Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 13
June 14, 2026 21:00
Kauan Rodrigues
(ast. Jota)
67'
45'+3
E. Garcia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Goias 32%). The final result was Athletic Club 1–1 Goias.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
1
1.76
Actual xG
1.29
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
4
Match Events
24'
Luiz Felipe
Max
25'
25'
Luquinhas
37'
Djalma Silva
Zeca
38'
45'+3
E. Garcia⚽
⚽Zeca
(missed pen.)
48'
Jhonatan Silva
53'
D. Vera
/ Bruninho
57'
Zeca
/ Gabriel Moyses
57'
Jhonatan Silva
/ Marcelo Henrique
57'
61'
Jean Carlos
/
E. Garcia
Max
/ Gustavinho
64'
⚽Kauan Rodrigues
· ast. Jota
67'
70'
Anselmo Ramon
/
Lucas Lima
71'
Brayann
/
Juninho
Jota
77'
Bruninho
/ Felipe Vieira
78'
80'
Rodrigo Soares
/
Diego Caito
80'
Halerrandrio
/
Kadu
Ian Luccas
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
36.63%
Athletic
31.31%
X ←
32.06%
Goias
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
1.76
+0.77
0.97
1.29
+0.32
Athletic Club dominated by xG (1.76 vs 1.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Goias?
The final score was Athletic Club 1–1 Goias.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Goias?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Athletic Club win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Goias win.