Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe
Champions League
October 14, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.09%
Win
Aston Villa
31.18%
Draw
45.73%
Win
Fenerbahçe
0.45
1.22
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(15.8%)
1X2 Result
1
23%
X
31%
2
46%
Double Chance
1X
54%
X2
77%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 45% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Aston Villa. Expected goals are 0.4 for Aston Villa and 1.2 for Fenerbahçe (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fenerbahçe.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
5W
4D
2L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
1.4
2.0
Conceded
0.8
9.0
Shots OT
5.2
5.0
Corners
4.7
36%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
64%
100%
O 2.5
27%
100%
BTTS
55%
0%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.0% | 23.0% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Aston Villa
Attack
26
Defence
49
Form
39
Fenerbahçe
Attack
56
Defence
68
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
22 Jan 2026
1–0
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
The model gives Aston Villa a 23% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 45% for an Fenerbahçe win.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
Expected goals: Aston Villa 0.4, Fenerbahçe 1.2 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.8%.