MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 01:30
S. Lobjanidze
(ast. A. Miranchuk)
41'
E. Latte Lath
(ast. A. Miranchuk)
45'+6
S. Lobjanidze
(ast. C. Sanchez)
50'
6'
(ast. P. Owusu)
M. Longstaff
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 41% win probability (draw 30%, CF Montreal 27%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 3–1 CF Montreal.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
1.15
Actual xG
0.85
4
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
2
18
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
E. Latte Lath
4'
6'
ast. P. Owusu ·
M. Longstaff⚽
20'
S. Piette
⚽S. Lobjanidze
· ast. A. Miranchuk
41'
⚽E. Latte Lath
· ast. A. Miranchuk
45'+6
45'
P. Owusu
⚽S. Lobjanidze
· ast. C. Sanchez
50'
59'
D. Rios
/
W. Carmona
59'
N. Streit
/
O. Escobar
59'
V. Loturi
/
S. Piette
S. Lobjanidze
/ F. Picault
64'
E. Latte Lath
/ A. Fortune
64'
68'
M. Opoku
/
Ivan Jaime
S. Gregersen
/ J. Berrocal
71'
M. Galarza
/ M. Edwards
71'
74'
F. Herbers
/
M. Longstaff
F. Picault
/ L. Brennan
76'
L. Hoyos
77'
90'+1
B. Vera
E. Mihaj
90'+2
T. Jacob
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
41.96%
Atlanta ←
30.22%
X
27.82%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Atlanta United FC)
41.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
1.15
-0.56
1.21
0.85
-0.36
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
4
E. Mihaj
D
E. Mihaj
D
5
S. Gregersen
72'
D
S. Gregersen
72'
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
48
C. Sanchez
1 👟
M
C. Sanchez
1 👟
M
8
T. Muyumba
M
T. Muyumba
M
88
Matías Galarza
72'
M
Matías Galarza
72'
M
11
S. Lobzhanidze
2 ⚽
64'
F
S. Lobzhanidze
2 ⚽
64'
F
9
E. Latte Lath
1 ⚽
64'
F
E. Latte Lath
1 ⚽
64'
F
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
2 👟
F
Aleksey Miranchuk
2 👟
F
Bench
35
A. Fortune
26'
M
A. Fortune
26'
M
30
C. Togashi
F
C. Togashi
F
3
E. Báez
D
E. Báez
D
22
F. Picault
12'
F
F. Picault
12'
F
6
Juan Berrocal
18'
D
Juan Berrocal
18'
D
20
L. Brennan
14'
M
L. Brennan
14'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
18'
D
Matthew Edwards
18'
D
28
William Reilly
M
William Reilly
M
31
T. Gillier
G
T. Gillier
G
13
D
4
B. Vera
D
B. Vera
D
24
Efraín Morales
D
27
D. Bugaj
D
D. Bugaj
D
8
M. Longstaff
1 ⚽
74'
M
M. Longstaff
1 ⚽
74'
M
6
Samuel Piette
59'
M
Samuel Piette
59'
M
16
Wikelman Carmona
59'
M
Wikelman Carmona
59'
M
10
Iván Jaime
68'
F
Iván Jaime
68'
F
9
P. Owusu
1 👟
F
P. Owusu
1 👟
F
29
O. Escobar
59'
F
O. Escobar
59'
F
Bench
5
B. Craig
D
B. Craig
D
17
D. Þórhallsson
M
D. Þórhallsson
M
21
F. Herbers
16'
F
F. Herbers
16'
F
2
J. Neal
D
J. Neal
D
7
K. Opoku
22'
F
K. Opoku
22'
F
23
Noah Streit
31'
M
Noah Streit
31'
M
22
V. Loturi
31'
M
V. Loturi
31'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Lobzhanidze
F · Atlanta
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
E. Latte Lath
F · Atlanta
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
M. Longstaff
M · CF
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Aleksey Miranchuk
F · Atlanta
7.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
T. Muyumba
M · Atlanta
7.20
· 64 pass
L. Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.00
· 49 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Gregersen | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Matías Galarza | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Lobzhanidze | F | 64 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 64 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 48 | 36% | — | — | — |
| A. Fortune | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Picault | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Brennan | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gillier | G | 90 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Vera | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 43% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Efraín Morales | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Bugaj | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Longstaff | M | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Piette | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Escobar | F | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Herbers | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Opoku | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Loturi | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 3–1 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an CF Montreal win.