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← Brasileirão Série B
#14 · 47 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#11 · 52 pts
Max (ast. Belezi) 2'
Felipe Negrucci (ast. Diogo Batista) 63'
27' (ast. Lucas Lima) Lucas Rian
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 37% win probability (draw 31%, São Bernardo 30%). The final result was Athletic Club 2–1 São Bernardo.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
11
0.70
Actual xG
1.76
9
Saves
3
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
6
14
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Max · ast. Belezi
2'
5'
27'
ast. Lucas Lima · Lucas Rian⚽
↕ Carlinhos / D. Vera
52'
↕ G. Cabezas / Felipe Negrucci
52'
57'
Dudu Miraima
↕ Ian Luccas / W. Aponza
61'
⚽Felipe Negrucci · ast. Diogo Batista
63'
65'
Mario Sergio / Para ↕
65'
Hyoran / Dudu Miraima ↕
65'
D. Davi / Echapora ↕
↕ Max / Yarlen
77'
80'
Daniel Amorim / Lucas Lima ↕
82'
Fabricio Daniel / Lucas Rian ↕
87'
Rodrigo Ferreira
89'
Felipe Garcia
W. Aponza
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
37.84%
Athletic ←
31.84%
X
30.32%
São
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club) 37.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Athletic
0.88
0.70
-0.18
São
0.88
1.76
+0.88
São Bernardo dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Novorizontino Novorizontino 36 67
2 Juventude Juventude 36 65
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 36 63
4 Criciuma Criciuma 36 62
5 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 36 62
6 CRB CRB 36 55
7 Goias Goias 36 55
8 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 36 55
9 Sport Recife Sport Recife 37 55
10 Operario-PR Operario-PR 37 54
11 São Bernardo São Bernardo 36 52
12 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 37 51
13 Cuiaba Cuiaba 36 47
14 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 47
15 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 36 46
16 Ceara Ceara 36 43
17 Avai Avai 36 37
18 Londrina Londrina 37 32
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 36 26
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 36 15
Lineups
Athletic Club Athletic Club 4-1-4-1
1 Luan Polli Luan Polli G 10.00
23 Enzo Enzo D 6.50
4 Lucas Belezi Lucas Belezi 1 👟 D 7.20
3 Jhonatan Jhonatan D 6.30
22 Diogo Batista Diogo Batista 1 👟 D 6.70
16 João Miguel João Miguel M 7.30
5 Ian Luccas Ian Luccas 60' M 6.70
17 Kauan Kauan M 6.20
8 G. Cabezas G. Cabezas 52' M 6.60
11 Max Max 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.90
9 Carlinhos Carlinhos 52' F 6.20
Bench
2 Douglas Pelé Douglas Pelé D
21 D. Vera D. Vera 45' F 6.90
6 Felipe Negrucci Felipe Negrucci 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.70
13 Felipe Vieira Felipe Vieira D
12 Glauco Glauco G
10 Gustavinho Gustavinho M
15 Jota Jota M
19 J. Torres J. Torres D
14 Marcelo Henrique Marcelo Henrique D
18 Pedro Oliveira Pedro Oliveira M
20 W. Aponza W. Aponza 37' F 6.60
7 Yarlen Yarlen 20' F 6.30
1 Alex Alves Alex Alves G 6.20
6 Pará Pará 65' D 6.20
97 Augusto Augusto D 6.90
35 Jemerson Jemerson D 7.20
2 Rodrigo Ferreira Rodrigo Ferreira D 6.50
26 Eduardo Eduardo 65' M 6.20
8 Foguinho Foguinho M 6.50
14 Lucas Lima Lucas Lima 1 👟 80' M 7.20
27 Echaporã Echaporã 65' F 6.60
9 Felipe Garcia Felipe Garcia F 7.30
7 Lucas Lucas 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.60
Bench
89 Daniel Amorim Daniel Amorim 17' F 6.90
37 D. Davi D. Davi 32' F 6.90
10 Fabrício Daniel Fabrício Daniel 15' F 6.20
3 Hélder Hélder D
21 Hugo Sanches Hugo Sanches D
42 Hyoran Hyoran 32' M 7.20
12 Júnior Oliveira Júnior Oliveira G
70 Lucas Reis Lucas Reis F
90 Luizão Luizão D
77 Marcão Marcão M
33 Mário Sérgio Mário Sérgio 32' D 6.90
29 Pedrinho Pedrinho F
Best on the pitch
Luan Polli
Luan Polli
G · Athletic
10.00
· 22 pass
Max
Max
M · Athletic
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Felipe Negrucci
Felipe Negrucci
M · Athletic
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Lucas
Lucas
F · São
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
João Miguel
João Miguel
M · Athletic
7.30
· 37 pass
Felipe Garcia
Felipe Garcia
F · São
7.30
1 shots · 13 pass
Athletic Club Athletic Club — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Luan Polli G 97 10.00 — — — 22 12% — — —
Enzo D 97 6.50 — — — 30 24% 2 — —
Lucas Belezi D 97 7.20 — 1 — 51 46% 2 — —
Jhonatan D 97 6.30 — — — 51 41% 2 — —
Diogo Batista D 97 6.70 — 1 — 26 20% 2 — —
João Miguel M 97 7.30 — — — 37 32% 2 — —
Ian Luccas M 60 6.70 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
Kauan M 97 6.20 — — 1 20 14% — — —
G. Cabezas M 52 6.60 — — 1 19 15% — — —
Max M 77 7.90 1 — 1 11 7% 1 — —
Carlinhos F 52 6.20 — — — 10 7% — — —
D. Vera F 45 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
Felipe Negrucci M 45 7.70 1 — 1 12 9% 1 — —
W. Aponza F 37 6.60 — — 1 6 3% — 1 —
Yarlen F 20 6.30 — — 1 4 2% 1 — —
São Bernardo São Bernardo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alex Alves G 97 6.20 — — — 20 20% — — —
Pará D 65 6.20 — — 1 50 42% — — —
Augusto D 97 6.90 — — 1 91 80% — — —
Jemerson D 97 7.20 — — — 82 73% 1 — —
Rodrigo Ferreira D 97 6.50 — — 1 46 41% 1 1 —
Eduardo M 65 6.20 — — 1 41 33% — 1 —
Foguinho M 97 6.50 — — — 58 47% 1 — —
Lucas Lima M 80 7.20 — 1 1 27 23% 1 — —
Echaporã F 65 6.60 — — 4 14 12% 1 — —
Felipe Garcia F 97 7.30 — — 1 13 11% 1 1 —
Lucas F 82 7.60 1 — 2 22 17% — — —
Daniel Amorim F 17 6.90 — — 1 3 2% — — —
D. Davi F 32 6.90 — — — 8 8% — — —
Fabrício Daniel F 15 6.20 — — — 5 2% — — —
Hyoran M 32 7.20 — — 1 11 8% — — —
Mário Sérgio D 32 6.90 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs São Bernardo?
The final score was Athletic Club 2–1 São Bernardo.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs São Bernardo?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Athletic Club win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an São Bernardo win.