MLS
· Regular Season - 12
May 10, 2026 01:30
A. Fortune
(ast. E. Baez)
69'
74'
(ast. M. Reus)
Gabriel Pec
79'
Gabriel Pec
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Los Angeles Galaxy 32%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
6
0.95
Actual xG
1.99
4
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
5
22
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
S. Gregersen
26'
C. Sanchez
28'
J. Berrocal
30'
42'
G. Martino
45'+1
53'
J. Glesnes
M. Galarza
/ A. Fortune
60'
65'
M. Reus
/
J. Haak
⚽A. Fortune
· ast. E. Baez
69'
S. Lobjanidze
/ L. Brennan
71'
E. Latte Lath
/ C. Togashi
71'
73'
E. Wynder
/
L. Sanabria
73'
E. Thommy
/
H. Miller
74'
ast. M. Reus ·
Gabriel Pec⚽
79'
Gabriel Pec⚽
J. Berrocal
/ E. Mihaj
83'
C. Sanchez
/ Sergio Santos
83'
90'+1
M. Yoshida
/
J. Paintsil
Pre-match prediction
37.13%
Atlanta
30.86%
X
32.01%
Los ←
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
32.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.95
-0.34
1.16
1.99
+0.83
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
3
E. Báez
1 👟
D
E. Báez
1 👟
D
6
Juan Berrocal
83'
D
Juan Berrocal
83'
D
5
S. Gregersen
D
S. Gregersen
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
8
T. Muyumba
M
T. Muyumba
M
11
S. Lobzhanidze
71'
M
S. Lobzhanidze
71'
M
88
M. Galarza
60'
M
M. Galarza
60'
M
48
C. Sanchez
83'
M
C. Sanchez
83'
M
59
A. Miranchuk
M
A. Miranchuk
M
9
E. Latte Lath
71'
F
E. Latte Lath
71'
F
Bench
35
A. Fortune
1 ⚽
30'
M
A. Fortune
1 ⚽
30'
M
30
C. Togashi
19'
F
C. Togashi
19'
F
4
E. Mihaj
14'
D
E. Mihaj
14'
D
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
20
L. Brennan
19'
M
L. Brennan
19'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
D
Matthew Edwards
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
19
Sergio Santos
14'
F
Sergio Santos
14'
F
28
William Reilly
M
William Reilly
M
12
J. Marcinkowski
G
J. Marcinkowski
G
14
J. Nelson
D
J. Nelson
D
25
C. Garcés
D
C. Garcés
D
5
J. Glesnes
D
J. Glesnes
D
19
M. Cuevas
D
M. Cuevas
D
6
E. Cerrillo
M
E. Cerrillo
M
15
J. Haak
65'
M
J. Haak
65'
M
26
Harbor Miller
73'
M
Harbor Miller
73'
M
8
L. Sanabria
73'
M
L. Sanabria
73'
M
11
Gabriel Pec
2 ⚽
M
Gabriel Pec
2 ⚽
M
28
J. Paintsil
89'
F
J. Paintsil
89'
F
Bench
27
E. Thommy
17'
M
E. Thommy
17'
M
22
E. Wynder
17'
M
E. Wynder
17'
M
16
Isaiah Parente
M
Isaiah Parente
M
18
M. Reus
1 👟
25'
M
M. Reus
1 👟
25'
M
2
M. Yamane
D
M. Yamane
D
4
M. Yoshida
1'
D
M. Yoshida
1'
D
1
N. Mićović
G
N. Mićović
G
24
R. Ramos
F
R. Ramos
F
76
T. Elgersma
M
T. Elgersma
M
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Pec
M · Los
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 27 pass
L. Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.90
· 26 pass
A. Fortune
M · Atlanta
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
M. Cuevas
D · Los
7.70
· 45 pass
S. Lobzhanidze
M · Atlanta
7.70
3 shots
· 16 pass
T. Muyumba
M · Atlanta
7.70
· 70 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| E. Báez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Gregersen | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Lobzhanidze | M | 71 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Miranchuk | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | — | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Fortune | M | 30 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| C. Togashi | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Brennan | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Santos | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marcinkowski | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Nelson | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Glesnes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Cuevas | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | — | — | — |
| E. Cerrillo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Haak | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Sanabria | M | 73 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Pec | M | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Paintsil | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Thommy | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Wynder | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Reus | M | 25 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Yoshida | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.