the actual result (Olympiakos Piraeus)
36.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
0.88
-0.87
1.87
1.00
-0.87
xG dominance was balanced (0.88 – 1.00).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
N. Papadopoulos
G
N. Papadopoulos
G
28
Alex Méndez
D
Alex Méndez
D
32
J. Silva
D
J. Silva
D
74
D. Laskaris
D
D. Laskaris
D
27
G. Kotsiras
82'
D
G. Kotsiras
82'
D
21
D. Kourbelis
M
D. Kourbelis
M
11
K. Ketu
75'
M
K. Ketu
75'
M
10
Eder González
M
Eder González
M
7
J. Bartolo
45'
M
J. Bartolo
45'
M
19
F. Orozco
60'
M
F. Orozco
60'
M
39
Ricardinho
75'
F
Ricardinho
75'
F
Bench
23
Adrián Riera
M
Adrián Riera
M
44
A. Papakanellos
10'
M
A. Papakanellos
10'
M
17
A. Tereziou
F
A. Tereziou
F
75
B. Mbunga Kimpioka
32'
F
B. Mbunga Kimpioka
32'
F
80
B. Pérez
47'
M
B. Pérez
47'
M
16
F. Brorsson
D
F. Brorsson
D
9
F. Macheda
17'
F
F. Macheda
17'
F
8
I. Bouzoukis
M
I. Bouzoukis
M
6
K. Chrisopoulos
D
K. Chrisopoulos
D
20
N. Kaltsas
17'
F
N. Kaltsas
17'
F
91
T. Kakadiaris
G
T. Kakadiaris
G
61
V. Chatziemmanouil
G
V. Chatziemmanouil
G
1
S. Ortega
G
S. Ortega
G
71
N. Tiknizyan
D
N. Tiknizyan
D
5
L. Pirola
D
L. Pirola
D
45
P. Retsos
D
P. Retsos
D
2
M. Saliakas
1 👟
64'
D
M. Saliakas
1 👟
64'
D
16
L. Scipioni
75'
M
L. Scipioni
75'
M
32
S. Hezze
M
S. Hezze
M
73
Joel Roca
69'
M
Joel Roca
69'
M
22
Chiquinho
M
Chiquinho
M
20
Jota Silva
1 ⚽
69'
M
Jota Silva
1 ⚽
69'
M
9
A. El Kaabi
75'
F
A. El Kaabi
75'
F
Bench
34
A. González
23'
F
A. González
23'
F
31
B. Popović
G
B. Popović
G
90
Clayton
F
Clayton
F
96
C. Mouzakitis
M
C. Mouzakitis
M
14
Dani García
M
Dani García
M
6
David Carmo
D
David Carmo
D
10
Gelson Martins
23'
M
Gelson Martins
23'
M
8
Gustavo Sá
17'
M
Gustavo Sá
17'
M
7
K. Fortounis
M
K. Fortounis
M
19
R. Freuler
17'
M
R. Freuler
17'
M
70
S. Onyemaechi
D
S. Onyemaechi
D
4
Z. Smajlović
28'
D
Z. Smajlović
28'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Scipioni
M · Olympiakos
7.60
· 35 pass
D. Laskaris
D · Asteras
7.50
· 49 pass
M. Saliakas
D · Olympiakos
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
Jota Silva
M · Olympiakos
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Chiquinho
M · Olympiakos
7.20
· 35 pass
J. Bartolo
M · Asteras
7.20
· 11 pass
Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Papadopoulos | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Alex Méndez | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Silva | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 45% | — | — | — |
| D. Laskaris | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Kotsiras | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Kourbelis | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Ketu | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Eder González | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Bartolo | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Orozco | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Ricardinho | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Papakanellos | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbunga Kimpioka | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Pérez | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Macheda | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Kaltsas | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ortega | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Tiknizyan | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Pirola | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Retsos | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Saliakas | D | 64 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Scipioni | M | 75 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Hezze | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joel Roca | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jota Silva | M | 69 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. El Kaabi | F | 75 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. González | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Sá | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Z. Smajlović | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The final score was Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
What did the model predict before Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Asteras Tripolis win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Olympiakos Piraeus win.