78'
(ast. J. Rowe)
R. Orsolini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 47% win probability (draw 29%, Bologna 22%). The final result was Atalanta 0–1 Bologna. In 2 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
5
0.54
Actual xG
0.70
4
Saves
0
45%
Possession
55%
1
Corners
5
25
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
52'
T. Pobega
M. De Roon
/ M. Pasalic
63'
N. Zalewski
/ Y. Musah
63'
G. Raspadori
/ K. Sulemana
64'
69'
T. Dallinga
/
S. Castro
69'
N. Moro
/
T. Pobega
69'
R. Orsolini
/
F. Bernardeschi
M. Pasalic
77'
78'
ast. J. Rowe ·
R. Orsolini⚽
C. De Ketelaere
/ M. Bakker
82'
D. Zappacosta
/ S. Kolasinac
88'
88'
B. Dominguez
/
J. Rowe
Pre-match prediction
47.96%
Atalanta
29.66%
X
22.38%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna)
22.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.54
-0.72
0.81
0.70
-0.11
xG dominance was balanced (0.54 – 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
69
H. Ahanor
D
H. Ahanor
D
19
B. Djimsiti
D
B. Djimsiti
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
D
Giorgio Scalvini
D
59
Nicola Zalewski
63'
M
Nicola Zalewski
63'
M
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
15
M. de Roon
63'
M
M. de Roon
63'
M
77
Davide Zappacosta
88'
M
Davide Zappacosta
88'
M
18
Giacomo Raspadori
64'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
64'
F
17
Charles De Ketelaere
82'
F
Charles De Ketelaere
82'
F
90
Nikola Krstović
F
Nikola Krstović
F
Bench
45
D. Vavassori
F
D. Vavassori
F
31
Francesco Rossi
G
Francesco Rossi
G
9
Gianluca Scamacca
F
Gianluca Scamacca
F
7
K. Sulemana
28'
F
K. Sulemana
28'
F
10
Lazar Samardžić
M
Lazar Samardžić
M
57
Marco Sportiello
G
Marco Sportiello
G
8
Mario Pašalić
29'
M
Mario Pašalić
29'
M
5
Mitchel Bakker
10'
D
Mitchel Bakker
10'
D
16
Raoul Bellanova
D
Raoul Bellanova
D
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
23
Sead Kolašinac
4'
D
Sead Kolašinac
4'
D
6
Yunus Musah
29'
M
Yunus Musah
29'
M
1
Ł. Skorupski
G
Ł. Skorupski
G
33
Juan Miranda
D
Juan Miranda
D
14
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
5
E. Helland
D
E. Helland
D
17
João Mário
D
João Mário
D
4
T. Pobega
69'
M
T. Pobega
69'
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
11
Jonathan Rowe
1 👟
88'
M
Jonathan Rowe
1 👟
88'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
69'
M
F. Bernardeschi
69'
M
9
S. Castro
69'
F
S. Castro
69'
F
Bench
30
B. Domínguez
4'
F
B. Domínguez
4'
F
15
B. Tomašević
D
B. Tomašević
D
22
C. Lykogiannis
D
C. Lykogiannis
D
13
F. Ravaglia
G
F. Ravaglia
G
21
J. Odgaard
F
J. Odgaard
F
29
L. De Silvestri
D
L. De Silvestri
D
25
M. Pessina
G
M. Pessina
G
6
N. Moro
23'
M
N. Moro
23'
M
20
N. Zortea
D
N. Zortea
D
7
R. Orsolini
1 ⚽
23'
F
R. Orsolini
1 ⚽
23'
F
23
Simon Sohm
M
Simon Sohm
M
24
T. Dallinga
23'
F
T. Dallinga
23'
F
Best on the pitch
Charles De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
7.70
2 shots
· 28 pass
R. Orsolini
F · Bologna
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.30
· 66 pass
T. Heggem
D · Bologna
7.20
· 57 pass
Giorgio Scalvini
D · Atalanta
7.00
· 54 pass
Ł. Skorupski
G · Bologna
7.00
· 36 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| H. Ahanor | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. de Roon | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Nikola Krstović | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sulemana | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mitchel Bakker | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Musah | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski | G | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Helland | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| João Mário | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 33% | — | — | — |
| T. Pobega | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Rowe | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Moro | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Orsolini | F | 23 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Dallinga | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Bologna?
The final score was Atalanta 0–1 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Bologna?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Atalanta win, 29% to a draw, and 22% to an Bologna win.