Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 22, 2026 15:00 New Balance Arena, Bergamo

Atalanta

#12 · 10 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Hellas Verona

✓Model correct — prediction Atalanta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 76% win probability (draw 16%, Hellas Verona 7%). The final result was Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona. In 1 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hellas Verona.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.02

Actual xG

1.11

60%

Possession

40%

2

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

76.8%

Atalanta ←

16.08%

X

7.12%

Hellas

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta) 76.8% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atalanta

2.25

1.02

-1.23

Hellas

0.52

1.11

+0.6

xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Inter	9	25
2	Lazio	9	25
3	AS Roma	9	21
4	Como	9	20
5	AC Milan	9	18
6	Napoli	9	14
7	Frosinone	8	14
8	Juventus	9	14
9	Torino	9	13
10	Cagliari	9	13
11	Bologna	9	11
12	Atalanta	8	10
13	Genoa	9	10
14	Lecce	8	9
15	Sassuolo	9	8
16	Monza	9	7
17	Udinese	9	5
18	Parma	9	5
19	Fiorentina	8	4
20	Venezia	9	3