Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 24
August 25, 2026 00:30
W. Aponza
(ast. Assis)
81'
19'
(ast. Romulo)
Nicolas Careca
59'
Robson
77'
(ast. Diego Galo)
Matheus Bianqui
90'+5
(ast. Juninho)
Luis Oyama
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Athletic Club 24%). The final result was Athletic Club 1–4 Novorizontino. In 1 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Novorizontino.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
15
1
Shots on target
8
1.51
Actual xG
2.65
4
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
9
Corners
5
8
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Diogo Batista
11'
Jota
18'
19'
ast. Romulo ·
Nicolas Careca⚽
Jota
/ D. Vera
33'
Diogo Batista
45'+1
Diogo Batista
45'+1
Alex Souza
45'+3
J. Pool
/ Douglas Pele
46'
59'
Robson⚽
Enzo Santos
/ Marcelo Henrique
61'
Max
/ Assis
61'
61'
Juninho
/
Reidiney
Felipe Negrucci
/ Felipe Vieira
68'
73'
Diego Galo
/
Romulo
73'
Matheus Bianqui
/
Leo Naldi
77'
ast. Diego Galo ·
Matheus Bianqui⚽
80'
Carlao
/
Robson
80'
Maykon Jesus
/
Nicolas Careca
⚽W. Aponza
· ast. Assis
81'
90'+5
ast. Juninho ·
Luis Oyama⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.22%
Athletic
24.04%
X
51.74%
Novorizontino ←
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino)
51.74%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.95
1.51
+0.56
1.78
2.65
+0.88
Novorizontino dominated by xG (2.65 vs 1.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Luan Polli
G
Luan Polli
G
19
J. Torres
45'
D
J. Torres
45'
D
16
João Miguel
D
João Miguel
D
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
23
Enzo
61'
M
Enzo
61'
M
15
Jota
33'
M
Jota
33'
M
5
Felipe Negrucci
68'
M
Felipe Negrucci
68'
M
22
Diogo Batista
46'
M
Diogo Batista
46'
M
17
Kauan
F
Kauan
F
20
W. Aponza
1 ⚽
F
W. Aponza
1 ⚽
F
11
Max
61'
F
Max
61'
F
Bench
3
Alexandre Cesar
M
Alexandre Cesar
M
18
Assis
1 👟
34'
M
Assis
1 👟
34'
M
7
Bruninho
F
Bruninho
F
2
Douglas Pelé
50'
D
Douglas Pelé
50'
D
21
D. Vera
62'
F
D. Vera
62'
F
13
Felipe Vieira
27'
D
Felipe Vieira
27'
D
8
G. Cabezas
M
G. Cabezas
M
10
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
9
Kauan Lindes
M
Kauan Lindes
M
6
Marcelo Henrique
34'
D
Marcelo Henrique
34'
D
12
Tony
G
Tony
G
14
Yago Santos
M
Yago Santos
M
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
5
Sander
D
Sander
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
26
Gabriel Bahia
D
Gabriel Bahia
D
2
Madson
D
Madson
D
18
Léo Naldi
73'
M
Léo Naldi
73'
M
6
Luis Oyama
1 ⚽
M
Luis Oyama
1 ⚽
M
30
Nicolas Careca
1 ⚽
80'
M
Nicolas Careca
1 ⚽
80'
M
10
Romulo
1 👟
73'
M
Romulo
1 👟
73'
M
41
Reidiney
61'
M
Reidiney
61'
M
11
Robson
1 ⚽
80'
F
Robson
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
22
A. Alvariño
M
A. Alvariño
M
9
Carlão
15'
F
Carlão
15'
F
31
César
G
César
G
19
Diego Galo
1 👟
22'
M
Diego Galo
1 👟
22'
M
27
Diego Mathias
F
Diego Mathias
F
14
Eduardo Brock
D
Eduardo Brock
D
50
Juninho
1 👟
34'
M
Juninho
1 👟
34'
M
28
Marlon
M
Marlon
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
1 ⚽
22'
M
Matheus Bianqui
1 ⚽
22'
M
66
Maykon
15'
D
Maykon
15'
D
16
Vinícius
F
Vinícius
F
Best on the pitch
Luis Oyama
M · Novorizontino
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 51 pass
Nicolas Careca
M · Novorizontino
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Matheus Bianqui
M · Novorizontino
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Robson
F · Novorizontino
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
W. Aponza
F · Athletic
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Romulo
M · Novorizontino
7.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 24 pass
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Polli | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| João Miguel | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Enzo | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jota | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Felipe Negrucci | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Batista | M | 46 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Kauan | F | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Aponza | F | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Max | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Assis | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Pelé | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Vera | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Vieira | D | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Henrique | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Sander | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bahia | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Madson | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Naldi | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Luis Oyama | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Careca | M | 80 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Romulo | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Reidiney | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Robson | F | 80 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Galo | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 22 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Maykon | D | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Novorizontino?
The final score was Athletic Club 1–4 Novorizontino.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Novorizontino?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Athletic Club win, 24% to a draw, and 51% to an Novorizontino win.