La Liga
· Regular Season - 37
May 17, 2026 19:00
I. Williams
(ast. Y. Berchiche)
52'
4'
(ast. I. Moriba)
W. Swedberg
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 42% win probability (draw 25%, Celta Vigo 31%). The final result was Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo. In 2 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Celta Vigo.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
2
9
Shots on target
2
2.46
Actual xG
0.15
1
Saves
8
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
0
11
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
ast. I. Moriba ·
W. Swedberg⚽
10'
J. Rueda
Y. Berchiche
38'
42'
I. Radu
U. Gomez
/ R. Navarro
46'
46'
O. Mingueza
/
J. Rueda
⚽I. Williams
· ast. Y. Berchiche
52'
59'
P. Duran
/
F. Jutgla
59'
I. Aspas
/
B. Iglesias
A. Laporte
68'
M. Jauregizar
/ A. Rego
71'
74'
H. Alvarez
/
W. Swedberg
G. Guruzeta
/ M. Sannadi
82'
A. Berenguer
/ N. Serrano
82'
I. Williams
/ Izeta
86'
90'+1
M. Vecino
/
F. Lopez
Pre-match prediction
42.81%
Athletic
25.9%
X ←
31.29%
Celta
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
2.46
+1.08
1.15
0.15
-1.0
Athletic Club dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.15).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Unai Simón
G
Unai Simón
G
17
Yuri
1 👟
D
Yuri
1 👟
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
D
Aymeric Laporte
D
5
Yeray
D
Yeray
D
2
Gorosabel
D
Gorosabel
D
18
Mikel Jauregizar
71'
M
Mikel Jauregizar
71'
M
16
Ruíz de Galarreta
M
Ruíz de Galarreta
M
7
Álex Berenguer
82'
M
Álex Berenguer
82'
M
20
Unai Gómez
45'
M
Unai Gómez
45'
M
9
I. Williams
1 ⚽
86'
M
I. Williams
1 ⚽
86'
M
11
Gorka Guruzeta
82'
F
Gorka Guruzeta
82'
F
Bench
19
A. Boiro
D
A. Boiro
D
4
Aitor Paredes
D
Aitor Paredes
D
30
Alejandro Rego
24'
M
Alejandro Rego
24'
M
27
Álex Padilla
G
Álex Padilla
G
12
Jesús Areso
D
Jesús Areso
D
15
Lekue
D
Lekue
D
21
Maroan Sannadi
13'
F
Maroan Sannadi
13'
F
6
Mikel Vesga
M
Mikel Vesga
M
22
Nico Serrano
13'
F
Nico Serrano
13'
F
23
Robert Navarro
50'
M
Robert Navarro
50'
M
44
S. Sanchez
M
S. Sanchez
M
25
Urko Izeta
9'
F
Urko Izeta
9'
F
13
I. Radu
G
I. Radu
G
20
Marcos Alonso
D
Marcos Alonso
D
29
Yoel Lago
D
Yoel Lago
D
32
Javi Rodríguez
D
Javi Rodríguez
D
5
Sergio Carreira
M
Sergio Carreira
M
6
I. Moriba
1 👟
M
I. Moriba
1 👟
M
8
Fer López
M
Fer López
M
17
Javi Rueda
45'
M
Javi Rueda
45'
M
19
W. Swedberg
1 ⚽
74'
F
W. Swedberg
1 ⚽
74'
F
7
Borja Iglesias
59'
F
Borja Iglesias
59'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
59'
F
Ferran Jutglà
59'
F
Bench
14
Álvaro Núñez
D
Álvaro Núñez
D
23
Hugo Álvarez
21'
M
Hugo Álvarez
21'
M
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
Hugo Sotelo
M
10
Iago Aspas
36'
F
Iago Aspas
36'
F
1
Iván Villar
G
Iván Villar
G
39
J. El Abdellaoui
F
J. El Abdellaoui
F
4
Joseph Aidoo
D
Joseph Aidoo
D
12
Manu Fernández
D
Manu Fernández
D
15
Matías Vecino
4'
M
Matías Vecino
4'
M
21
M. Ristić
D
M. Ristić
D
3
Óscar Mingueza
50'
D
Óscar Mingueza
50'
D
18
Pablo Durán
36'
F
Pablo Durán
36'
F
Best on the pitch
Yuri
D · Athletic
9.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 75 pass
I. Radu
G · Celta
7.50
· 36 pass
Yeray
D · Athletic
7.30
· 64 pass
Gorosabel
D · Athletic
7.30
· 52 pass
W. Swedberg
F · Celta
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Ruíz de Galarreta
M · Athletic
7.20
· 77 pass
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yuri | D | 95 | 9.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 75 | 69% | — | 1 | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yeray | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Gorosabel | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ruíz de Galarreta | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Álex Berenguer | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Williams | M | 86 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 82 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego | M | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Maroan Sannadi | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nico Serrano | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| Fer López | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Vecino | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Athletic Club win, 25% to a draw, and 31% to an Celta Vigo win.