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Atalanta - Kairat Almaty

Conference League November 05, 2026 18:45
Atalanta
#15 · 3 pts
vs
Kairat Almaty
#31 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.07%
Win
Atalanta
30.8%
Draw
25.13%
Win
Kairat Almaty
1.42
Expected xG
0.46

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.91%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 31%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 95.5% hit rate (44 picks)
1X 75%
X2 56%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atalanta a 44% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Kairat Almaty. Expected goals are 1.4 for Atalanta and 0.5 for Kairat Almaty (total 1.9), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.91% probability.

Season Stats

Atalanta
2W 1D 1L
Kairat Almaty
0W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
3.0
3.0
Shots OT
2.5
5.3
Corners
4.0
54%
Poss.
40%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
50%
25%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Atalanta
1W 1D 0L · at home
Kairat Almaty
0W 1D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atalanta Kairat Almaty →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3% 7.1% 1.6% 0.3% — —
1 21.6% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% — —
2 15.3% 7.1% 1.6% 0.3% — —
3 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% — —
4 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% — — —
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Atalanta Atalanta
L Ajax 2–0
W Pafos 3–1
W Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1
D Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
L Panathinaikos 1–5
D Riga 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Atalanta Atalanta
Attack
48
Defence
44
Form
35
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
Attack
19
Defence
53
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2 6
2 FC Lugano FC Lugano 2 6
3 Brann Brann 2 6
4 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2 6
5 Twente Twente 2 6
6 Monaco Monaco 2 6
7 St. Truiden St. Truiden 2 6
8 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 2 6
9 Brighton Brighton 2 4
10 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 2 4
11 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2 4
12 Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 2 4
13 Ajax Ajax 2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2 3
15 Atalanta Atalanta 2 3
16 SC Braga SC Braga 2 3
17 Gent Gent 2 3
18 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2 3
19 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2 2
20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 2
21 Riga Riga 2 2
22 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 2 1
23 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2 1
24 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 2 1
25 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 2 1
26 Aarhus Aarhus 2 1
27 Pafos Pafos 2 1
28 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 2 1
29 FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 2 1
30 Getafe Getafe 2 1
31 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 2 1
32 FC Thun FC Thun 2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 0
34 KuPS KuPS 2 0
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 0
36 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 2 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
The model gives Atalanta a 44% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 25% for an Kairat Almaty win.
How many goals are expected in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Expected goals: Atalanta 1.4, Kairat Almaty 0.5 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.91%.