Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 6 April 28, 2026 00:00

Athletic Club

#14 · 42 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Nautico Recife

#13 · 42 pts

81' (ast. Yuri) Victor Andrade

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Nautico Recife 33%). The final result was Athletic Club 0–1 Nautico Recife. In 1 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nautico Recife.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

7

5

Shots on target

1

0.66

Actual xG

0.97

0

Saves

5

54%

Possession

46%

7

Corners

4

18

Tackles

16

3

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

↕ R. Tavares / Samuel Otusanya

17'

20'

Derek

21'

Mateus Silva

Ian Luccas

24'

Marcelo Henrique

42'

↕ Ian Luccas / Pedro Oliveira

56'

↕ Douglas Pele / D. Vera

57'

66'

Victor Andrade / Vinicius ↕

66'

Yuri / Mateus Silva ↕

↕ Gustavinho / Kauan Lindes

66'

72'

Felipe Saraiva / Junior Todinho ↕

81'

ast. Yuri · Victor Andrade⚽

82'

Victor Andrade

83'

Felipe Saraiva

86'

Samuel Felix / Luiz Felipe ↕

86'

Ramon / Wenderson ↕

Zeca

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

35.06%

Athletic

31.85%

X

33.09%

Nautico ←

we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife) 33.09% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Athletic

1.15

0.66

-0.49

Nautico

1.02

0.97

-0.05

Nautico Recife dominated by xG (0.97 vs 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	31	56
2	Vila Nova	30	54
3	Novorizontino	31	54
4	Criciuma	31	53
5	Fortaleza EC	31	53
6	Atletico Goianiense	30	49
7	CRB	31	48
8	Operario-PR	31	48
9	Sport Recife	31	47
10	São Bernardo	31	45
11	Cuiaba	30	43
12	Goias	31	42
13	Nautico Recife	31	42
14	Athletic Club	31	42
15	Ceara	30	36
16	Botafogo SP	30	35
17	Avai	30	30
18	Londrina	31	28
19	America Mineiro	30	17
20	Ponte Preta	30	13

Lineups

Athletic Club 3-4-2-1

1

G 6.00

4

D 6.30

16

D 7.20

6 Zeca D 7.20

14 Marcelo Henrique M 7.20

5 Ian Luccas 56' M 6.30

8 G. Cabezas M 6.50

2 Douglas Pelé 57' M 7.20

10 Gustavinho 66' F 6.30

17 Kauan F 7.00

9 Ronaldo Tavares 17' F 6.20

Bench

7 Bruninho F

21 D. Vera 33' F 6.70

11 Max F

20 Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya 73' F 6.60

Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1

1

G 8.50

23

D 7.30

3

D 6.90

25 Mateus Silva 66' D 6.60

14 Matheus Ribeiro D 7.30

8 Wenderson 86' M 6.90

27 Luiz Felipe 86' M 7.20

7 Vinícius 66' M 7.00

10 Dodozinho M 6.60

29 Júnior Todinho 72' M 6.30

72 Derek F 6.30

Bench

98 Felipe Saraiva 18' F 6.70

41 Samuel 9' M 6.70

11 Victor Andrade 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.60

Best on the pitch

G · Nautico

8.50

· 22 pass

Victor Andrade

F · Nautico

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots

Matheus Ribeiro

D · Nautico

7.30

· 39 pass

D · Nautico

7.30

· 39 pass

D · Athletic

7.20

1 shots · 51 pass

Zeca

D · Athletic

7.20

· 57 pass

Athletic Club — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	46	36%	5	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	51	50%	2	—	—
Zeca	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	57	49%	1	1	—
Marcelo Henrique	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	34	24%	3	1	—
Ian Luccas	M	56	6.30	—	—	1	21	16%	2	1	—
G. Cabezas	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	51	45%	1	—	—
Douglas Pelé	M	57	7.20	—	—	—	23	16%	3	—	—
Gustavinho	F	66	6.30	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
Kauan	F	90	7.00	—	—	5	34	30%	—	—	—
Ronaldo Tavares	F	17	6.20	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
D. Vera	F	33	6.70	—	—	—	12	8%	1	—	—
Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya	F	73	6.60	—	—	1	16	13%	—	—	—

Nautico Recife — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.50	—	—	—	22	17%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	39	29%	6	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	40	34%	1	—	—
Mateus Silva	D	66	6.60	—	—	—	23	21%	—	1	—
Matheus Ribeiro	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	39	29%	5	—	—
Wenderson	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	44	39%	—	—	—
Luiz Felipe	M	86	7.20	—	—	—	29	25%	2	—	—
Vinícius	M	66	7.00	—	—	—	23	14%	—	—	—
Dodozinho	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	30	27%	—	—	—
Júnior Todinho	M	72	6.30	—	—	1	23	19%	—	—	—
Derek	F	90	6.30	—	—	2	9	8%	1	1	—
Felipe Saraiva	F	18	6.70	—	—	—	9	9%	—	1	—
Samuel	M	9	6.70	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Victor Andrade	F	24	7.60	1	—	2	—	—	1	1	—