78'
(ast. J. Rowe)
R. Orsolini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 47% win probability (draw 29%, Bologna 22%). The final result was Atalanta 0–1 Bologna. In 1 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
5
0.54
Actual xG
0.70
4
Saves
0
45%
Possession
55%
1
Corners
5
25
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
52'
T. Pobega
M. De Roon
/ M. Pasalic
63'
N. Zalewski
/ Y. Musah
63'
G. Raspadori
/ K. Sulemana
64'
69'
T. Dallinga
/
S. Castro
69'
N. Moro
/
T. Pobega
69'
R. Orsolini
/
F. Bernardeschi
M. Pasalic
77'
78'
ast. J. Rowe ·
R. Orsolini⚽
C. De Ketelaere
/ M. Bakker
82'
D. Zappacosta
/ S. Kolasinac
88'
88'
B. Dominguez
/
J. Rowe
Pre-match prediction
47.96%
Atalanta
29.66%
X
22.38%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna)
22.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.54
-0.72
0.81
0.70
-0.11
xG dominance was balanced (0.54 – 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
69
Honest Ahanor
D
Honest Ahanor
D
19
Berat Djimsiti
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
D
Giorgio Scalvini
D
59
Nicola Zalewski
63'
M
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
15
Marten de Roon
63'
M
Marten de Roon
63'
M
77
Davide Zappacosta
88'
M
Davide Zappacosta
88'
M
18
Giacomo Raspadori
64'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
64'
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
82'
F
C. De Ketelaere
82'
F
90
N. Krstović
F
N. Krstović
F
Bench
45
Dominic Vavassori
F
Dominic Vavassori
F
31
Francesco Rossi
G
Francesco Rossi
G
9
G. Scamacca
F
G. Scamacca
F
7
K. Sulemana
28'
F
K. Sulemana
28'
F
10
Lazar Samardžić
M
Lazar Samardžić
M
57
Marco Sportiello
G
Marco Sportiello
G
5
Mitchel Bakker
10'
D
Mitchel Bakker
10'
D
8
M. Pašalić
29'
M
M. Pašalić
29'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
D
Raoul Bellanova
D
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
23
Sead Kolašinac
4'
D
Sead Kolašinac
4'
D
6
Yunus Musah
29'
M
Yunus Musah
29'
M
1
Łukasz Skorupski
G
33
Juan Miranda
D
14
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
5
E. Helland
D
E. Helland
D
17
João Mário
D
4
T. Pobega
69'
M
T. Pobega
69'
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
11
J. Rowe
1 👟
88'
M
J. Rowe
1 👟
88'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
69'
M
F. Bernardeschi
69'
M
9
S. Castro
69'
F
S. Castro
69'
F
Bench
30
Benjamín Domínguez
4'
F
15
Bodin Tomašević
D
Bodin Tomašević
D
22
Charalampos Lykogiannis
D
13
Federico Ravaglia
G
21
J. Odgaard
F
J. Odgaard
F
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
D
25
Massimo Pessina
G
20
Nadir Zortea
D
6
N. Moro
23'
M
N. Moro
23'
M
7
R. Orsolini
1 ⚽
23'
F
R. Orsolini
1 ⚽
23'
F
23
Simon Sohm
M
24
Thijs Dallinga
23'
F
Best on the pitch
C. De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
7.70
2 shots
· 28 pass
R. Orsolini
F · Bologna
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.30
· 66 pass
T. Heggem
D · Bologna
7.20
· 57 pass
Giorgio Scalvini
D · Atalanta
7.00
· 54 pass
Łukasz Skorupski
G · Bologna
7.00
· 36 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Honest Ahanor | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sulemana | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mitchel Bakker | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Pašalić | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Musah | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Skorupski | G | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Helland | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| João Mário | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 33% | — | — | — |
| T. Pobega | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Rowe | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Domínguez | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Moro | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Orsolini | F | 23 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Thijs Dallinga | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Bologna?
The final score was Atalanta 0–1 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Bologna?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Atalanta win, 29% to a draw, and 22% to an Bologna win.