Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 9
May 17, 2026 21:00
D. Vera
(ast. Max)
28'
90'+3
(ast. Alisson Safira)
Rai Silva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 34% win probability (draw 36%, Juventude 29%). The final result was Athletic Club 1–1 Juventude. In 1 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Juventude.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
1.20
Actual xG
0.78
3
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
3
13
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Vera
· ast. Max
28'
30'
Rai Silva
32'
Diogo Barbosa
36'
Gabriel Pinheiro
Ruan Assis
36'
Max
44'
45'+4
53'
Aderlan
/
Nathan Santos
53'
Leo Indio
/
MP
Gabriel Moyses
/ Samuel Otusanya
60'
D. Vera
/ Ruan Assis
64'
67'
Wadson
/
Diogo Barbosa
67'
Fabio Lima
/
Lucas Mineiro
Max
/ Douglas Pele
74'
Ian Luccas
/ G. Cabezas
74'
75'
Alisson Safira
/
M. Castro
90'+3
ast. Alisson Safira ·
Rai Silva⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.49%
Athletic
36.47%
X ←
29.03%
Juventude
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
1.20
+0.3
0.71
0.78
+0.07
Athletic Club dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Luan Polli
G
Luan Polli
G
14
Marcelo Henrique
D
Marcelo Henrique
D
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
3
Jhonatan
D
Jhonatan
D
22
Diogo Batista
D
Diogo Batista
D
5
Ian Luccas
74'
M
Ian Luccas
74'
M
16
João Miguel
M
João Miguel
M
15
Jota
M
Jota
M
21
D. Vera
1 ⚽
64'
F
D. Vera
1 ⚽
64'
F
20
Gabriel Moyses
60'
F
Gabriel Moyses
60'
F
11
Max
1 👟
74'
F
Max
1 👟
74'
F
Bench
17
Alexandre Cesar
M
Alexandre Cesar
M
2
Douglas Pelé
23'
D
Douglas Pelé
23'
D
13
Felipe Vieira
D
Felipe Vieira
D
8
G. Cabezas
23'
M
G. Cabezas
23'
M
10
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
12
Jhonatan
G
Jhonatan
G
23
Kauan Lindes
M
Kauan Lindes
M
7
Luiz Fernando
F
Luiz Fernando
F
9
Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya
37'
F
Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya
37'
F
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
Pedro Oliveira
M
19
Ruan Lucas de Assis
33'
F
6
Zeca
D
Zeca
D
93
Jandrei
G
Jandrei
G
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
D
Gabriel Pinheiro
D
4
Messias
D
Messias
D
34
Rodrigo Sam
D
Rodrigo Sam
D
16
Diogo Barbosa
67'
M
Diogo Barbosa
67'
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
67'
M
Lucas Mineiro
67'
M
75
Raí
1 ⚽
M
Raí
1 ⚽
M
22
Nathan
53'
M
Nathan
53'
M
10
Marcos Paulo
53'
F
Marcos Paulo
53'
F
9
Alan Kardec
F
Alan Kardec
F
17
M. Castro
75'
F
M. Castro
75'
F
Bench
13
Aderlan
44'
D
Aderlan
44'
D
25
Alisson Safira
1 👟
22'
F
Alisson Safira
1 👟
22'
F
88
Davi Goes
M
Davi Goes
M
11
Fábio Lima
30'
F
Fábio Lima
30'
F
26
Iba Ly
D
Iba Ly
D
79
Joao Paulo Scatolin
F
Joao Paulo Scatolin
F
15
Léo Índio
44'
M
Léo Índio
44'
M
12
Pedro Rocha
G
Pedro Rocha
G
27
Ray
F
Ray
F
21
Ruan Carneiro
G
Ruan Carneiro
G
3
Titi
D
Titi
D
6
Wadson
30'
D
Wadson
30'
D
Best on the pitch
Raí
M · Juventude
9.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
D. Vera
F · Athletic
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Diogo Batista
D · Athletic
7.50
4 shots
· 33 pass
Luan Polli
G · Athletic
7.30
· 25 pass
Jandrei
G · Juventude
7.30
· 40 pass
Wadson
D · Juventude
7.20
· 11 pass
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Polli | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Henrique | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonatan | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Diogo Batista | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Ian Luccas | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| João Miguel | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Jota | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vera | F | 64 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Moyses | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Max | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Douglas Pelé | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Cabezas | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ruan Lucas de Assis | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Juventude — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jandrei | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Pinheiro | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| Messias | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Sam | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Barbosa | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Mineiro | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Raí | M | 97 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nathan | M | 53 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcos Paulo | F | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alan Kardec | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Castro | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Aderlan | D | 44 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Alisson Safira | F | 22 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| Fábio Lima | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Léo Índio | M | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Wadson | D | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Juventude?
The final score was Athletic Club 1–1 Juventude.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Juventude?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Athletic Club win, 36% to a draw, and 29% to an Juventude win.