MLS
· Regular Season - 22
August 30, 2026 01:30
22'
(ast. P. Biel)
I. Toklomati
48'
(ast. A. Saint-Maximin)
L. Abada
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 45% win probability (draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 32%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 0–2 Charlotte. In 2 previous meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Charlotte.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.82
Actual xG
1.60
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
11
Corners
7
15
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. P. Biel ·
I. Toklomati⚽
45'+3
D. Diani
48'
ast. A. Saint-Maximin ·
L. Abada⚽
W. Reilly
/ A. Gill
64'
M. Edwards
/ R. Hernandez
64'
F. Picault
/ Sergio Santos
64'
T. Muyumba
/ S. Alzate
64'
M. Almiron
/ E. Dovlo
70'
77'
B. Bronico
/
A. Westwood
77'
R. Aloko
/
A. Saint-Maximin
77'
A. Goodwin
/
I. Toklomati
85'
N. Byrne
/
D. Schnegg
A. Gill
85'
90'
L. de la Torre
/
P. Biel
Pre-match prediction
32.0%
Atlanta
22.76%
X
45.24%
Charlotte ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
45.24%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
0.82
-0.49
1.73
1.60
-0.13
Charlotte dominated by xG (1.60 vs 0.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
47
Matthew Edwards
64'
D
Matthew Edwards
64'
D
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
27
P. Díaz
D
P. Díaz
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
8
T. Muyumba
64'
M
T. Muyumba
64'
M
28
William Reilly
64'
M
William Reilly
64'
M
48
C. Sanchez
M
C. Sanchez
M
10
M. Almirón
70'
F
M. Almirón
70'
F
22
F. Picault
64'
F
F. Picault
64'
F
59
A. Miranchuk
F
A. Miranchuk
F
Bench
16
Adrian Gill
26'
M
Adrian Gill
26'
M
78
Andrew Jardines
M
Andrew Jardines
M
30
C. Togashi
F
C. Togashi
F
4
E. Mihaj
D
E. Mihaj
D
67
Enzo Dovlo
20'
F
Enzo Dovlo
20'
F
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
2
R. Hernández
26'
D
R. Hernández
26'
D
7
S. Alzate
26'
M
S. Alzate
26'
M
19
Sergio Santos
26'
F
Sergio Santos
26'
F
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
23
D. Schnegg
85'
D
D. Schnegg
85'
D
3
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
22
H. Kessler
D
H. Kessler
D
35
Will Cleary
D
Will Cleary
D
28
D. Diani
M
D. Diani
M
8
A. Westwood
77'
M
A. Westwood
77'
M
16
Pep Biel
1 👟
89'
M
Pep Biel
1 👟
89'
M
10
A. Saint-Maximin
1 👟
77'
F
A. Saint-Maximin
1 👟
77'
F
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 ⚽
77'
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 ⚽
77'
F
11
L. Abada
1 ⚽
F
L. Abada
1 ⚽
F
Bench
7
A. Goodwin
13'
F
A. Goodwin
13'
F
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
13
B. Bronico
13'
M
B. Bronico
13'
M
17
L. de la Torre
1'
M
L. de la Torre
1'
M
44
M. Agyemang
D
M. Agyemang
D
14
N. Byrne
12'
D
N. Byrne
12'
D
37
R. Aloko
13'
F
R. Aloko
13'
F
21
T. Miller
G
T. Miller
G
25
Tyger Smalls
F
Tyger Smalls
F
Best on the pitch
H. Kessler
D · Charlotte
7.90
· 72 pass
I. Toklomati Giorno
F · Charlotte
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
A. Saint-Maximin
F · Charlotte
7.50
1 👟
· 27 pass
K. Kahlina
G · Charlotte
7.50
· 26 pass
L. Abada
F · Charlotte
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
T. Ream
D · Charlotte
7.30
· 51 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 83 | 77% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Díaz | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 86 | 80% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 45% | — | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Picault | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Miranchuk | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Adrian Gill | M | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Enzo Dovlo | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Hernández | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Alzate | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Santos | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Schnegg | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 50% | — | — | — |
| H. Kessler | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Saint-Maximin | F | 77 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Abada | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 13 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Aloko | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 0–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 22% to a draw, and 45% to an Charlotte win.