78'
(ast. J. Rowe)
R. Orsolini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 47% win probability (draw 29%, Bologna 22%). The final result was Atalanta 0–1 Bologna. In 2 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
5
0.54
Actual xG
0.70
4
Saves
0
45%
Possession
55%
1
Corners
5
25
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
52'
T. Pobega
M. De Roon
/ M. Pasalic
63'
N. Zalewski
/ Y. Musah
63'
G. Raspadori
/ K. Sulemana
64'
69'
T. Dallinga
/
S. Castro
69'
N. Moro
/
T. Pobega
69'
R. Orsolini
/
F. Bernardeschi
M. Pasalic
77'
78'
ast. J. Rowe ·
R. Orsolini⚽
C. De Ketelaere
/ M. Bakker
82'
D. Zappacosta
/ S. Kolasinac
88'
88'
B. Dominguez
/
J. Rowe
Pre-match prediction
47.96%
Atalanta
29.66%
X
22.38%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna)
22.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.54
-0.72
0.81
0.70
-0.11
xG dominance was balanced (0.54 – 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
69
H. Ahanor
D
H. Ahanor
D
19
B. Djimsiti
D
B. Djimsiti
D
42
G. Scalvini
D
G. Scalvini
D
59
N. Zalewski
63'
M
N. Zalewski
63'
M
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
15
M. de Roon
63'
M
M. de Roon
63'
M
77
D. Zappacosta
88'
M
D. Zappacosta
88'
M
18
Giacomo Raspadori
64'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
64'
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
82'
F
C. De Ketelaere
82'
F
90
N. Krstović
F
N. Krstović
F
Bench
45
D. Vavassori
F
D. Vavassori
F
31
Francesco Rossi
G
Francesco Rossi
G
9
G. Scamacca
F
G. Scamacca
F
7
K. Sulemana
28'
F
K. Sulemana
28'
F
10
L. Samardžić
M
L. Samardžić
M
8
Mario Pasalic
29'
M
Mario Pasalic
29'
M
5
M. Bakker
10'
D
M. Bakker
10'
D
57
M. Sportiello
G
M. Sportiello
G
16
R. Bellanova
D
R. Bellanova
D
40
R. ObriÄ
D
R. ObriÄ
D
23
S. Kolašinac
4'
D
S. Kolašinac
4'
D
6
Y. Musah
29'
M
Y. Musah
29'
M
1
Ł. Skorupski
G
Ł. Skorupski
G
33
Juan Miranda
D
Juan Miranda
D
14
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
5
E. Helland
D
E. Helland
D
17
João Mário
D
João Mário
D
4
T. Pobega
69'
M
T. Pobega
69'
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
11
J. Rowe
1 👟
88'
M
J. Rowe
1 👟
88'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
69'
M
F. Bernardeschi
69'
M
9
S. Castro
69'
F
S. Castro
69'
F
Bench
30
B. Domínguez
4'
F
B. Domínguez
4'
F
15
B. Tomašević
D
B. Tomašević
D
22
C. Lykogiannis
D
C. Lykogiannis
D
13
F. Ravaglia
G
F. Ravaglia
G
21
J. Odgaard
F
J. Odgaard
F
29
L. De Silvestri
D
L. De Silvestri
D
25
M. Pessina
G
M. Pessina
G
6
N. Moro
23'
M
N. Moro
23'
M
20
N. Zortea
D
N. Zortea
D
7
R. Orsolini
1 ⚽
23'
F
R. Orsolini
1 ⚽
23'
F
23
S. Sohm
M
S. Sohm
M
24
T. Dallinga
23'
F
T. Dallinga
23'
F
Best on the pitch
C. De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
7.70
2 shots
· 28 pass
R. Orsolini
F · Bologna
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.30
· 66 pass
T. Heggem
D · Bologna
7.20
· 57 pass
G. Scalvini
D · Atalanta
7.00
· 54 pass
Ł. Skorupski
G · Bologna
7.00
· 36 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| H. Ahanor | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Zalewski | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. de Roon | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Zappacosta | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sulemana | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Bakker | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Kolašinac | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Musah | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski | G | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Helland | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| João Mário | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 33% | — | — | — |
| T. Pobega | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Rowe | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Moro | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Orsolini | F | 23 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Dallinga | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Bologna?
The final score was Atalanta 0–1 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Bologna?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Atalanta win, 29% to a draw, and 22% to an Bologna win.