MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 01:30
A. Miranchuk
60'
48'
(ast. M. Arfsten)
W. Abou Ali
53'
(ast. D. Chambost)
W. Abou Ali
61'
(ast. A. Herrera)
M. Arfsten
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Columbus Crew 31%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 1–3 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
7
1.24
Actual xG
1.52
4
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
8
18
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
-5'
Dylan Chambost
48'
ast. M. Arfsten ·
W. Abou Ali⚽
53'
ast. D. Chambost ·
W. Abou Ali⚽
T. Muyumba
/ A. Fortune
58'
W. Reilly
/ C. Sanchez
58'
⚽A. Miranchuk
60'
61'
ast. A. Herrera ·
M. Arfsten⚽
68'
T. Habroune
/
A. Gomes
68'
H. Picard
/
M. Arfsten
S. Alzate
/ S. Lobjanidze
74'
T. Jacob
/ M. Edwards
74'
85'
S. Bangoura
/
D. Chambost
86'
J. Thiare
/
D. Rossi
Elías Báez
90'+2
Enea Mihaj
90'
90'
N. Akhundzade
/
A. Herrera
Pre-match prediction
36.95%
Atlanta
31.98%
X
31.06%
Columbus ←
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew)
31.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.24
+0.0
0.86
1.52
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
3
E. Báez
D
E. Báez
D
4
E. Mihaj
D
E. Mihaj
D
5
S. Gregersen
D
S. Gregersen
D
55
T. Jacob
74'
D
T. Jacob
74'
D
8
T. Muyumba
58'
M
T. Muyumba
58'
M
10
M. Almirón
M
M. Almirón
M
28
William Reilly
58'
M
William Reilly
58'
M
7
S. Alzate
74'
M
S. Alzate
74'
M
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
1 ⚽
M
9
E. Latte Lath
F
E. Latte Lath
F
Bench
35
A. Fortune
32'
M
A. Fortune
32'
M
48
C. Sanchez
32'
M
C. Sanchez
32'
M
22
F. Picault
F
F. Picault
F
6
Juan Berrocal
D
Juan Berrocal
D
47
Matthew Edwards
16'
D
Matthew Edwards
16'
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
11
S. Lobzhanidze
16'
F
S. Lobzhanidze
16'
F
28
G
18
M. Amundsen
D
M. Amundsen
D
25
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
Steven Moreira
D
Steven Moreira
D
27
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
7
D. Chambost
1 👟
85'
M
D. Chambost
1 👟
85'
M
20
André Gomes
68'
M
André Gomes
68'
M
2
M. Herrera
1 👟
89'
M
M. Herrera
1 👟
89'
M
10
D. Rossi
86'
F
D. Rossi
86'
F
9
W. Abou Ali
2 ⚽
F
Bench
8
D. Gazdag
M
D. Gazdag
M
30
H. Picard
22'
M
H. Picard
22'
M
19
J. Thiaré
19'
F
J. Thiaré
19'
F
17
S. Bangoura
20'
M
S. Bangoura
20'
M
16
T. Habroune
22'
M
T. Habroune
22'
M
Best on the pitch
W. Abou Ali
F · Columbus
8.90
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
G · Columbus
7.60
· 26 pass
D. Chambost
M · Columbus
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 55 pass
T. Habroune
M · Columbus
7.00
1 shots
· 13 pass
M. Almirón
M · Atlanta
7.00
3 shots
· 47 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | — | — | — |
| E. Báez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Gregersen | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 74 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Alzate | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Fortune | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Lobzhanidze | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| M. Amundsen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | — | — | — | |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 68 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 55 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| André Gomes | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Herrera | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| W. Abou Ali | F | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 4 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Thiaré | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Habroune | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 1–3 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Columbus Crew win.