Europa League · Semi-finals May 07, 2026 21:00

Aston Villa

4 – 0

Final score

Nottingham Forest

O. Watkins (ast. E. Buendia) 36'

E. Buendia 57' (pen.)

J. McGinn (ast. O. Watkins) 77'

J. McGinn (ast. M. Rogers) 80'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 45% win probability (draw 23%, Nottingham Forest 31%). The final result was Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest. In 4 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

5

10

Shots on target

2

2.50

Actual xG

0.61

2

Saves

6

51%

Possession

49%

6

Corners

2

8

Tackles

14

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

18'

Morato

⚽O. Watkins · ast. E. Buendia

36'

45'+3

Cunha

46'

R. Yates / J. McAtee ↕

⚽E. Buendia (pen.)

57'

71'

D. Bakwa / Morato ↕

71'

L. Lucca / C. Wood ↕

↕ V. Lindelof / L. Bogarde

74'

⚽J. McGinn · ast. O. Watkins

77'

⚽J. McGinn · ast. M. Rogers

80'

↕ E. Buendia / J. Sancho

86'

88'

Murillo / Cunha ↕

88'

J. Sinclair / O. Hutchinson ↕

↕ J. McGinn / L. Bailey

90'

↕ M. Rogers / Douglas Luiz

90'

↕ P. Torres / T. Mings

90'

Pre-match prediction

45.15%

Aston ←

23.59%

X

31.25%

Nottingham

we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa) 45.15% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Aston

1.68

2.50

+0.82

Nottingham

1.49

0.61

-0.88

Aston Villa dominated by xG (2.50 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

Lineups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

23 E. Martínez G 6.90

12 L. Digne D 6.70

14 Pau Torres D 7.30

4 E. Konsa D 7.00

2 M. Cash D 6.90

8 Y. Tielemans M 6.90

3 V. Lindelöf 74' M 6.30

10 E. Buendía 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' M 9.50

27 M. Rogers 1 👟 M 7.20

7 J. McGinn 2 ⚽ M 8.70

11 O. Watkins 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.20

Bench

21 Douglas Luiz 2' M

22 I. Maatsen D

19 Jadon Sancho 6' F

26 L. Bogarde 18' M 6.70

18 T. Abraham F

5 T. Mings 2' D

Nottingham Forest 4-4-1-1

27

G 6.50

3 N. Williams D 6.00

4 Morato 71' D 5.60

31 N. Milenković D 6.20

23 Jair 88' D 5.70

24 J. McAtee 45' M 6.70

8 E. Anderson M 6.60

16 N. Domínguez M 6.20

21 Omari Hutchinson 88' M 6.00

19 Igor Jesus F 6.30

11 C. Wood 71' F 6.30

Bench

29 D. Bakwa 21' F 6.90

14 D. Ndoye F

6 I. Sangaré M

10 M. Gibbs-White M

5 Murillo 4' D

22 R. Yates 47' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

E. Buendía

M · Aston

9.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 30 pass

J. McGinn

M · Aston

8.70

2 ⚽

3 shots · 24 pass

Pau Torres

D · Aston

7.30

1 shots · 40 pass

M. Rogers

M · Aston

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 24 pass

O. Watkins

F · Aston

7.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 20 pass

E. Konsa

D · Aston

7.00

· 58 pass

Aston Villa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Martínez	G	92	6.90	—	—	—	26	16%	—	—	—
L. Digne	D	92	6.70	—	—	—	19	17%	1	—	—
Pau Torres	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	40	34%	1	—	—
E. Konsa	D	92	7.00	—	—	—	58	57%	1	—	—
M. Cash	D	92	6.90	—	—	—	50	39%	—	—	—
Y. Tielemans	M	92	6.90	—	—	2	44	39%	2	—	—
V. Lindelöf	M	74	6.30	—	—	—	34	27%	—	—	—
E. Buendía	M	86	9.50	1	1	3	30	26%	2	—	—
M. Rogers	M	90	7.20	—	1	1	24	19%	1	—	—
J. McGinn	M	90	8.70	2	—	3	24	17%	—	—	—
O. Watkins	F	92	7.20	1	1	3	20	16%	—	—	—
Douglas Luiz	M	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Jadon Sancho	F	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
L. Bogarde	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
T. Mings	D	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Nottingham Forest — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	92	6.50	—	—	—	34	25%	—	—	—
N. Williams	D	92	6.00	—	—	—	29	22%	2	—	—
Morato	D	71	5.60	—	—	—	32	24%	1	1	—
N. Milenković	D	92	6.20	—	—	—	31	29%	3	—	—
Jair	D	88	5.70	—	—	—	38	33%	1	1	—
J. McAtee	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	16	15%	1	—	—
E. Anderson	M	92	6.60	—	—	—	55	49%	2	—	—
N. Domínguez	M	92	6.20	—	—	1	43	40%	2	—	—
Omari Hutchinson	M	88	6.00	—	—	1	18	12%	1	—	—
Igor Jesus	F	92	6.30	—	—	1	18	13%	1	—	—
C. Wood	F	71	6.30	—	—	1	7	3%	—	—	—
D. Bakwa	F	21	6.90	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Murillo	D	4	—	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
R. Yates	M	47	6.50	—	—	1	18	17%	—	—	—