MLS
· Regular Season - 12
May 10, 2026 01:30
A. Fortune
(ast. E. Baez)
69'
74'
(ast. M. Reus)
Gabriel Pec
79'
Gabriel Pec
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Los Angeles Galaxy 32%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
6
0.95
Actual xG
1.99
4
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
5
22
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
S. Gregersen
26'
C. Sanchez
28'
J. Berrocal
30'
42'
G. Martino
45'+1
53'
J. Glesnes
M. Galarza
/ A. Fortune
60'
65'
M. Reus
/
J. Haak
⚽A. Fortune
· ast. E. Baez
69'
S. Lobjanidze
/ L. Brennan
71'
E. Latte Lath
/ C. Togashi
71'
73'
E. Wynder
/
L. Sanabria
73'
E. Thommy
/
H. Miller
74'
ast. M. Reus ·
Gabriel Pec⚽
79'
Gabriel Pec⚽
J. Berrocal
/ E. Mihaj
83'
C. Sanchez
/ Sergio Santos
83'
90'+1
M. Yoshida
/
J. Paintsil
Pre-match prediction
37.13%
Atlanta
30.86%
X
32.01%
Los ←
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
32.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.95
-0.34
1.16
1.99
+0.83
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
3
Elías Báez
1 👟
D
Elías Báez
1 👟
D
6
Juan Berrocal
83'
D
Juan Berrocal
83'
D
5
Stian Gregersen
D
Stian Gregersen
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
8
Tristan Muyumba
M
Tristan Muyumba
M
11
Saba Lobzhanidze
71'
M
Saba Lobzhanidze
71'
M
88
M. Galarza
60'
M
M. Galarza
60'
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
83'
M
Cooper Sanchez
83'
M
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
M
Aleksey Miranchuk
M
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath
71'
F
Emmanuel Latte Lath
71'
F
Bench
35
Ajani Fortune
1 ⚽
30'
M
Ajani Fortune
1 ⚽
30'
M
30
Cayman Togashi
19'
F
Cayman Togashi
19'
F
4
Enea Mihaj
14'
D
Enea Mihaj
14'
D
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
20
Luke Brennan
19'
M
Luke Brennan
19'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
D
Matthew Edwards
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
19
Sergio Santos
14'
F
Sergio Santos
14'
F
28
William Reilly
M
William Reilly
M
12
JT Marcinkowski
G
JT Marcinkowski
G
14
John Nelson
D
John Nelson
D
25
Carlos Garcés
D
Carlos Garcés
D
5
Jakob Glesnes
D
Jakob Glesnes
D
19
Mauricio Cuevas
D
Mauricio Cuevas
D
6
Edwin Cerrillo
M
Edwin Cerrillo
M
15
Justin Haak
65'
M
Justin Haak
65'
M
26
Harbor Miller
73'
M
Harbor Miller
73'
M
8
Lucas Sanabria
73'
M
Lucas Sanabria
73'
M
11
Gabriel Pec
2 ⚽
M
Gabriel Pec
2 ⚽
M
28
Joseph Paintsil
89'
F
Joseph Paintsil
89'
F
Bench
22
Elijah Wynder
17'
M
Elijah Wynder
17'
M
27
Erik Thommy
17'
M
Erik Thommy
17'
M
16
Isaiah Parente
M
Isaiah Parente
M
4
Maya Yoshida
1'
D
Maya Yoshida
1'
D
2
Miki Yamane
D
Miki Yamane
D
18
M. Reus
1 👟
25'
M
M. Reus
1 👟
25'
M
1
Novak Mićović
G
Novak Mićović
G
24
Ruben Ramos
F
Ruben Ramos
F
76
Troy Elgersma
M
Troy Elgersma
M
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Pec
M · Los
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 27 pass
Lucas Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.90
· 26 pass
Ajani Fortune
M · Atlanta
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Mauricio Cuevas
D · Los
7.70
· 45 pass
Saba Lobzhanidze
M · Atlanta
7.70
3 shots
· 16 pass
Tristan Muyumba
M · Atlanta
7.70
· 70 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 5 | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | M | 71 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 30 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Santos | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| John Nelson | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Garcés | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Jakob Glesnes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Haak | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 73 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Pec | M | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Paintsil | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Erik Thommy | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Maya Yoshida | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Reus | M | 25 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.