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Aston Villa - Borussia Dortmund

Champions League January 19, 2027 21:00
Aston Villa
#2 · 9 pts
vs
Borussia Dortmund
#13 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.67%
Win
Aston Villa
31.98%
Draw
42.35%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
0.46
Expected xG
1.18

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (12.48%)
1X2 Result
1 26%
X 32%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 58%
X2 74%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Borussia Dortmund a 42% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Aston Villa. Expected goals are 0.5 for Aston Villa and 1.2 for Borussia Dortmund (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.48% probability.

Season Stats

Aston Villa
3W 0D 0L
Borussia Dortmund
6W 2D 5L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
2.1
1.0
Conceded
1.9
10.0
Shots OT
5.1
7.3
Corners
5.3
45%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
92%
100%
O 2.5
69%
67%
BTTS
62%
33%
Clean Sht
15%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
79%
O 3.5
61%
BTTS
Aston Villa
2W 0D 0L · at home
Borussia Dortmund
2W 1D 4L · away
4.5
gls/g
1.7
0.5
Conceded
2.6
100%
Win %
29%
100%
Win or Draw
43%
100%
O 1.5
86%
100%
O 2.5
71%
100%
O 3.5
57%
50%
BTTS
71%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Aston Villa Borussia Dortmund →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.5% 22.9% 13.5% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4%
1 8.9% 10.5% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% —
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Aston Villa Aston Villa
W Viking 3–1
W Fenerbahçe 6–0
W Club Brugge KV 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
W Sabah FA 1–2
L Bodo/Glimt 1–0
W Villarreal 3–2
L Atalanta 4–1
W Atalanta 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Aston Villa Aston Villa
Attack
59
Defence
58
Form
68
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Attack
49
Defence
72
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model gives Aston Villa a 25% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 42% for an Borussia Dortmund win.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
Expected goals: Aston Villa 0.5, Borussia Dortmund 1.2 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.48%.