Serie A
· Regular Season - 2
August 31, 2026 20:45
L. Samardzic
(ast. N. Zalewski)
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Bologna 31%). The final result was Atalanta 1–0 Bologna. In 2 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
3
0.16
Actual xG
1.29
3
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
2
8
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
C. De Ketelaere
/ N. Zalewski
55'
G. Raspadori
/ E. Elmas
56'
60'
R. Orsolini
/
J. Odgaard
60'
A. Dovbyk
/
R. Piccoli
61'
D. Tedesco
G. Scamacca
/ N. Krstovic
68'
Ederson
/ L. Samardzic
68'
72'
N. Zortea
/
E. Holm
72'
M. Amondarain
/
T. Pobega
N. Krstovic
73'
S. Kolasinac
/ R. Bellanova
78'
80'
N. Moro
/
R. Orsolini
⚽L. Samardzic
· ast. N. Zalewski
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
37.06%
Atalanta ←
31.47%
X
31.47%
Bologna
we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta)
37.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
0.16
-1.5
1.55
1.29
-0.26
Bologna dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
23
S. Kolašinac
78'
D
S. Kolašinac
78'
D
42
G. Scalvini
D
G. Scalvini
D
3
Odilon Kossounou
D
Odilon Kossounou
D
77
D. Zappacosta
D
D. Zappacosta
D
13
Éderson
68'
M
Éderson
68'
M
70
G. Gaetano
M
G. Gaetano
M
8
Mario Pasalic
M
Mario Pasalic
M
18
Giacomo Raspadori
56'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
56'
F
9
G. Scamacca
68'
F
G. Scamacca
68'
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
55'
F
C. De Ketelaere
55'
F
Bench
99
E. Elmas
42'
M
E. Elmas
42'
M
49
F. Cassa
M
F. Cassa
M
6
I. Sulemana
M
I. Sulemana
M
47
L. Bernasconi
D
L. Bernasconi
D
10
L. Samardžić
1 ⚽
30'
M
L. Samardžić
1 ⚽
30'
M
57
M. Sportiello
G
M. Sportiello
G
90
N. Krstović
30'
F
N. Krstović
30'
F
59
N. Zalewski
1 👟
43'
M
N. Zalewski
1 👟
43'
M
95
P. Vismara
G
P. Vismara
G
16
R. Bellanova
20'
D
R. Bellanova
20'
D
40
R. ObriÄ
D
R. ObriÄ
D
1
Ł. Skorupski
G
Ł. Skorupski
G
23
R. Alhassane
D
R. Alhassane
D
14
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
5
E. Helland
D
E. Helland
D
2
E. Holm
72'
D
E. Holm
72'
D
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
4
T. Pobega
72'
M
T. Pobega
72'
M
28
N. Cambiaghi
M
N. Cambiaghi
M
21
J. Odgaard
60'
M
J. Odgaard
60'
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
M
F. Bernardeschi
M
91
R. Piccoli
60'
F
R. Piccoli
60'
F
Bench
9
A. Dovbyk
38'
F
A. Dovbyk
38'
F
3
A. Theate
D
A. Theate
D
33
Juan Miranda
D
Juan Miranda
D
29
L. De Silvestri
D
L. De Silvestri
D
8
M. Amondarain
26'
M
M. Amondarain
26'
M
18
M. Libra
D
M. Libra
D
25
M. Pessina
G
M. Pessina
G
41
M. Vitík
D
M. Vitík
D
16
N. Casale
D
N. Casale
D
6
N. Moro
18'
M
N. Moro
18'
M
20
N. Zortea
26'
D
N. Zortea
26'
D
7
R. Orsolini
20'
F
R. Orsolini
20'
F
72
U. Happonen
G
U. Happonen
G
Best on the pitch
M. Carnesecchi
G · Atalanta
8.20
· 35 pass
L. Samardžić
M · Atalanta
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Odilon Kossounou
D · Atalanta
7.30
· 62 pass
R. Bellanova
D · Atalanta
7.20
· 13 pass
L. Ferguson
M · Bologna
7.20
1 shots
· 123 pass
E. Holm
D · Bologna
7.20
1 shots
· 45 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi | G | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| S. Kolašinac | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Zappacosta | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Elmas | M | 42 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Samardžić | M | 30 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Zalewski | M | 43 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Bellanova | D | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| R. Alhassane | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 124 | 118% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Helland | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 93 | 89% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Holm | D | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 123 | 111% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Pobega | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Odgaard | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| R. Piccoli | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Dovbyk | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Moro | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Zortea | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Orsolini | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Bologna?
The final score was Atalanta 1–0 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Bologna?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Atalanta win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Bologna win.