E. Buendia
(ast. M. Cash)
90'+6
12'
C. Gallagher
25'
(ast. M. Tel)
Richarlison
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Tottenham 25%). The final result was Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham. In 2 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tottenham.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
5
0.31
Actual xG
1.03
3
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
5
19
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
12'
C. Gallagher⚽
25'
ast. M. Tel ·
Richarlison⚽
27'
R. Kolo Muani
45'
R. Bentancur
R. Barkley
51'
T. Abraham
/ O. Watkins
60'
66'
D. Spence
/
R. Kolo Muani
67'
Y. Bissouma
/
R. Bentancur
73'
M. Tel
M. Rogers
77'
81'
K. Danso
R. Barkley
/ E. Buendia
85'
J. Sancho
/ L. Bailey
85'
90'+1
P. M. Sarr
/
Richarlison
90'+1
L. Bergvall
/
M. Tel
90'+6
C. Gallagher
⚽E. Buendia
· ast. M. Cash
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
49.43%
Aston
25.43%
X
25.14%
Tottenham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Tottenham)
25.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.31
-1.22
1.03
1.03
+-0.0
Tottenham dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Emiliano Martínez
G
Emiliano Martínez
G
22
Ian Maatsen
D
Ian Maatsen
D
5
Tyrone Mings
D
Tyrone Mings
D
3
V. Lindelöf
D
V. Lindelöf
D
2
M. Cash
1 👟
D
M. Cash
1 👟
D
8
Youri Tielemans
M
Youri Tielemans
M
26
Lamare Bogarde
M
Lamare Bogarde
M
27
Morgan Rogers
M
Morgan Rogers
M
6
Ross Barkley
85'
M
Ross Barkley
85'
M
19
Jadon Sancho
85'
M
Jadon Sancho
85'
M
18
Tammy Abraham
60'
F
Tammy Abraham
60'
F
Bench
21
Douglas Luiz
M
Douglas Luiz
M
10
E. Buendía
1 ⚽
12'
M
E. Buendía
1 ⚽
12'
M
4
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
12
Lucas Digne
D
Lucas Digne
D
11
Ollie Watkins
37'
F
Ollie Watkins
37'
F
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
31
G
13
Destiny Udogie
D
Destiny Udogie
D
37
M. van de Ven
D
M. van de Ven
D
4
Kevin Danso
D
Kevin Danso
D
23
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
30
Rodrigo Bentancur
67'
M
Rodrigo Bentancur
67'
M
6
João Palhinha
M
João Palhinha
M
11
Mathys Tel
1 👟
M
Mathys Tel
1 👟
M
22
Conor Gallagher
1 ⚽
M
Conor Gallagher
1 ⚽
M
39
Randal Kolo Muani
66'
M
Randal Kolo Muani
66'
M
9
Richarlison
1 ⚽
F
Richarlison
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Archie Gray
M
Archie Gray
M
15
L. Bergvall
6'
M
L. Bergvall
6'
M
3
Radu Drăguşin
D
8
Yves Bissouma
30'
M
Yves Bissouma
30'
M
Best on the pitch
E. Buendía
M · Aston
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Conor Gallagher
M · Tottenham
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
Emiliano Martínez
G · Aston
7.30
· 33 pass
Pedro Porro
D · Tottenham
7.20
1 shots
· 45 pass
João Palhinha
M · Tottenham
7.20
1 shots
· 61 pass
Randal Kolo Muani
M · Tottenham
7.20
2 shots
· 21 pass
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Martínez | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Ian Maatsen | D | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Tyrone Mings | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 71% | — | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 32% | 7 | — | — |
| Youri Tielemans | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Lamare Bogarde | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ross Barkley | M | 85 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Jadon Sancho | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Tammy Abraham | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 12 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Tottenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Destiny Udogie | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Danso | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 6 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathys Tel | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Conor Gallagher | M | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Randal Kolo Muani | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Richarlison | F | 91 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yves Bissouma | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Tottenham?
The final score was Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Aston Villa vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Aston Villa win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an Tottenham win.