Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 23
August 21, 2026 00:30
33'
(ast. Crystopher Ribeiro)
Dada Belmonte
56'
(ast. Danielzinho)
Mikael
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Athletic Club 28%). The final result was Athletic Club 0–2 CRB. In 1 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for CRB.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
6
0.87
Actual xG
2.18
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
7
Match Events
Zeca
/ Diogo Batista
4'
33'
ast. Crystopher Ribeiro ·
Dada Belmonte⚽
Carlinhos
/ W. Aponza
46'
Jota
/ D. Vera
46'
J. Pool
/ Yago Santos
46'
56'
ast. Danielzinho ·
Mikael⚽
63'
De Lucca
/
Crystopher Ribeiro
63'
Hereda
/
Kevin
W. Aponza
65'
69'
Thiaguinho
Jhonatan Silva
/ G. Cabezas
73'
74'
Geovane
/
Thiaguinho
77'
Vinicius Barata
/
De Lucca
79'
Fabio Alemao
/
Danielzinho
Max
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.24%
Athletic
27.01%
X
44.75%
CRB ←
we assigned to the actual result (CRB)
44.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.84
0.87
+0.03
1.37
2.18
+0.81
CRB dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs CRB?
The final score was Athletic Club 0–2 CRB.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs CRB?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Athletic Club win, 27% to a draw, and 44% to an CRB win.