MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 01:30
S. Lobjanidze
(ast. A. Miranchuk)
41'
E. Latte Lath
(ast. A. Miranchuk)
45'+6
S. Lobjanidze
(ast. C. Sanchez)
50'
6'
(ast. P. Owusu)
M. Longstaff
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 41% win probability (draw 30%, CF Montreal 27%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 3–1 CF Montreal.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
1.15
Actual xG
0.85
4
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
2
18
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
E. Latte Lath
4'
6'
ast. P. Owusu ·
M. Longstaff⚽
20'
S. Piette
⚽S. Lobjanidze
· ast. A. Miranchuk
41'
⚽E. Latte Lath
· ast. A. Miranchuk
45'+6
45'
P. Owusu
⚽S. Lobjanidze
· ast. C. Sanchez
50'
59'
D. Rios
/
W. Carmona
59'
N. Streit
/
O. Escobar
59'
V. Loturi
/
S. Piette
S. Lobjanidze
/ F. Picault
64'
E. Latte Lath
/ A. Fortune
64'
68'
M. Opoku
/
Ivan Jaime
S. Gregersen
/ J. Berrocal
71'
M. Galarza
/ M. Edwards
71'
74'
F. Herbers
/
M. Longstaff
F. Picault
/ L. Brennan
76'
L. Hoyos
77'
90'+1
B. Vera
E. Mihaj
90'+2
T. Jacob
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
41.96%
Atlanta ←
30.22%
X
27.82%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Atlanta United FC)
41.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
1.15
-0.56
1.21
0.85
-0.36
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
18
Pedro Amador
D
4
E. Mihaj
D
E. Mihaj
D
5
Stian Gregersen
72'
D
Stian Gregersen
72'
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
48
Cooper Sanchez
1 👟
M
Cooper Sanchez
1 👟
M
8
Tristan Muyumba
M
Tristan Muyumba
M
88
M. Galarza
72'
M
M. Galarza
72'
M
11
Saba Lobzhanidze
2 ⚽
64'
F
Saba Lobzhanidze
2 ⚽
64'
F
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath
1 ⚽
64'
F
Emmanuel Latte Lath
1 ⚽
64'
F
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
2 👟
F
Aleksey Miranchuk
2 👟
F
Bench
35
Ajani Fortune
26'
M
Ajani Fortune
26'
M
30
Cayman Togashi
F
Cayman Togashi
F
3
Elías Báez
D
Elías Báez
D
22
Fafà Picault
12'
F
Fafà Picault
12'
F
6
Juan Berrocal
18'
D
Juan Berrocal
18'
D
20
Luke Brennan
14'
M
Luke Brennan
14'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
18'
D
Matthew Edwards
18'
D
28
William Reilly
M
William Reilly
M
31
Thomas Gillier
G
Thomas Gillier
G
13
D
4
B. Vera
D
B. Vera
D
24
Efraín Morales
D
Efraín Morales
D
27
Dawid Bugaj
D
Dawid Bugaj
D
8
Matthew Longstaff
1 ⚽
74'
M
Matthew Longstaff
1 ⚽
74'
M
6
Samuel Piette
59'
M
Samuel Piette
59'
M
16
Wikelman Carmona
59'
M
Wikelman Carmona
59'
M
10
Iván Jaime
68'
F
Iván Jaime
68'
F
9
P. Owusu
1 👟
F
P. Owusu
1 👟
F
29
Olger Escobar
59'
F
Olger Escobar
59'
F
Bench
5
Brandan Craig
D
Brandan Craig
D
17
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
M
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
M
21
Fabian Herbers
16'
F
Fabian Herbers
16'
F
2
Jalen Neal
D
Jalen Neal
D
7
Kwadwo Opoku
22'
F
Kwadwo Opoku
22'
F
23
Noah Streit
31'
M
Noah Streit
31'
M
22
Victor Loturi
31'
M
Victor Loturi
31'
M
Best on the pitch
Saba Lobzhanidze
F · Atlanta
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Emmanuel Latte Lath
F · Atlanta
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Matthew Longstaff
M · CF
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Aleksey Miranchuk
F · Atlanta
7.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
Tristan Muyumba
M · Atlanta
7.20
· 64 pass
Lucas Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.00
· 49 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 64 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 64 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 48 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Fafà Picault | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Vera | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 43% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Efraín Morales | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Piette | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabian Herbers | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Kwadwo Opoku | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 3–1 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an CF Montreal win.