M. Rogers
(ast. L. Digne)
42'
O. Watkins
(ast. M. Rogers)
57'
O. Watkins
73'
J. McGinn
(ast. O. Watkins)
89'
52'
(ast. D. Szoboszlai)
V. van Dijk
90'+2
(ast. D. Szoboszlai)
V. van Dijk
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 38% win probability (draw 23%, Liverpool 37%). The final result was Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Liverpool.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
5
1.91
Actual xG
1.52
3
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
8
11
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
M. Cash
38'
⚽M. Rogers
· ast. L. Digne
42'
O. Watkins
45'+3
V. Lindelof
/ R. Barkley
46'
52'
ast. D. Szoboszlai ·
V. van Dijk⚽
⚽O. Watkins
· ast. M. Rogers
57'
62'
J. Gomez
66'
F. Wirtz
/
R. Gravenberch
66'
F. Chiesa
/
J. Gomez
J. McGinn
66'
⚽O. Watkins
73'
74'
M. Salah
/
C. Gakpo
E. Buendia
/ I. Maatsen
85'
⚽J. McGinn
· ast. O. Watkins
89'
90'+2
ast. D. Szoboszlai ·
V. van Dijk⚽
J. McGinn
/ J. Sancho
90'
Y. Tielemans
/ Douglas Luiz
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.97%
Aston ←
23.67%
X
37.35%
Liverpool
we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa)
38.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
1.91
+0.19
1.67
1.52
-0.15
Aston Villa dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
12
L. Digne
1 👟
D
L. Digne
1 👟
D
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
4
E. Konsa
D
E. Konsa
D
2
M. Cash
D
M. Cash
D
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
3
V. Lindelöf
45'
M
V. Lindelöf
45'
M
10
E. Buendía
85'
M
E. Buendía
85'
M
27
M. Rogers
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
M. Rogers
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
M
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
M
11
O. Watkins
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
O. Watkins
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
16
Andrés García
D
Andrés García
D
21
Douglas Luiz
7'
M
Douglas Luiz
7'
M
22
I. Maatsen
12'
D
I. Maatsen
12'
D
19
Jadon Sancho
7'
F
Jadon Sancho
7'
F
31
L. Bailey
F
L. Bailey
F
26
L. Bogarde
M
L. Bogarde
M
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
6
R. Barkley
52'
M
R. Barkley
52'
M
18
T. Abraham
F
T. Abraham
F
25
G. Mamardashvili
G
G. Mamardashvili
G
6
M. Kerkez
D
M. Kerkez
D
4
V. van Dijk
2 ⚽
D
V. van Dijk
2 ⚽
D
5
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
2
J. Gomez
66'
D
J. Gomez
66'
D
10
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
38
R. Gravenberch
66'
M
R. Gravenberch
66'
M
73
R. Ngumoha
M
R. Ngumoha
M
8
D. Szoboszlai
2 👟
M
D. Szoboszlai
2 👟
M
17
Curtis Jones
M
Curtis Jones
M
18
C. Gakpo
74'
F
C. Gakpo
74'
F
Bench
26
A. Robertson
D
A. Robertson
D
14
F. Chiesa
31'
F
F. Chiesa
31'
F
7
F. Wirtz
31'
M
F. Wirtz
31'
M
28
F. Woodman
G
F. Woodman
G
53
J. McConnell
M
J. McConnell
M
11
Mohamed Salah
23'
F
Mohamed Salah
23'
F
75
Mor Talla Ndiaye
D
Mor Talla Ndiaye
D
42
T. Nyoni
M
T. Nyoni
M
79
Will Wright
F
Will Wright
F
Best on the pitch
M. Rogers
M · Aston
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
V. van Dijk
D · Liverpool
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 65 pass
O. Watkins
F · Aston
8.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 16 pass
J. McGinn
M · Aston
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
G. Mamardashvili
G · Liverpool
7.30
· 18 pass
Y. Tielemans
M · Aston
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 31% | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 97 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Watkins | F | 97 | 8.30 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Maatsen | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadon Sancho | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Kerkez | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 97 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 65 | 54% | — | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Gomez | D | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ngumoha | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Curtis Jones | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Chiesa | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Liverpool?
The final score was Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Aston Villa vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Aston Villa win, 23% to a draw, and 37% to an Liverpool win.