La Liga
· Regular Season - 33
April 21, 2026 19:00
G. Guruzeta
16'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Osasuna 26%). The final result was Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna. In 1 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Osasuna.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
0.56
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
M. Jauregizar
10'
⚽G. Guruzeta
16'
48'
A. Oroz
57'
(missed pen.)
A. Budimir⚽
I. Ruiz de Galarreta
/ A. Rego
65'
N. Williams
/ R. Navarro
65'
A. Berenguer
/ O. Sancet
65'
71'
I. Munoz
/
L. Torro
71'
R. Moro
/
R. Garcia
A. Laporte
/ D. Vivian
75'
78'
K. Barja
/
A. Oroz
Y. Berchiche
/ A. Boiro
81'
84'
R. Garcia
/
J. Moncayola
84'
M. Gomez
/
J. Herrando
M. Jauregizar
90'+1
M. Jauregizar
90'+1
I. Williams
90'+7
90'+8
M. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
45.98%
Athletic ←
27.07%
X
26.96%
Osasuna
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club)
45.98%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
0.56
-0.86
1.04
1.12
+0.08
Osasuna dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
17
Yuri
81'
D
Yuri
81'
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
75'
D
Aymeric Laporte
75'
D
5
Yeray
D
Yeray
D
2
Gorosabel
D
Gorosabel
D
18
Mikel Jauregizar
M
Mikel Jauregizar
M
16
Ruíz de Galarreta
65'
M
Ruíz de Galarreta
65'
M
10
Nico Williams
65'
M
Nico Williams
65'
M
7
Álex Berenguer
65'
M
Álex Berenguer
65'
M
9
I. Williams
M
I. Williams
M
11
Gorka Guruzeta
1 ⚽
F
Gorka Guruzeta
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Boiro
9'
D
A. Boiro
9'
D
4
Aitor Paredes
D
Aitor Paredes
D
30
Alejandro Rego
25'
M
Alejandro Rego
25'
M
3
Dani Vivian
15'
D
Dani Vivian
15'
D
6
Mikel Vesga
M
Mikel Vesga
M
22
Nico Serrano
F
Nico Serrano
F
8
Oihan Sancet
25'
M
Oihan Sancet
25'
M
23
Robert Navarro
25'
M
Robert Navarro
25'
M
20
Unai Gómez
M
Unai Gómez
M
1
Sergio Herrera
G
Sergio Herrera
G
20
Javi Galán
D
Javi Galán
D
5
Jorge Herrando
84'
D
Jorge Herrando
84'
D
22
F. Boyomo
D
F. Boyomo
D
19
V. Rosier
D
V. Rosier
D
6
Lucas Torró
71'
M
Lucas Torró
71'
M
7
Moncayola
84'
M
Moncayola
84'
M
21
Víctor Muñoz
M
Víctor Muñoz
M
10
Aimar Oroz
78'
M
Aimar Oroz
78'
M
14
Rubén García
71'
M
Rubén García
71'
M
17
A. Budimir
F
A. Budimir
F
Bench
8
Iker Muñoz
19'
M
Iker Muñoz
19'
M
3
Juan Cruz
D
Juan Cruz
D
11
Kike Barja
12'
F
Kike Barja
12'
F
16
Moi Gómez
15'
F
Moi Gómez
15'
F
9
Raúl García
15'
F
Raúl García
15'
F
18
Raul Moro
19'
F
Raul Moro
19'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Athletic
8.00
· 26 pass
V. Rosier
D · Osasuna
7.70
1 shots
· 54 pass
Yuri
D · Athletic
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
Oihan Sancet
M · Athletic
7.30
· 6 pass
I. Williams
M · Athletic
7.30
· 21 pass
Aymeric Laporte
D · Athletic
7.20
· 45 pass
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Yuri | D | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Yeray | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Gorosabel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Ruíz de Galarreta | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Nico Williams | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Álex Berenguer | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| I. Williams | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 90 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Boiro | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Dani Vivian | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 25 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Osasuna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Herrando | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 88 | 83% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 88% | — | — | — |
| V. Rosier | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Moncayola | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rubén García | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Moi Gómez | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Raúl García | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Raul Moro | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
The final score was Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Athletic Club win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Osasuna win.