Nicolas Jackson
12'
John McGinn
(ast. Johan Manzambi)
77'
10'
Yehor Yarmoliuk
79'
(ast. Jaidon Anthony)
Kristoffer Ajer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Aston Villa 34%). The final result was Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford. In 3 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Brentford.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
14
7
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
1.31
3
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
2
16
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
10'
Yehor Yarmoliuk⚽
⚽Nicolas Jackson
12'
35'
Igor Thiago
Emiliano Buendía
45'+3
Matteo Ruggeri
/ Aaron Wan-Bissaka
45'
45'
Aaron Hickey
/
Jannik Schuster
52'
Mamadou Sangare
/
Kevin Schade
Emiliano Buendía
/ Ibrahim Mbaye
64'
67'
Dango Ouattara
/
Keane Lewis-Potter
67'
Mathias Jensen
/
Yehor Yarmoliuk
Matty Cash
72'
75'
Vitaly Janelt
⚽John McGinn
· ast. Johan Manzambi
77'
79'
ast. Jaidon Anthony ·
Kristoffer Ajer⚽
82'
Michael Kayode
84'
Kristoffer Ajer
85'
Callum Wilson
/
Jaidon Anthony
João Gomes
/ Ross Barkley
86'
Johan Manzambi
/ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
86'
90'+5
Callum Wilson
90'+5
K. Andrews
Pre-match prediction
34.12%
Aston
30.01%
X ←
35.87%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
1.84
+0.49
1.54
1.31
-0.23
Aston Villa dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
13
M. Ruggeri
46'
D
M. Ruggeri
46'
D
5
T. Mings
D
T. Mings
D
3
V. Lindelöf
D
V. Lindelöf
D
2
M. Cash
D
M. Cash
D
35
João Gomes
86'
M
João Gomes
86'
M
8
B. Kamara
M
B. Kamara
M
44
J. Manzambi
1 👟
86'
M
J. Manzambi
1 👟
86'
M
10
E. Buendía
64'
M
E. Buendía
64'
M
7
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
M
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
M
11
N. Jackson
1 ⚽
F
N. Jackson
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
A. Garnacho
F
A. Garnacho
F
47
Alysson Edward
4'
F
Alysson Edward
4'
F
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
44'
D
A. Wan-Bissaka
44'
D
19
I. Mbaye
26'
F
I. Mbaye
26'
F
26
L. Bogarde
M
L. Bogarde
M
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
6
R. Barkley
4'
M
R. Barkley
4'
M
18
T. Abraham
F
T. Abraham
F
1
C. Kelleher
G
C. Kelleher
G
25
E. Diouf
D
E. Diouf
D
20
K. Ajer
1 ⚽
D
K. Ajer
1 ⚽
D
44
Jannik Schuster
46'
D
Jannik Schuster
46'
D
33
M. Kayode
D
M. Kayode
D
27
V. Janelt
M
V. Janelt
M
6
Y. Yarmolyuk
1 ⚽
67'
M
Y. Yarmolyuk
1 ⚽
67'
M
7
K. Schade
52'
M
K. Schade
52'
M
23
K. Lewis-Potter
67'
M
K. Lewis-Potter
67'
M
19
J. Anthony
1 👟
85'
M
J. Anthony
1 👟
85'
M
9
Thiago
F
Thiago
F
Bench
2
A. Hickey
44'
D
A. Hickey
44'
D
48
B. Fredrick
D
B. Fredrick
D
13
C. Wilson
5'
F
C. Wilson
5'
F
11
D. Ouattara
23'
F
D. Ouattara
23'
F
14
Fábio Carvalho
M
Fábio Carvalho
M
12
H. Valdimarsson
G
H. Valdimarsson
G
8
M. Jensen
23'
M
M. Jensen
23'
M
18
M. Sangaré
38'
M
M. Sangaré
38'
M
4
S. van den Berg
D
S. van den Berg
D
Best on the pitch
N. Jackson
F · Aston
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
J. Manzambi
M · Aston
7.70
1 👟
7 shots
· 21 pass
J. McGinn
M · Aston
7.58
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
K. Ajer
D · Brentford
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Y. Yarmolyuk
M · Brentford
7.18
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
J. Anthony
M · Brentford
6.93
1 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ruggeri | D | 46 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Mings | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 5 | 1 | — |
| João Gomes | M | 86 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Kamara | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 86 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 7 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 64 | 5.97 | — | — | 4 | 28 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 90 | 7.58 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Jackson | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Alysson Edward | F | 4 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | D | 44 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Mbaye | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 4 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher | G | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Diouf | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | 46 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 90 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | M | 67 | 7.18 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 52 | 6.41 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Lewis-Potter | M | 67 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Anthony | M | 85 | 6.93 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Hickey | D | 44 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Wilson | F | 5 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Ouattara | F | 23 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 23 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 38 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Brentford?
The final score was Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Aston Villa vs Brentford?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Aston Villa win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an Brentford win.