La Liga
· Regular Season - 35
May 10, 2026 16:15
72'
(ast. L. Rioja)
U. Sadiq
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Valencia 28%). The final result was Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia. In 2 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Valencia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
1.01
Actual xG
1.14
2
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
13
Corners
5
19
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Laporte
15'
27'
(missed pen.)
H. Duro⚽
N. Williams
/ I. Williams
36'
A. Laporte
/ D. Vivian
46'
50'
E. Comert
A. Rego
55'
59'
Pepelu
O. Sancet
/ A. Berenguer
65'
70'
L. Ramazani
/
D. Lopez
70'
U. Sadiq
/
H. Duro
70'
F. Ugrinic
/
Pepelu
R. Navarro
/ U. Gomez
70'
A. Rego
/ M. Vesga
71'
72'
ast. L. Rioja ·
U. Sadiq⚽
83'
U. Nunez
/
J. Guerra
88'
U. Sadiq
90'+6
J. Vazquez
/
Renzo Saravia
Pre-match prediction
45.97%
Athletic
25.58%
X
28.45%
Valencia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Valencia)
28.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.01
-0.36
1.07
1.14
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.01 – 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Unai Simón
G
Unai Simón
G
17
Yuri Berchiche
D
Yuri Berchiche
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
45'
D
Aymeric Laporte
45'
D
5
Yeray Álvarez
D
Yeray Álvarez
D
2
Andoni Gorosabel
D
Andoni Gorosabel
D
30
Alejandro Rego Mora
71'
M
Alejandro Rego Mora
71'
M
18
Mikel Jauregizar
M
Mikel Jauregizar
M
10
Nico Williams
36'
M
Nico Williams
36'
M
8
Oihan Sancet
65'
M
Oihan Sancet
65'
M
23
Robert Navarro
70'
M
Robert Navarro
70'
M
11
Gorka Guruzeta
F
Gorka Guruzeta
F
Bench
19
Adama Boiro
D
Adama Boiro
D
4
Aitor Paredes
D
Aitor Paredes
D
7
Álex Berenguer
25'
F
Álex Berenguer
25'
F
27
Alex Padilla
G
Alex Padilla
G
3
Dani Vivian
45'
D
Dani Vivian
45'
D
9
Iñaki Williams
54'
F
Iñaki Williams
54'
F
12
Jesús Areso
D
Jesús Areso
D
15
Lekue
D
Lekue
D
6
Mikel Vesga
19'
M
Mikel Vesga
19'
M
22
Nico Serrano
F
Nico Serrano
F
20
Unai Gómez
20'
M
Unai Gómez
20'
M
25
Urko Izeta
F
Urko Izeta
F
1
Stole Dimitrievski
G
Stole Dimitrievski
G
14
José Gayà
D
José Gayà
D
24
Eray Cömert
D
Eray Cömert
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
20
Renzo Saravia
89'
D
Renzo Saravia
89'
D
2
Guido Rodríguez
M
Guido Rodríguez
M
18
Pepelu
70'
M
Pepelu
70'
M
11
Luis Rioja
1 👟
M
Luis Rioja
1 👟
M
8
Javi Guerra
83'
M
Javi Guerra
83'
M
16
Diego López
70'
M
Diego López
70'
M
9
Hugo Duro
70'
F
Hugo Duro
70'
F
Bench
10
André Almeida
M
André Almeida
M
7
Arnaut Danjuma
F
Arnaut Danjuma
F
22
B. Santamaría
M
B. Santamaría
M
13
Cristian Rivero
G
Cristian Rivero
G
19
Dani Raba
F
Dani Raba
F
23
Filip Ugrinić
20'
M
Filip Ugrinić
20'
M
21
Jesús Vázquez
1'
D
Jesús Vázquez
1'
D
25
Julen Agirrezabala
G
Julen Agirrezabala
G
17
Largie Ramazani
20'
F
Largie Ramazani
20'
F
26
Rubén Iranzo
D
Rubén Iranzo
D
6
Umar Sadiq
1 ⚽
20'
F
Umar Sadiq
1 ⚽
20'
F
4
Unai Núñez
16'
D
Unai Núñez
16'
D
Best on the pitch
Stole Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
8.30
· 48 pass
José Gayà
D · Valencia
7.90
· 25 pass
Eray Cömert
D · Valencia
7.70
· 61 pass
Umar Sadiq
F · Valencia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
Guido Rodríguez
M · Valencia
7.20
· 40 pass
Renzo Saravia
D · Valencia
7.20
· 22 pass
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Berchiche | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yeray Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego Mora | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Williams | M | 36 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Álex Berenguer | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dani Vivian | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Iñaki Williams | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikel Vesga | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stole Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 26% | — | — | — |
| José Gayà | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| Eray Cömert | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | 1 | — |
| César Tárrega | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Renzo Saravia | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Guido Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Pepelu | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luis Rioja | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego López | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 70 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Filip Ugrinić | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Largie Ramazani | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 20 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Unai Núñez | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Valencia?
The final score was Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Valencia?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Athletic Club win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Valencia win.