M. Rogers
(ast. L. Digne)
42'
O. Watkins
(ast. M. Rogers)
57'
O. Watkins
73'
J. McGinn
(ast. O. Watkins)
89'
52'
(ast. D. Szoboszlai)
V. van Dijk
90'+2
(ast. D. Szoboszlai)
V. van Dijk
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 38% win probability (draw 23%, Liverpool 37%). The final result was Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Liverpool.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
5
1.91
Actual xG
1.52
3
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
8
11
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
M. Cash
38'
⚽M. Rogers
· ast. L. Digne
42'
O. Watkins
45'+3
V. Lindelof
/ R. Barkley
46'
52'
ast. D. Szoboszlai ·
V. van Dijk⚽
⚽O. Watkins
· ast. M. Rogers
57'
62'
J. Gomez
66'
F. Wirtz
/
R. Gravenberch
66'
F. Chiesa
/
J. Gomez
J. McGinn
66'
⚽O. Watkins
73'
74'
M. Salah
/
C. Gakpo
E. Buendia
/ I. Maatsen
85'
⚽J. McGinn
· ast. O. Watkins
89'
90'+2
ast. D. Szoboszlai ·
V. van Dijk⚽
J. McGinn
/ J. Sancho
90'
Y. Tielemans
/ Douglas Luiz
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.97%
Aston ←
23.67%
X
37.35%
Liverpool
we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa)
38.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
1.91
+0.19
1.67
1.52
-0.15
Aston Villa dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
12
Lucas Digne
1 👟
D
Lucas Digne
1 👟
D
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
4
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
2
Matty Cash
D
Matty Cash
D
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
3
Victor Lindelöf
45'
M
Victor Lindelöf
45'
M
10
Emiliano Buendía
85'
M
Emiliano Buendía
85'
M
27
Morgan Rogers
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Morgan Rogers
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
John McGinn
1 ⚽
M
John McGinn
1 ⚽
M
11
Ollie Watkins
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Ollie Watkins
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
16
Andrés García
D
Andrés García
D
21
Douglas Luiz
7'
M
Douglas Luiz
7'
M
22
Ian Maatsen
12'
D
Ian Maatsen
12'
D
19
Jadon Sancho
7'
F
Jadon Sancho
7'
F
26
Lamare Bogarde
M
Lamare Bogarde
M
31
L. Bailey
F
L. Bailey
F
40
Marco Bizot
G
Marco Bizot
G
6
Ross Barkley
52'
M
Ross Barkley
52'
M
18
Tammy Abraham
F
Tammy Abraham
F
25
Giorgi Mamardashvili
G
6
Miloš Kerkez
D
Miloš Kerkez
D
4
V. van Dijk
2 ⚽
D
V. van Dijk
2 ⚽
D
5
Ibrahima Konaté
D
Ibrahima Konaté
D
2
Joe Gomez
66'
D
Joe Gomez
66'
D
10
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
38
R. Gravenberch
66'
M
R. Gravenberch
66'
M
73
Rio Ngumoha
M
Rio Ngumoha
M
8
D. Szoboszlai
2 👟
M
D. Szoboszlai
2 👟
M
17
C. Jones
M
C. Jones
M
18
C. Gakpo
74'
F
C. Gakpo
74'
F
Bench
26
Andy Robertson
D
Andy Robertson
D
14
F. Chiesa
31'
F
F. Chiesa
31'
F
28
Freddie Woodman
G
Freddie Woodman
G
7
F. Wirtz
31'
M
F. Wirtz
31'
M
53
James McConnell
M
James McConnell
M
11
Mohamed Salah
23'
F
Mohamed Salah
23'
F
75
Mor Talla Ndiaye
D
Mor Talla Ndiaye
D
42
Trey Nyoni
M
Trey Nyoni
M
79
Will Wright
F
Will Wright
F
Best on the pitch
Morgan Rogers
M · Aston
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
V. van Dijk
D · Liverpool
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 65 pass
Ollie Watkins
F · Aston
8.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 16 pass
John McGinn
M · Aston
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Giorgi Mamardashvili
G · Liverpool
7.30
· 18 pass
Y. Tielemans
M · Aston
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Digne | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Matty Cash | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Lindelöf | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Buendía | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 97 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| John McGinn | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 97 | 8.30 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ian Maatsen | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadon Sancho | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ross Barkley | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgi Mamardashvili | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Miloš Kerkez | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 97 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 65 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Konaté | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Joe Gomez | D | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Rio Ngumoha | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Jones | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Chiesa | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Liverpool?
The final score was Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Aston Villa vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Aston Villa win, 23% to a draw, and 37% to an Liverpool win.