O. Watkins
(ast. J. McGinn)
2'
O. Watkins
(ast. I. Maatsen)
36'
M. Rogers
(ast. O. Watkins)
46'
T. Abraham
(ast. L. Digne)
90'+3
9'
(ast. N. Sadiki)
C. Rigg
86'
T. Hume
87'
(ast. E. Le Fee)
W. Isidor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Sunderland 24%). The final result was Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sunderland.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
7
2.54
Actual xG
1.76
4
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
5
9
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽O. Watkins
· ast. J. McGinn
2'
9'
ast. N. Sadiki ·
C. Rigg⚽
⚽O. Watkins
· ast. I. Maatsen
36'
⚽M. Rogers
· ast. O. Watkins
46'
63'
D. Ballard
/
O. Alderete
63'
T. Hume
/
R. Mandava
63'
C. Talbi
/
C. Rigg
66'
N. Sadiki
I. Maatsen
/ L. Digne
70'
R. Barkley
/ E. Buendia
70'
J. McGinn
/ J. Sancho
80'
O. Watkins
/ T. Abraham
80'
84'
W. Isidor
/
B. Brobbey
86'
T. Hume⚽
87'
ast. E. Le Fee ·
W. Isidor⚽
⚽T. Abraham
· ast. L. Digne
90'+3
90'+5
N. Mukiele
A. Onana
90'+8
90'+8
D. Ballard
Pre-match prediction
46.63%
Aston ←
29.24%
X
24.12%
Sunderland
we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa)
46.63%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
2.54
+1.14
1.02
1.76
+0.74
Aston Villa dominated by xG (2.54 vs 1.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
22
Ian Maatsen
1 👟
70'
D
Ian Maatsen
1 👟
70'
D
5
Tyrone Mings
D
Tyrone Mings
D
4
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
2
Matty Cash
D
Matty Cash
D
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
24
Amadou Onana
M
Amadou Onana
M
27
Morgan Rogers
1 ⚽
M
Morgan Rogers
1 ⚽
M
6
Ross Barkley
70'
M
Ross Barkley
70'
M
7
John McGinn
1 👟
80'
M
John McGinn
1 👟
80'
M
11
Ollie Watkins
2 ⚽
1 👟
80'
F
Ollie Watkins
2 ⚽
1 👟
80'
F
Bench
21
Douglas Luiz
M
Douglas Luiz
M
10
Emiliano Buendía
27'
M
Emiliano Buendía
27'
M
19
Jadon Sancho
17'
F
Jadon Sancho
17'
F
26
Lamare Bogarde
M
Lamare Bogarde
M
12
Lucas Digne
1 👟
27'
D
Lucas Digne
1 👟
27'
D
18
Tammy Abraham
1 ⚽
17'
F
Tammy Abraham
1 ⚽
17'
F
3
Victor Lindelöf
D
Victor Lindelöf
D
22
Robin Roefs
G
Robin Roefs
G
17
Reinildo
63'
D
Reinildo
63'
D
15
Omar Alderete
63'
D
Omar Alderete
63'
D
13
D
20
Nordi Mukiele
D
Nordi Mukiele
D
27
N. Sadiki
1 👟
M
N. Sadiki
1 👟
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
28
1 👟
M
19
H. Diarra
M
H. Diarra
M
11
Chris Rigg
1 ⚽
63'
M
Chris Rigg
1 ⚽
63'
M
9
B. Brobbey
84'
F
B. Brobbey
84'
F
Bench
7
Chemsdine Talbi
34'
F
Chemsdine Talbi
34'
F
5
D. Ballard
34'
D
D. Ballard
34'
D
3
Dennis Cirkin
D
Dennis Cirkin
D
32
T. Hume
1 ⚽
34'
D
T. Hume
1 ⚽
34'
D
18
Wilson Isidor
1 ⚽
13'
F
Wilson Isidor
1 ⚽
13'
F
Best on the pitch
Morgan Rogers
M · Aston
9.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
Ollie Watkins
F · Aston
8.60
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 12 pass
T. Hume
D · Sunderland
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Wilson Isidor
F · Sunderland
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
John McGinn
M · Aston
7.70
1 👟
· 23 pass
Tammy Abraham
F · Aston
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Ian Maatsen | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Tyrone Mings | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Matty Cash | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Amadou Onana | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 97 | 9.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ross Barkley | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| John McGinn | M | 80 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 80 | 8.60 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Emiliano Buendía | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jadon Sancho | F | 17 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Digne | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tammy Abraham | F | 17 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Roefs | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Omar Alderete | D | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nordi Mukiele | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 26% | 4 | 1 | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | — | — | — |
| M | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — | |
| H. Diarra | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Chris Rigg | M | 63 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Ballard | D | 34 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 34 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Wilson Isidor | F | 13 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
The final score was Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Aston Villa win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Sunderland win.