← Coppa Italia
Coppa Italia · Semi-finals April 22, 2026 21:00
1 – 1
Final score
pens 1–2
M. Pasalic (ast. N. Krstovic) 86'
G. Raspadori 120'+1 (pen.)
84' (ast. M. Zaccagni) A. Romagnoli
(pen.) 120'+3 G. Isaksen
(pen.) 120'+4 K. Taylor

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Lazio 30%). The final result was Atalanta 1–1 Lazio. In 3 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
7
Corners
6
11
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Kolasinac
31'
37'
M. Cancellieri
L. Bernasconi / R. Bellanova
56'
R. Palladino
57'
61'
66'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri
67'
M. Lazzari / A. Marusic
N. Zalewski / G. Raspadori
71'
S. Kolasinac / O. Kossounou
71'
M. De Roon / M. Pasalic
71'
73'
M. Sarri
77'
F. Dele-Bashiru / T. Basic
77'
O. Provstgaard / M. Gila
84'
D. Cataldi / Patric
84'
ast. M. Zaccagni · A. Romagnoli
M. Pasalic · ast. N. Krstovic
86'
N. Krstovic / G. Scamacca
90'
G. Scalvini / H. Ahanor
94'
95'
103'
Pedro / M. Zaccagni
G. Scamacca
117'
120'+1
(missed pen.) N. Tavares
G. Raspadori (pen.)
120'+1
G. Scamacca (missed pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(missed pen.) D. Cataldi
D. Zappacosta (missed pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.) G. Isaksen
120'+4
(pen.) K. Taylor
M. Pasalic (missed pen.)
120'+4
C. De Ketelaere (missed pen.)
120'+5
120'
M. Lazzari
Pre-match prediction
36.74%
Atalanta
32.34%
X ←
30.92%
Lazio
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atalanta
1.35
Lazio
1.39
Lineups
Atalanta Atalanta 3-4-2-1
29 Marco Carnesecchi Marco Carnesecchi G 6.30
23 Sead Kolašinac Sead Kolašinac 71' D 6.20
19
B. Djimsiti D 7.90
42 Giorgio Scalvini Giorgio Scalvini D 6.90
47
L. Bernasconi 56' M 7.20
13 Éderson Éderson M 6.90
15 Marten de Roon Marten de Roon 71' M 6.90
77 Davide Zappacosta Davide Zappacosta M 6.90
59 Nicola Zalewski Nicola Zalewski 71' F 6.70
17 C. De Ketelaere C. De Ketelaere F 7.70
90 N. Krstović N. Krstović 1 👟 89' F 6.90
Bench
18 Giacomo Raspadori Giacomo Raspadori 1 ⚽ 49' F 6.90
9 G. Scamacca G. Scamacca 31' F 6.20
10 Lazar Samardžić Lazar Samardžić M
8 M. Pašalić M. Pašalić 1 ⚽ 49' M 8.20
16 Raoul Bellanova Raoul Bellanova 64' D 6.60
40 Relja Obrić Relja Obrić D
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
G 6.90
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.90
13 Alessio Romagnoli Alessio Romagnoli 1 ⚽ D 8.20
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila 77' D 7.90
77 Adam Marušić Adam Marušić 67' D 6.30
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor 1 ⚽ M 6.50
4 Patric Patric 84' M 6.70
26 Toma Bašić Toma Bašić 77' M 6.90
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 1 👟 F 7.90
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin F 6.20
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri 66' F 6.50
Bench
19 Boulaye Dia Boulaye Dia F
27 Daniel Maldini Daniel Maldini F
32 Danilo Cataldi Danilo Cataldi 36' M 6.60
23 Elseid Hysaj Elseid Hysaj D
18 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 1 ⚽ 54' F 6.90
3 Luca Pellegrini Luca Pellegrini D
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari 53' M 6.60
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard 43' D 6.30
9 Pedro Pedro 17' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
M. Pašalić
M. Pašalić
M · Atalanta
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 66 pass
Alessio Romagnoli
Alessio Romagnoli
D · Lazio
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
B. Djimsiti
D · Atalanta
7.90
1 shots · 153 pass
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 23 pass
Mario Gila
Mario Gila
D · Lazio
7.90
· 34 pass
C. De Ketelaere
C. De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
7.70
1 shots · 48 pass
Atalanta Atalanta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marco Carnesecchi G 120 6.30 29 24%
Sead Kolašinac D 71 6.20 55 52% 1
B. Djimsiti D 120 7.90 1 153 149% 4
Giorgio Scalvini D 94 6.90 1 89 80% 1
L. Bernasconi M 56 7.20 30 26% 1
Éderson M 120 6.90 2 60 50% 1
Marten de Roon M 71 6.90 54 49% 1
Davide Zappacosta M 120 6.90 2 62 57% 1
Nicola Zalewski F 71 6.70 2 20 14%
C. De Ketelaere F 120 7.70 1 48 39%
N. Krstović F 89 6.90 1 2 6 5% 1
Giacomo Raspadori F 49 6.90 1 25 23%
G. Scamacca F 31 6.20 2 7 6% 1
M. Pašalić M 49 8.20 1 2 66 63%
Raoul Bellanova D 64 6.60 42 37% 1
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 120 6.90 40 21%
Nuno Tavares D 120 6.90 32 23% 2
Alessio Romagnoli D 120 8.20 1 1 54 51% 3
Mario Gila D 77 7.90 34 30% 3
Adam Marušić D 67 6.30 18 14%
Kenneth Taylor M 120 6.50 1 33 28% 1
Patric M 84 6.70 26 18% 1
Toma Bašić M 77 6.90 1 28 20%
M. Zaccagni F 103 7.90 1 1 23 17% 2
Tijjani Noslin F 120 6.20 1 37 27%
M. Cancellieri F 66 6.50 16 13% 2 1
Danilo Cataldi M 36 6.60 11 10% 1
Gustav Isaksen F 54 6.90 1 18 15% 2
Manuel Lazzari M 53 6.60 22 21% 1
Oliver Provstgaard D 43 6.30 15 13% 2
Pedro F 17 6.30 4 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Lazio?
The final score was Atalanta 1–1 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Lazio?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Atalanta win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Lazio win.