Aston Villa - Liverpool

Premier League May 15, 2026 21:00

Aston Villa

#5 · 59 pts

21:00

vs

Liverpool

#4 · 59 pts

Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 9.5°C 💨 15 km/h · Birmingham

⚡ Pre-match analysis

38.97%

Win

Aston Villa

23.67%

Draw

37.35%

Win

Liverpool

1.72

Expected xG

1.67

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aston Villa a 38% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Liverpool. Expected goals are 1.7 for Aston Villa and 1.7 for Liverpool (total 3.4), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Liverpool.

Score Matrix

↕ Aston Villa Liverpool →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.4%	5.6%	4.7%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%
1	5.8%	9.7%	8.1%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
2	5.0%	8.3%	7.0%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%
3	2.9%	4.8%	4.0%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
5	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	—

Recent form

Aston Villa

D Burnley 2–2

L Tottenham 1–2

L Fulham 1–0

W Sunderland 4–3

D Nottingham Forest 1–1

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 35%

Liverpool

D Chelsea 1–1

L Manchester United 3–2

W Crystal Palace 3–1

W Everton 1–2

W Fulham 2–0

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%

Playing profile

Aston Villa

Attack

38

Defence

52

Form

45

Liverpool

Attack

41

Defence

58

Form

52

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0

Aston Villa

0

Draw

1

Liverpool

L 1 Nov 2025 Premier League 0–2

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	36	79
2	Manchester City	36	77
3	Manchester United	36	65
4	Liverpool	36	59
5	Aston Villa	36	59
6	Bournemouth	36	55
7	Brighton	36	53
8	Brentford	36	51
9	Chelsea	36	49
10	Everton	36	49
11	Fulham	36	48
12	Sunderland	36	48
13	Newcastle	36	46
14	Leeds	36	44
15	Crystal Palace	36	44
16	Nottingham Forest	36	43
17	Tottenham	36	38
18	West Ham	36	36
19	Burnley	36	21
20	Wolves	36	18