Aston Villa - Borussia Dortmund
Champions League
January 19, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.67%
Win
Aston Villa
31.98%
Draw
42.35%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
0.46
1.18
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(12.48%)
1X2 Result
1
26%
X
32%
2
42%
Double Chance
1X
58%
X2
74%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Borussia Dortmund a 42% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Aston Villa. Expected goals are 0.5 for Aston Villa and 1.2 for Borussia Dortmund (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.48% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
5W
2D
4L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.3
2.0
Conceded
2.1
9.0
Shots OT
4.8
5.0
Corners
4.5
36%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
73%
100%
BTTS
64%
0%
Clean Sht
18%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Aston Villa
Borussia Dortmund →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.5% | 22.9% | 13.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Aston Villa
Attack
26
Defence
49
Form
39
Borussia Dortmund
Attack
50
Defence
71
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model gives Aston Villa a 25% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 42% for an Borussia Dortmund win.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
Expected goals: Aston Villa 0.5, Borussia Dortmund 1.2 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.48%.