Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 22, 2026 15:00 New Balance Arena, Bergamo

Atalanta

#10 · 6 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Hellas Verona

✓Model correct — prediction Atalanta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 76% win probability (draw 16%, Hellas Verona 7%). The final result was Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona. In 1 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hellas Verona.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.02

Actual xG

1.11

60%

Possession

40%

2

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

76.8%

Atalanta ←

16.08%

X

7.12%

Hellas

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta) 76.8% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atalanta

2.25

1.02

-1.23

Hellas

0.52

1.11

+0.6

xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lazio	4	10
2	AS Roma	3	9
3	Inter	3	9
4	Cagliari	4	9
5	AC Milan	4	8
6	Como	3	7
7	Juventus	3	7
8	Frosinone	4	7
9	Napoli	4	6
10	Atalanta	4	6
11	Lecce	4	6
12	Sassuolo	3	4
13	Udinese	3	4
14	Torino	3	3
15	Fiorentina	4	3
16	Parma	3	1
17	Bologna	4	1
18	Monza	4	1
19	Genoa	4	1
20	Venezia	4	0