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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 October 12, 2026 18:30 New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Atalanta
#11 · 10 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Venezia
#20 · 3 pts
Franck Kessié (ast. Nikola Krstović) 4'
Nikola Krstović (ast. Elif Elmas) 6'
Nikola Krstović 30'
37' (ast. Richie Sagrado) Antoine Hainaut
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Venezia 30%). The final result was Atalanta 3–1 Venezia.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
19
11
Shots on target
4
2.16
Actual xG
2.69
3
Saves
7
36%
Possession
64%
8
Corners
7
11
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Franck Kessié · ast. Nikola Krstović
4'
⚽Nikola Krstović · ast. Elif Elmas
6'
8'
Richie Sagrado / Thierry Correia ↕
18'
Matias Moreno
⚽Nikola Krstović
30'
37'
ast. Richie Sagrado · Antoine Hainaut⚽
42'
Juan Jesus
↕ Charles De Ketelaere / Lazar Samardzic
60'
↕ Giorgio Scalvini / Sead Kolašinac
67'
↕ Raoul Bellanova / Lorenzo Bernasconi
67'
↕ Jonathan Rowe / Nicola Zalewski
76'
↕ Franck Kessié / Gianluca Gaetano
76'
83'
Thorir Johann Helgason / Toma Bašić ↕
83'
Joël Schingtienne / Matias Moreno ↕
83'
Lion Lauberbach / Akor Adams ↕
87'
Albion Rrahmani / Simon Sohm ↕
88'
Elif Elmas
89'
Pre-match prediction
39.16%
Atalanta ←
30.39%
X
30.45%
Venezia
we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta) 39.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atalanta
0.96
2.16
+1.2
Venezia
1.00
2.69
+1.69
Venezia dominated by xG (2.69 vs 2.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Atalanta Atalanta 4-2-3-1
29 M. Carnesecchi M. Carnesecchi G 6.69
77 D. Zappacosta D. Zappacosta D 6.55
42 G. Scalvini G. Scalvini 67' D 6.69
31 T. Kristensen T. Kristensen D 6.57
16 R. Bellanova R. Bellanova 67' D 6.90
13 Éderson Éderson M 6.79
19 F. Kessié F. Kessié 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.76
11 J. Rowe J. Rowe 76' M 6.43
17 C. De Ketelaere C. De Ketelaere 60' M 7.03
99 E. Elmas E. Elmas 1 👟 89' M 7.18
90 N. Krstović N. Krstović 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.80
Bench
70 G. Gaetano G. Gaetano 14' M 6.25
18 Giacomo Raspadori Giacomo Raspadori F 0.00
9 G. Scamacca G. Scamacca F 0.00
41 J. Idele J. Idele M 0.00
47 L. Bernasconi L. Bernasconi 23' D 6.75
10 L. Samardžić L. Samardžić 30' M 6.85
8 Mario Pasalic Mario Pasalic M 0.00
51 M. Sonzogni M. Sonzogni G 0.00
57 M. Sportiello M. Sportiello G 0.00
59 N. Zalewski N. Zalewski 14' M 6.26
40 R. Obrić R. Obrić D 0.00
23 S. Kolašinac S. Kolašinac 23' D 6.36
Venezia Venezia 3-5-2
1 F. Stanković F. Stanković G 7.19
2 M. Moreno M. Moreno 83' D 5.63
15 Juan Jesus Juan Jesus D 6.39
25 R. Halhal R. Halhal D 6.23
14 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia 8' M 5.79
26 T. Bašić T. Bašić 83' M 6.30
19 S. Sohm S. Sohm 87' M 6.60
71 Kike Pérez Kike Pérez M 6.90
18 A. Hainaut A. Hainaut 1 ⚽ M 7.87
45 A. Adams A. Adams 83' F 6.83
10 J. Yeboah J. Yeboah F 6.39
Bench
95 A. Gomes A. Gomes D 0.00
7 A. Rrahmani A. Rrahmani 3' F 6.48
3 J. Schingtienne J. Schingtienne 7' D 5.93
56 K. Lisman K. Lisman F 0.00
8 Lamine Dabo Lamine Dabo M 0.00
29 L. Lauberbach L. Lauberbach 7' F 6.22
96 L. Montipò L. Montipò G 0.00
30 M. Dagasso M. Dagasso M 0.00
5 R. Haps R. Haps D 0.00
16 R. Mohammed R. Mohammed D 0.00
20 R. Sagrado R. Sagrado 1 👟 82' D 7.00
55 S. Panada S. Panada M 0.00
77 Toni Fernández Toni Fernández M 0.00
21 Þ. Helgason Þ. Helgason 7' M 5.84
Best on the pitch
N. Krstović
N. Krstović
F · Atalanta
8.80
2 ⚽ 1 👟
7 shots · 24 pass
A. Hainaut
A. Hainaut
M · Venezia
7.87
1 ⚽
2 shots · 47 pass
F. Kessié
F. Kessié
M · Atalanta
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
F. Stanković
F. Stanković
G · Venezia
7.19
· 45 pass
E. Elmas
E. Elmas
M · Atalanta
7.18
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
C. De Ketelaere
C. De Ketelaere
M · Atalanta
7.03
1 shots · 22 pass
Atalanta Atalanta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Carnesecchi G 90 6.69 — — 0 35 20% 0 — —
D. Zappacosta D 90 6.55 — — 3 23 19% 3 — —
G. Scalvini D 67 6.69 — — 0 27 25% 1 — —
T. Kristensen D 90 6.57 — — 2 18 13% 1 — —
R. Bellanova D 67 6.90 — — 0 28 23% 0 — —
Éderson M 90 6.79 — — 2 33 30% 2 — —
F. Kessié M 76 7.76 1 — 2 39 32% 0 — —
J. Rowe M 76 6.43 — — 3 19 16% 0 — —
C. De Ketelaere M 60 7.03 — — 1 22 19% 0 — —
E. Elmas M 89 7.18 — 1 1 30 28% 0 — 1
N. Krstović F 90 8.80 2 1 7 24 19% 2 — —
G. Gaetano M 14 6.25 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
L. Bernasconi D 23 6.75 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
L. Samardžić M 30 6.85 — — 0 12 12% 1 — —
N. Zalewski M 14 6.26 — — 1 1 1% 1 — —
S. Kolašinac D 23 6.36 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Venezia Venezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Stanković G 90 7.19 — — 0 45 39% 0 — —
M. Moreno D 83 5.63 — — 0 49 41% 0 1 —
Juan Jesus D 90 6.39 — — 0 68 65% 2 1 —
R. Halhal D 90 6.23 — — 1 62 59% 2 — —
Thierry Correia M 8 5.79 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Bašić M 83 6.30 — — 2 47 39% 1 — —
S. Sohm M 87 6.60 — — 0 74 69% 3 — —
Kike Pérez M 90 6.90 — — 2 74 68% 1 — —
A. Hainaut M 90 7.87 1 — 2 47 44% 2 — —
A. Adams F 83 6.83 — — 4 12 10% 0 — —
J. Yeboah F 90 6.39 — — 5 39 32% 1 — —
A. Rrahmani F 3 6.48 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
J. Schingtienne D 7 5.93 — — 1 9 9% 0 — —
L. Lauberbach F 7 6.22 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
R. Sagrado D 82 7.00 — 1 1 32 32% 1 — —
Þ. Helgason M 7 5.84 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Venezia?
The final score was Atalanta 3–1 Venezia.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Venezia?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Atalanta win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Venezia win.