Serie A
· Regular Season - 1
August 23, 2026 20:45
G. Raspadori
(ast. G. Gaetano)
6'
N. Krstovic
65'
55'
C. Odenthal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Sassuolo 29%). The final result was Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo. In 2 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sassuolo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
16
7
Shots on target
8
0.67
Actual xG
2.70
7
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
4
16
Tackles
12
Match Events
⚽G. Raspadori
· ast. G. Gaetano
6'
55'
C. Odenthal⚽
N. Zalewski
/ C. De Ketelaere
60'
G. Scamacca
/ N. Krstovic
60'
M. Pasalic
/ L. Samardzic
60'
64'
K. Thorstvedt
/
V. Adzic
⚽N. Krstovic
65'
L. Bernasconi
/ S. Kolasinac
71'
74'
B. Dominguez
/
N. Matic
74'
F. Leysen
/
T. Macchioni
G. Raspadori
/ E. Elmas
82'
88'
G. Kulla
/
K. Bowie
88'
R. Ciervo
/
C. Volpato
Pre-match prediction
39.03%
Atalanta ←
31.16%
X
29.81%
Sassuolo
we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta)
39.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
0.67
-1.25
1.70
2.70
+1.0
Sassuolo dominated by xG (2.70 vs 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
47
L. Bernasconi
71'
D
L. Bernasconi
71'
D
42
G. Scalvini
D
G. Scalvini
D
3
Odilon Kossounou
D
Odilon Kossounou
D
77
D. Zappacosta
D
D. Zappacosta
D
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
70
G. Gaetano
1 👟
M
G. Gaetano
1 👟
M
8
Mario Pasalic
60'
M
Mario Pasalic
60'
M
18
Giacomo Raspadori
1 ⚽
82'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
1 ⚽
82'
F
9
G. Scamacca
60'
F
G. Scamacca
60'
F
59
N. Zalewski
60'
F
N. Zalewski
60'
F
Bench
17
C. De Ketelaere
33'
F
C. De Ketelaere
33'
F
99
E. Elmas
11'
M
E. Elmas
11'
M
49
F. Cassa
M
F. Cassa
M
6
I. Sulemana
M
I. Sulemana
M
10
L. Samardžić
33'
M
L. Samardžić
33'
M
15
M. de Roon
M
M. de Roon
M
57
M. Sportiello
G
M. Sportiello
G
90
N. Krstović
1 ⚽
33'
F
N. Krstović
1 ⚽
33'
F
95
P. Vismara
G
P. Vismara
G
16
R. Bellanova
D
R. Bellanova
D
40
R. ObriÄ
D
R. ObriÄ
D
23
S. Kolašinac
22'
D
S. Kolašinac
22'
D
49
A. Murić
G
A. Murić
G
3
J. Doig
D
J. Doig
D
31
T. Macchioni
74'
D
T. Macchioni
74'
D
26
C. Odenthal
1 ⚽
D
C. Odenthal
1 ⚽
D
46
S. Cinquegrano
D
S. Cinquegrano
D
50
D. Bakola
M
D. Bakola
M
18
N. Matić
74'
M
N. Matić
74'
M
17
Vasilije Adžić
64'
M
Vasilije Adžić
64'
M
45
A. Laurienté
F
A. Laurienté
F
9
K. Bowie
88'
F
K. Bowie
88'
F
7
C. Volpato
88'
F
C. Volpato
88'
F
Bench
8
A. Ghion
M
A. Ghion
M
23
Alessandro Di Bitonto
D
Alessandro Di Bitonto
D
25
B. Domínguez
19'
F
B. Domínguez
19'
F
44
E. Iannoni
M
E. Iannoni
M
16
F. Leysen
19'
D
F. Leysen
19'
D
2
F. Missori
D
F. Missori
D
14
G. Kulla
5'
F
G. Kulla
5'
F
21
J. Idzes
D
J. Idzes
D
42
K. Thorstvedt
29'
M
K. Thorstvedt
29'
M
35
L. Lipani
M
L. Lipani
M
77
N. Pierini
F
N. Pierini
F
30
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
33
Rafael Obrador
D
Rafael Obrador
D
20
R. Ciervo
5'
F
R. Ciervo
5'
F
80
S. Turati
G
S. Turati
G
Best on the pitch
Giacomo Raspadori
F · Atalanta
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
M. Carnesecchi
G · Atalanta
7.90
· 40 pass
N. Zalewski
F · Atalanta
7.70
1 shots
· 31 pass
C. Odenthal
D · Sassuolo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 66 pass
J. Doig
D · Sassuolo
7.30
· 34 pass
N. Krstović
F · Atalanta
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| L. Bernasconi | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 95% | — | — | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 92 | 89% | — | — | — |
| D. Zappacosta | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 68 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 82 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Zalewski | F | 60 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 33 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Elmas | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Samardžić | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 33 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Kolašinac | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Murić | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Doig | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Macchioni | D | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 42% | — | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 93 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 66 | 64% | — | — | — |
| S. Cinquegrano | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bakola | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Matić | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Laurienté | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 5 | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Volpato | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Leysen | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. Kulla | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| R. Ciervo | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
The final score was Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Atalanta win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Sassuolo win.