Serie A
· Regular Season - 4
September 12, 2026 20:45
G. Scamacca
(ast. C. De Ketelaere)
41'
19'
(ast. M. Adopo)
P. Mendy
(pen.)
61'
D. Maldini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Cagliari 31%). The final result was Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari. In 2 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cagliari.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
5
1.26
Actual xG
1.10
3
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
2
17
Tackles
22
Match Events
19'
ast. M. Adopo ·
P. Mendy⚽
⚽G. Scamacca
· ast. C. De Ketelaere
41'
57'
A. Fadera
/
J. Fazzini
61'
(pen.)
D. Maldini⚽
S. Kolasinac
/ L. Bernasconi
68'
G. Scamacca
/ N. Krstovic
68'
68'
Y. Sugawara
/
J. Pedro
L. Samardzic
/ G. Raspadori
77'
79'
Kevin
/
P. Mendy
79'
R. Kofler
/
D. Maldini
F. Kessie
/ M. Pasalic
86'
Pre-match prediction
38.58%
Atalanta
29.64%
X
31.79%
Cagliari ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari)
31.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
1.26
-0.49
1.99
1.10
-0.89
xG dominance was balanced (1.26 – 1.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
23
Sead Kolašinac
68'
D
Sead Kolašinac
68'
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
D
Giorgio Scalvini
D
3
Odilon Kossounou
D
Odilon Kossounou
D
16
Raoul Bellanova
D
Raoul Bellanova
D
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
19
F. Kessié
86'
M
10
L. Samardžić
76'
M
L. Samardžić
76'
M
11
Jonathan Rowe
F
Jonathan Rowe
F
9
Gianluca Scamacca
1 ⚽
68'
F
Gianluca Scamacca
1 ⚽
68'
F
17
Charles De Ketelaere
1 👟
F
Charles De Ketelaere
1 👟
F
Bench
77
Davide Zappacosta
D
Davide Zappacosta
D
99
Eljif Elmas
M
Eljif Elmas
M
18
Giacomo Raspadori
20'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
20'
F
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
28'
D
Lorenzo Bernasconi
28'
D
57
Marco Sportiello
G
Marco Sportiello
G
8
Mario Pašalić
10'
M
Mario Pašalić
10'
M
59
Nicola Zalewski
M
Nicola Zalewski
M
90
Nikola Krstović
28'
F
Nikola Krstović
28'
F
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
D
Thomas Kristensen
D
22
Thomas Pompei
G
Thomas Pompei
G
1
Elia Caprile
G
Elia Caprile
G
33
Adam Obert
D
Adam Obert
D
15
Juan Rodríguez
D
Juan Rodríguez
D
14
A. Deiola
D
A. Deiola
D
2
Zé Pedro
68'
D
Zé Pedro
68'
D
10
Jacopo Fazzini
57'
M
Jacopo Fazzini
57'
M
6
Harry Winks
M
Harry Winks
M
4
Alessandro Romano
M
Alessandro Romano
M
8
M. Adopo
1 👟
M
M. Adopo
1 👟
M
70
D. Maldini
1 ⚽
79'
F
D. Maldini
1 ⚽
79'
F
31
Paul Mendy
1 ⚽
79'
F
Paul Mendy
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
12
Alen Sherri
G
Alen Sherri
G
35
Alessandro Sugamele
F
Alessandro Sugamele
F
39
Alieu Fadera
39'
F
Alieu Fadera
39'
F
23
Boris Radunović
G
Boris Radunović
G
30
Demi Akarakiri
M
Demi Akarakiri
M
24
Giuseppe Aurelio
D
Giuseppe Aurelio
D
32
Ivan Sulev
M
Ivan Sulev
M
27
Joseph Liteta
M
Joseph Liteta
M
9
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
17'
F
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
17'
F
22
Raphael Kofler
17'
D
Raphael Kofler
17'
D
20
Riccardo Ciervo
F
Riccardo Ciervo
F
21
Roberto Gagliardini
M
Roberto Gagliardini
M
79
Yanis Massolin
M
Yanis Massolin
M
26
Yerry Mina
D
Yerry Mina
D
28
Yukinari Sugawara
28'
D
Yukinari Sugawara
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Elia Caprile
G · Cagliari
8.20
· 43 pass
A. Deiola
D · Cagliari
7.90
· 58 pass
F. Kessié
M · Atalanta
7.70
3 shots
· 69 pass
Raphael Kofler
D · Cagliari
7.30
· 1 pass
Harry Winks
M · Cagliari
7.30
· 60 pass
Paul Mendy
F · Cagliari
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 83 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 97 | 95% | 2 | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 91 | 81% | — | — | — |
| F. Kessié | M | 86 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 69 | 66% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Samardžić | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Rowe | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Gianluca Scamacca | F | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Bernasconi | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Krstović | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elia Caprile | G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Adam Obert | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Deiola | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Zé Pedro | D | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jacopo Fazzini | M | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Harry Winks | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Alessandro Romano | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Maldini | F | 79 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Paul Mendy | F | 79 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Alieu Fadera | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Raphael Kofler | D | 17 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Cagliari?
The final score was Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Atalanta win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Cagliari win.