Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 11
May 30, 2026 23:00
Ian Luccas
55'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza EC a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Athletic Club 29%). The final result was Athletic Club 1–0 Fortaleza EC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
4
0.87
Actual xG
1.19
4
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
7
22
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
Kaua Rocha
46'
Luiz Fernando
/
Kaua Rocha
46'
Mailton
/
Rodriguinho
⚽Ian Luccas
55'
60'
Lucas Crispim
/
Vitinho
60'
T. Pochettino
/
Welliton
D. Vera
/ Jota
65'
Max
/ Bruninho
65'
72'
Lucca Prior
/
Rodrigo
Ian Luccas
/ Ruan Assis
81'
G. Cabezas
/ Alexandre Pena
90'
Zeca
/ Felipe Vieira
90'
Pre-match prediction
29.46%
Athletic ←
29.42%
X
41.13%
Fortaleza
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club)
29.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
0.87
-0.13
1.53
1.19
-0.34
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.87).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Luan Polli
G
Luan Polli
G
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
3
Jhonatan
D
Jhonatan
D
6
Zeca
D
Zeca
D
14
Marcelo Henrique
M
Marcelo Henrique
M
8
G. Cabezas
M
G. Cabezas
M
16
João Miguel
M
João Miguel
M
22
Diogo Batista
M
Diogo Batista
M
5
Ian Luccas
1 ⚽
81'
F
Ian Luccas
1 ⚽
81'
F
21
D. Vera
65'
F
D. Vera
65'
F
11
Max
65'
F
Max
65'
F
Bench
17
Alexandre Pena
6'
M
Alexandre Pena
6'
M
7
Bruninho
31'
F
Bruninho
31'
F
2
Douglas Pelé
D
Douglas Pelé
D
13
Felipe Vieira
6'
D
Felipe Vieira
6'
D
20
Gabriel Moyses
F
Gabriel Moyses
F
10
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
12
Jhonatan
G
Jhonatan
G
15
Jota
31'
M
Jota
31'
M
19
Kauan Lindes
M
Kauan Lindes
M
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
Pedro Oliveira
M
23
Ruan Lucas de Assis
15'
F
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
33
Kauã Rocha
45'
D
Kauã Rocha
45'
D
4
Luan
D
Luan
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
18
G. Fuentes
M
G. Fuentes
M
29
Rodrigo
72'
M
Rodrigo
72'
M
88
Lucas Sasha
M
Lucas Sasha
M
75
Rodriguinho
45'
M
Rodriguinho
45'
M
11
Vitinho
60'
F
Vitinho
60'
F
31
Welliton
60'
F
Welliton
60'
F
9
J. Miritello
F
J. Miritello
F
Bench
99
Kayke
F
Kayke
F
10
Lucas Crispim
36'
M
Lucas Crispim
36'
M
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
Lucas Emanoel
F
38
Lucca
24'
M
Lucca
24'
M
32
Luiz Fernando
51'
F
Luiz Fernando
51'
F
22
Maílton
51'
D
Maílton
51'
D
13
Mauricio Junior
D
Mauricio Junior
D
77
Paulo Baya
F
Paulo Baya
F
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
M
Ryan Gustavo
M
7
T. Pochettino
36'
M
T. Pochettino
36'
M
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Best on the pitch
Luan Polli
G · Athletic
8.00
· 32 pass
Ian Luccas
F · Athletic
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
D. Vera
F · Athletic
7.50
· 13 pass
G. Fuentes
M · Fortaleza
7.20
· 43 pass
Marcelo Henrique
M · Athletic
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
Jhonatan
D · Athletic
7.20
2 shots
· 36 pass
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Polli | G | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhonatan | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Zeca | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcelo Henrique | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Cabezas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| João Miguel | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Diogo Batista | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ian Luccas | F | 81 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vera | F | 65 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Max | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Pena | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruninho | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vieira | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jota | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruan Lucas de Assis | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Rocha | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luan | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Fuentes | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Welliton | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Crispim | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucca | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Maílton | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was Athletic Club 1–0 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Athletic Club win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Fortaleza EC win.