Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 22, 2026 15:00 New Balance Arena, Bergamo

Atalanta

#1 · 0 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Hellas Verona

✓Model correct — prediction Atalanta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 76% win probability (draw 16%, Hellas Verona 7%). The final result was Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona. In 1 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hellas Verona.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.02

Actual xG

1.11

60%

Possession

40%

2

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

76.8%

Atalanta ←

16.08%

X

7.12%

Hellas

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta) 76.8% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atalanta

2.25

1.02

-1.23

Hellas

0.52

1.11

+0.6

xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0
4	Como	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0
8	Inter	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0
13	Monza	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0
15	Parma	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0
18	Torino	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0