MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 03:30
A. Miranchuk
60'
48'
(ast. M. Arfsten)
W. Abou Ali
53'
(ast. D. Chambost)
W. Abou Ali
61'
(ast. A. Herrera)
M. Arfsten
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Columbus Crew 31%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 1–3 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
7
1.24
Actual xG
1.52
4
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
8
18
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
-5'
Dylan Chambost
48'
ast. M. Arfsten ·
W. Abou Ali⚽
53'
ast. D. Chambost ·
W. Abou Ali⚽
T. Muyumba
/ A. Fortune
58'
W. Reilly
/ C. Sanchez
58'
⚽A. Miranchuk
60'
61'
ast. A. Herrera ·
M. Arfsten⚽
68'
T. Habroune
/
A. Gomes
68'
H. Picard
/
M. Arfsten
S. Alzate
/ S. Lobjanidze
74'
T. Jacob
/ M. Edwards
74'
85'
S. Bangoura
/
D. Chambost
86'
J. Thiare
/
D. Rossi
Elías Báez
90'+2
Enea Mihaj
90'
90'
N. Akhundzade
/
A. Herrera
Pre-match prediction
36.95%
Atlanta
31.98%
X
31.06%
Columbus ←
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew)
31.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.24
+0.0
0.86
1.52
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
3
Elías Báez
D
Elías Báez
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
Enea Mihaj
D
5
Stian Gregersen
D
Stian Gregersen
D
55
T. Jacob
74'
D
T. Jacob
74'
D
8
Tristan Muyumba
58'
M
Tristan Muyumba
58'
M
10
M. Almirón
M
M. Almirón
M
28
William Reilly
58'
M
William Reilly
58'
M
7
Steven Alzate
74'
M
Steven Alzate
74'
M
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
1 ⚽
M
Aleksey Miranchuk
1 ⚽
M
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath
F
Emmanuel Latte Lath
F
Bench
35
Ajani Fortune
32'
M
Ajani Fortune
32'
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
32'
M
Cooper Sanchez
32'
M
22
Fafà Picault
F
Fafà Picault
F
6
Juan Berrocal
D
Juan Berrocal
D
47
Matthew Edwards
16'
D
Matthew Edwards
16'
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
11
Saba Lobzhanidze
16'
F
28
G
18
M. Amundsen
D
25
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
Steven Moreira
D
Steven Moreira
D
27
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
7
Dylan Chambost
1 👟
85'
M
Dylan Chambost
1 👟
85'
M
20
André Gomes
68'
M
André Gomes
68'
M
2
Andres Herrera
1 👟
89'
M
Andres Herrera
1 👟
89'
M
10
Diego Rossi
86'
F
Diego Rossi
86'
F
9
W. Abou Ali
2 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Dániel Gazdag
M
Dániel Gazdag
M
30
Hugo Picard
22'
M
Hugo Picard
22'
M
19
J. Thiare
19'
F
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
20'
M
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
20'
M
16
T. Habroune
22'
M
Best on the pitch
W. Abou Ali
F · Columbus
8.90
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
G · Columbus
7.60
· 26 pass
Dylan Chambost
M · Columbus
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 55 pass
T. Habroune
M · Columbus
7.00
1 shots
· 13 pass
M. Almirón
M · Atlanta
7.00
3 shots
· 47 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 74 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Alzate | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| M. Amundsen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | — | — | — | |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 68 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Chambost | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 55 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| André Gomes | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Andres Herrera | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Diego Rossi | F | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| W. Abou Ali | F | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 4 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Thiare | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Habroune | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 1–3 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Columbus Crew win.