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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 18, 2026 01:30 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Atlanta United FC
#14 · 30 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Inter Miami
#3 · 55 pts
Fafà Picault 89' (pen.)
45' (ast. Luis Suárez) Germán Berterame
56' (ast. Germán Berterame) Lionel Messi
60' (ast. Luis Suárez) Lionel Messi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 44% win probability (draw 21%, Atlanta United FC 33%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 1–3 Inter Miami. In 1 previous meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
2.36
Actual xG
1.85
2
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
2
14
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Tomás Jacob
44'
45'
ast. Luis Suárez · Germán Berterame⚽
Mauricio Amaro
54'
56'
ast. Germán Berterame · Lionel Messi⚽
60'
ast. Luis Suárez · Lionel Messi⚽
↕ Tristan Muyumba / Steven Alzate
61'
Breel Embolo
71'
71'
75'
Maximiliano Falcon / Carlos Henrique Casimiro ↕
81'
Telasco Segovia / Matías Galarza ↕
81'
Facundo Mura / Germán Berterame ↕
↕ Giuliano Galoppo / Cooper Sanchez
81'
↕ Miguel Almirón / Fafà Picault
82'
↕ Elías Báez / Matthew Edwards
82'
89'
Maximiliano Falcon
⚽Fafà Picault (pen.)
89'
90'+6
Lionel Messi
Pre-match prediction
33.44%
Atlanta
21.6%
X
44.96%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 44.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atlanta
1.54
2.36
+0.82
Inter
1.85
1.85
+0.0
Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.85). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 4-3-3
1 L. Hoyos L. Hoyos G 5.79
3 E. Báez E. Báez 82' D 6.72
6 J. Alonso J. Alonso D 6.79
27 P. Díaz P. Díaz D 6.59
55 T. Jacob T. Jacob D 6.36
11 G. Galoppo G. Galoppo 81' M 6.32
14 M. Amaro M. Amaro M 6.07
8 T. Muyumba T. Muyumba 61' M 6.16
10 M. Almirón M. Almirón 82' F 6.33
36 B. Embolo B. Embolo F 6.38
59 A. Miranchuk A. Miranchuk F 6.49
Bench
35 A. Fortune A. Fortune M 0.00
48 C. Sanchez C. Sanchez 9' M 5.89
4 E. Mihaj E. Mihaj D 0.00
22 F. Picault F. Picault 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.40
42 Jayden Hibbert Jayden Hibbert G 0.00
20 L. Brennan L. Brennan M 0.00
47 Matthew Edwards Matthew Edwards 8' D 5.99
7 S. Alzate S. Alzate 29' M 6.00
19 Sergio Santos Sergio Santos F 0.00
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 6.68
3 Reguilón Reguilón D 6.46
16 Micael Micael D 6.95
5 Casemiro Casemiro 75' D 7.34
2 G. Luján G. Luján D 7.17
80 M. Galarza M. Galarza 81' M 6.25
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala M 7.20
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul M 6.87
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' F 8.51
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 2 👟 F 7.42
10 L. Messi L. Messi 2 ⚽ F 9.14
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw M 0.00
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F 0.00
4 F. Mura F. Mura 9' D 6.66
17 I. Fray I. Fray D 0.00
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón 15' D 6.33
11 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi F 0.00
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G 0.00
20 S. Morales S. Morales M 0.00
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 9' M 6.45
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
9.14
2 ⚽
5 shots · 44 pass
G. Berterame
G. Berterame
F · Inter
8.51
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
7.42
2 👟
· 28 pass
F. Picault
F. Picault
F · Atlanta
7.40
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
D · Inter
7.34
· 62 pass
D. Ayala
D. Ayala
M · Inter
7.20
· 74 pass
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hoyos G 90 5.79 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
E. Báez D 82 6.72 — — 1 38 36% 1 — —
J. Alonso D 90 6.79 — — 0 37 34% 2 — —
P. Díaz D 90 6.59 — — 1 42 39% 2 — —
T. Jacob D 90 6.36 — — 2 36 33% 1 1 —
G. Galoppo M 81 6.32 — — 2 22 20% 1 — —
M. Amaro M 90 6.07 — — 2 56 49% 1 1 —
T. Muyumba M 61 6.16 — — 1 30 27% 0 — —
M. Almirón F 82 6.33 — — 3 23 17% 0 — —
B. Embolo F 90 6.38 — — 2 17 16% 1 1 —
A. Miranchuk F 90 6.49 — — 3 49 42% 4 — —
C. Sanchez M 9 5.89 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
F. Picault F 8 7.40 1 — 1 14 11% 0 — —
Matthew Edwards D 8 5.99 — — 1 12 12% 0 — —
S. Alzate M 29 6.00 — — 1 30 23% 1 — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 6.68 — — 0 38 31% 0 — —
Reguilón D 90 6.46 — — 0 53 44% 0 — —
Micael D 90 6.95 — — 0 90 83% 0 — —
Casemiro D 75 7.34 — — 0 62 59% 0 — —
G. Luján D 90 7.17 — — 0 35 31% 3 — —
M. Galarza M 81 6.25 — — 0 34 29% 2 — —
D. Ayala M 90 7.20 — — 0 74 71% 1 — —
R. De Paul M 90 6.87 — — 0 65 59% 0 — —
G. Berterame F 81 8.51 1 1 2 24 22% 0 — —
L. Suárez F 90 7.42 — 2 0 28 23% 0 — —
L. Messi F 90 9.14 2 — 5 44 37% 0 1 —
F. Mura D 9 6.66 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
M. Falcón D 15 6.33 — — 0 6 4% 0 1 —
T. Segovia M 9 6.45 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 1–3 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 21% to a draw, and 44% to an Inter Miami win.