Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 36
November 02, 2026 22:00
Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei
Redney
35'
Jhan Pool Torres Cañete
(ast. Kauan Rodrigues da Silva)
65'
22'
(ast. Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira)
Saulo Mineiro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Ceara 30%). The final result was Athletic Club 2–1 Ceara. In 1 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ceara.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
4
1.61
Actual xG
0.59
3
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
3
8
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
Vinicius Zanocelo
18'
Éder
22'
ast. Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira ·
Saulo Mineiro⚽
⚽Redney
35'
Enzo Henrique dos Santos
41'
Enzo Henrique dos Santos
/ José Carlos Cracco Neto
45'
Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes
/ Gian Franco Cabezas Rodriguez
45'
Diogo·Batista de Souza
/ Douglas da Silva Santos
58'
62'
Sávio António Alves
/
Gabriel Silva Rocha
62'
Rian Santana
/
Lenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli
⚽Jhan Pool Torres Cañete
· ast. Kauan Rodrigues da Silva
65'
Redney
/ Dixon Vera
71'
72'
Vinícius
/
Richardson
73'
Matheus Araujo
/
Enzo Lodovico
74'
Renzo López
/
Saulo Mineiro
Jhan Pool Torres Cañete
/ Philipe Sampaio Azevedo
79'
Pre-match prediction
41.31%
Athletic ←
28.27%
X
30.42%
Ceara
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club)
41.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
1.61
+0.41
1.03
0.59
-0.44
Athletic Club dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Luan Polli
G
Luan Polli
G
3
J. Torres
1 ⚽
79'
D
J. Torres
1 ⚽
79'
D
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
5
Felipe Negrucci
D
Felipe Negrucci
D
23
Enzo
46'
M
Enzo
46'
M
15
Jota
46'
M
Jota
46'
M
16
João Miguel
M
João Miguel
M
22
Diogo Batista
58'
M
Diogo Batista
58'
M
17
Kauan
1 👟
F
Kauan
1 👟
F
9
Carlinhos
F
Carlinhos
F
10
Assis
1 ⚽
71'
F
Assis
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
7
Bruninho
F
Bruninho
F
2
Douglas Pelé
32'
D
Douglas Pelé
32'
D
21
D. Vera
19'
F
D. Vera
19'
F
8
G. Cabezas
44'
M
G. Cabezas
44'
M
11
Max
F
Max
F
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
Pedro Oliveira
M
13
Philipe Sampaio
11'
D
Philipe Sampaio
11'
D
12
Tony
G
Tony
G
20
W. Aponza
F
W. Aponza
F
14
Yago Santos
M
Yago Santos
M
19
Yarlen
F
Yarlen
F
6
Zeca
44'
D
Zeca
44'
D
1
Richard
1 👟
G
Richard
1 👟
G
71
73'
D
13
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
77
Lenny Lobato
62'
M
Lenny Lobato
62'
M
25
Vinicius Zanocelo
M
Vinicius Zanocelo
M
26
Richardson
72'
M
Richardson
72'
M
31
Bryan
M
Bryan
M
40
Richard
1 👟
F
Richard
1 👟
F
73
Saulo Mineiro
1 ⚽
74'
F
Saulo Mineiro
1 ⚽
74'
F
60
73'
F
Bench
23
Caíque França
G
Caíque França
G
10
L. Mugni
M
L. Mugni
M
99
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
8
Matheus Araújo
17'
M
Matheus Araújo
17'
M
11
N. Ferreira
F
N. Ferreira
F
80
P. Esli
M
P. Esli
M
2
Rafael Ramos
D
Rafael Ramos
D
94
R. López
16'
F
R. López
16'
F
6
Sávio
28'
D
Sávio
28'
D
29
Vina
18'
M
Vina
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Assis
F · Athletic
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 29 pass
Saulo Mineiro
F · Ceara
7.87
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
J. Torres
D · Athletic
7.55
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Jota
M · Athletic
7.16
1 shots
· 28 pass
Kauan
F · Athletic
7.04
1 👟
4 shots
· 21 pass
Lucas Belezi
D · Athletic
7.02
· 52 pass
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Polli | G | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Torres | D | 79 | 7.55 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Negrucci | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo | M | 46 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jota | M | 46 | 7.16 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| João Miguel | M | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Batista | M | 58 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Kauan | F | 90 | 7.04 | — | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlinhos | F | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 6 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Assis | F | 71 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Douglas Pelé | D | 32 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Vera | F | 19 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Cabezas | M | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Philipe Sampaio | D | 11 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Zeca | D | 44 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 90 | 7.02 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 73 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — | |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| Éder | D | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Lenny Lobato | M | 62 | 5.65 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinicius Zanocelo | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Richardson | M | 72 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryan | M | 90 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard | F | 90 | 7.02 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Saulo Mineiro | F | 74 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| F | 73 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — | |
| Matheus Araújo | M | 17 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| R. López | F | 16 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Sávio | D | 28 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Vina | M | 18 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Ceara?
The final score was Athletic Club 2–1 Ceara.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Ceara?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Athletic Club win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Ceara win.