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La Liga · Regular Season - 35 May 10, 2026 16:15
Athletic Club
#9 · 44 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Valencia
#11 · 43 pts
72' (ast. L. Rioja) U. Sadiq

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Valencia 28%). The final result was Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia. In 2 previous meetings, Athletic Club have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Valencia.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
1.01
Actual xG
1.14
2
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
13
Corners
5
19
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Laporte
15'
27'
(missed pen.) H. Duro⚽
↕ N. Williams / I. Williams
36'
↕ A. Laporte / D. Vivian
46'
50'
E. Comert
A. Rego
55'
59'
Pepelu
↕ O. Sancet / A. Berenguer
65'
70'
L. Ramazani / D. Lopez ↕
70'
U. Sadiq / H. Duro ↕
70'
F. Ugrinic / Pepelu ↕
↕ R. Navarro / U. Gomez
70'
↕ A. Rego / M. Vesga
71'
72'
ast. L. Rioja · U. Sadiq⚽
83'
U. Nunez / J. Guerra ↕
88'
U. Sadiq
90'+6
J. Vazquez / Renzo Saravia ↕
Pre-match prediction
45.97%
Athletic
25.58%
X
28.45%
Valencia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Valencia) 28.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Athletic
1.37
1.01
-0.36
Valencia
1.07
1.14
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.01 – 1.14). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Athletic Club Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón Unai Simón G 7.20
17 Yuri Berchiche Yuri Berchiche D 6.90
14 Aymeric Laporte Aymeric Laporte 45' D 6.90
5 Yeray Álvarez Yeray Álvarez D 6.50
2 Andoni Gorosabel Andoni Gorosabel D 6.90
30 Alejandro Rego Mora Alejandro Rego Mora 71' M 6.90
18 Mikel Jauregizar Mikel Jauregizar M 6.90
10 Nico Williams Nico Williams 36' M 7.00
8 Oihan Sancet Oihan Sancet 65' M 6.90
23 Robert Navarro Robert Navarro 70' M 6.90
11 Gorka Guruzeta Gorka Guruzeta F 6.90
Bench
19 Adama Boiro Adama Boiro D
4 Aitor Paredes Aitor Paredes D
7 Álex Berenguer Álex Berenguer 25' F 6.30
27 Alex Padilla Alex Padilla G
3 Dani Vivian Dani Vivian 45' D 6.30
9 Iñaki Williams Iñaki Williams 54' F 6.30
15 Íñigo Lekue Íñigo Lekue D
12 Jesús Areso Jesús Areso D
6 Mikel Vesga Mikel Vesga 19' M 6.70
22 Nico Serrano Nico Serrano F
20 Unai Gómez Unai Gómez 20' M 6.30
25 Urko Izeta Urko Izeta F
Valencia Valencia 4-2-3-1
1 Stole Dimitrievski Stole Dimitrievski G 8.30
14 José Luis Gayà José Luis Gayà D 7.90
24 Eray Cömert Eray Cömert D 7.70
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.70
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 89' D 7.20
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 7.20
18 Pepelu Pepelu 70' M 6.50
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja 1 👟 M 7.00
8 Javier Guerra Javier Guerra 83' M 6.70
16 Diego López Diego López 70' M 6.20
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 70' F 5.90
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida M
7 Arnaut Danjuma Arnaut Danjuma F
22 Baptiste Santamaria Baptiste Santamaria M
13 Cristian Rivero Cristian Rivero G
19 Dani Raba Dani Raba F
23 Filip Ugrinić Filip Ugrinić 20' M 6.70
21 Jesús Vázquez Jesús Vázquez 1' D
25 Julen Agirrezabala Julen Agirrezabala G
17 Largie Ramazani Largie Ramazani 20' F 6.30
26 Rubén Iranzo Rubén Iranzo D
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.30
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 16' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
8.30
· 48 pass
José Luis Gayà
José Luis Gayà
D · Valencia
7.90
· 25 pass
Eray Cömert
Eray Cömert
D · Valencia
7.70
· 61 pass
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq
F · Valencia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez
M · Valencia
7.20
· 40 pass
Renzo Saravia
Renzo Saravia
D · Valencia
7.20
· 22 pass
Athletic Club Athletic Club — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Unai Simón G 90 7.20 — — — 27 22% — — —
Yuri Berchiche D 90 6.90 — — — 50 43% 2 — —
Aymeric Laporte D 45 6.90 — — — 26 23% 2 1 —
Yeray Álvarez D 90 6.50 — — — 60 46% — — —
Andoni Gorosabel D 90 6.90 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
Alejandro Rego Mora M 71 6.90 — — — 18 17% 1 1 —
Mikel Jauregizar M 90 6.90 — — — 44 36% 1 — —
Nico Williams M 36 7.00 — — 1 12 8% — — —
Oihan Sancet M 65 6.90 — — 1 16 9% 3 — —
Robert Navarro M 70 6.90 — — 2 16 13% 3 — —
Gorka Guruzeta F 90 6.90 — — 3 17 12% 3 — —
Álex Berenguer F 25 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
Dani Vivian D 45 6.30 — — — 37 35% 1 — —
Iñaki Williams F 54 6.30 — — 1 16 10% 1 — —
Mikel Vesga M 19 6.70 — — 1 14 9% 1 — —
Unai Gómez M 20 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stole Dimitrievski G 90 8.30 — — — 48 26% — — —
José Luis Gayà D 90 7.90 — — — 25 24% 6 — —
Eray Cömert D 90 7.70 — — — 61 57% 1 1 —
César Tárrega D 90 6.70 — — — 45 36% — — —
Renzo Saravia D 89 7.20 — — — 22 16% 2 — —
Guido Rodríguez M 90 7.20 — — — 40 35% 3 — —
Pepelu M 70 6.50 — — — 33 25% 2 1 —
Luis Rioja M 90 7.00 — 1 — 11 9% — — —
Javier Guerra M 83 6.70 — — 1 23 18% 3 — —
Diego López M 70 6.20 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 70 5.90 — — 2 14 12% — — —
Filip Ugrinić M 20 6.70 — — — 3 1% 1 — —
Jesús Vázquez D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Largie Ramazani F 20 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Umar Sadiq F 20 7.30 1 — 2 3 1% 1 1 —
Unai Núñez D 16 6.60 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Valencia?
The final score was Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Athletic Club vs Valencia?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Athletic Club win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Valencia win.