Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
(ast. John McGinn)
74'
46'
(ast. Murillo Santiago)
Liam Delap
88'
(ast. Morgan Gibbs-White)
Igor Jesus
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Nottingham Forest 33%). The final result was Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest. In 4 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Nottingham Forest.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
22
5
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
Pau Torres
/ Tyrone Mings
25'
43'
Dan Ndoye
45'+3
Murillo Santiago
Nicolas Jackson
/ Tammy Abraham
45'
Nicolas Jackson
45'
George Hemmings
/ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
45'
46'
ast. Murillo Santiago ·
Liam Delap⚽
56'
Xaver Schlager
Ross Barkley
/ Johan Manzambi
63'
Emiliano Buendía
/ Ibrahim Mbaye
63'
⚽ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
· ast. John McGinn
74'
75'
Liam Delap
75'
Igor Jesus
/
Dan Ndoye
80'
James Mcatee
82'
Ibrahim Sangaré
/
James Mcatee
88'
ast. Morgan Gibbs-White ·
Igor Jesus⚽
90'+1
Chris Wood
/
Liam Delap
Tyrone Mings
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
34.96%
Aston
31.63%
X
33.41%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest)
33.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
—
—
1.19
—
—
Lineups
1
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
22
I. Maatsen
D
I. Maatsen
D
14
Pau Torres
25'
D
Pau Torres
25'
D
3
V. Lindelöf
D
V. Lindelöf
D
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
6
R. Barkley
63'
M
R. Barkley
63'
M
8
B. Kamara
M
B. Kamara
M
53
George Hemmings
46'
M
George Hemmings
46'
M
10
E. Buendía
63'
M
E. Buendía
63'
M
7
J. McGinn
1 👟
M
J. McGinn
1 👟
M
11
N. Jackson
46'
F
N. Jackson
46'
F
Bench
17
A. Garnacho
F
A. Garnacho
F
47
Alysson Edward
1 ⚽
44'
F
Alysson Edward
1 ⚽
44'
F
19
I. Mbaye
27'
F
I. Mbaye
27'
F
44
J. Manzambi
27'
M
J. Manzambi
27'
M
26
L. Bogarde
M
L. Bogarde
M
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
13
M. Ruggeri
D
M. Ruggeri
D
18
T. Abraham
44'
F
T. Abraham
44'
F
5
T. Mings
65'
D
T. Mings
65'
D
26
M. Sels
G
M. Sels
G
5
Murillo
1 👟
D
Murillo
1 👟
D
2
O. Diomande
D
34
O. Aina
D
O. Aina
D
3
N. Williams
M
N. Williams
M
21
X. Schlager
M
X. Schlager
M
24
J. McAtee
82'
M
J. McAtee
82'
M
27
D. Muñoz
M
D. Muñoz
M
10
M. Gibbs-White
1 👟
M
M. Gibbs-White
1 👟
M
14
D. Ndoye
75'
M
D. Ndoye
75'
M
19
L. Delap
1 ⚽
F
L. Delap
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
A. Kalimuendo
F
A. Kalimuendo
F
7
C. Hudson-Odoi
F
C. Hudson-Odoi
F
9
C. Wood
F
C. Wood
F
11
Igor Jesus
1 ⚽
15'
F
Igor Jesus
1 ⚽
15'
F
6
I. Sangaré
8'
M
12
John
G
John
G
25
L. Netz
D
L. Netz
D
8
N. Domínguez
M
N. Domínguez
M
22
R. Yates
M
R. Yates
M
Best on the pitch
Alysson Edward
F · Aston
7.86
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Igor Jesus
F · Nottingham
7.77
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
L. Delap
F · Nottingham
7.73
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 12 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
D. Muñoz
M · Nottingham
7.60
1 shots
· 37 pass
J. McGinn
M · Aston
7.50
1 👟
· 22 pass
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Maatsen | D | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 25 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 60% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | D | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 63 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Kamara | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| George Hemmings | M | 46 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 63 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Jackson | F | 46 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Alysson Edward | F | 44 | 7.86 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Mbaye | F | 27 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 27 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Abraham | F | 44 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Mings | D | 65 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sels | G | 90 | 7.38 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Murillo | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | 1 | 0 | 42 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Diomande | D | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Aina | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Williams | M | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Schlager | M | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. McAtee | M | 82 | 6.09 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 40% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Gibbs-White | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ndoye | M | 75 | 6.39 | — | — | 5 | 9 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Delap | F | 91 | 7.73 | 1 | — | 6 | 12 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 15 | 7.77 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Sangaré | M | 8 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Aston Villa win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Nottingham Forest win.